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Turkey vs Montenegro Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Nations League action kicks off in Samsun this week as hosts Turkey welcome Montenegro in their Group B4 clash. The home team Crescent-Stars sit top of the group on goal difference and face the Brave Falcons, who sit bottom of the table after two games. Check out our match prediction for this fixture below!
Head coach Vincenzo Montella led Turkey into the quarterfinals of Euro 2024. They narrowly lost 2-1 to the Netherlands before drawing with Wales in their opening Nations League game. They followed that up with a 3-1 win at home over Iceland in their last match in the competition.
The home side have won three, drawn one, and lost just one of their last five games. They are unbeaten in the four previous games they have played against this opponent, winning two and drawing two.
It hasn’t been the best start to the Nations League for Montenegro. They were beaten 2-0 away to Iceland in their opening fixture and then went down to a 2-1 defeat at home to Wales in their second game. That means that Robert Prosinecki’s team have lost all their last four matches.
As a result, they sit bottom of the group, three points adrift of Iceland in third place and four behind their opponents today. A defeat here would likely rule them out of any realistic chance of challenging for top spot, but a win could put them back in contention in this evenly-matched group.
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The Best Betting Odds for Turkey v Montenegro Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 6.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.64 | 10.1 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.64 | 10.1 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.25 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.4 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.4 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.4 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.8 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.3 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Turkey and Montenegro?
Our prediction for the Turkey vs Montenegro match is: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2024 between Turkey and Montenegro in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.76% for a win of Turkey against Montenegro with odds of 1.35 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Turkey vs Montenegro is 20.03% with odds of 6.3 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Montenegro vs Turkey with odds of 11 at Betwinner.
Turkey - Montenegro Prediction and Best Odds:
| Turkey Montenegro Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Turkey wins | 64.76% | 1.35 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.05% | 1.89 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Turkey | 31.62% | 4.33 at Betsson |
Turkey vs Montenegro Form
Turkey and Montenegro's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Turkey and Montenegro Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
Turkey vs Montenegro Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
1 Sep 2021 - World Cup
Turkey against Montenegro Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Turkey
Montenegro
K. Akturkoglu
(4 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Goals)
K. Yildiz
(2 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Jankovic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Tuci
(1 Assists)
,
O. Gasevic
(1 Assists)
Turkey - Montenegro Key Points
- Turkey are unbeaten in their last five home games.
- Montenegro have lost all their last four.
- Both teams have scored in six of Turkey's last eight games.
- There has been Over 2.5 Goals scored in seven of Turkey's last eight games.
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Our Turkey vs Montenegro Prediction
Our prediction for Turkey vs. Montenegro in the Nations League Group B4 is: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score - Yes.
The home side come into this fixture in formidable form at home and in generally good form on the road. In contrast Montenegro, while always capable of scoring a goal, are struggling with four defeats in a row. Goals should be plentiful in this game, according to the data and Turkey should be the team that scores the majority of them.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Turkey Montenegro
| Turkey vs Montenegro | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey wins | 1.42 | 1.27 | -10.6% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 6.25 | +38.9% |
| Montenegro wins | 7 | 9 | +28.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Turkey is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 78.7% (8.3%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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