Turkey vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Sridhar in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Turkey will hope for home comforts to drive their push for a win in the 2024-25 Nations League as they welcome Iceland in the second round. This League B Group 4 game at the Gürsel Aksel Stadium in İzmir on Monday comes with our prediction of a home win.
After a win over Montenegro in the first match, Iceland are top of the group with three points, while Turkey are third with a point to their name following a 0-0 draw with Wales. Turkey started their campaign with a draw against Wales, playing nearly the last hour with a man down as Yilmaz received his marching orders in the 62nd minute.
That result continued Turkey’s love affair with this tournament, as they have now avoided defeat in six of the last seven Nations League matches, winning four and drawing two. Iceland will be a tricky opponent, though, coming here after a 2-0 win over Montenegro. Goals from Oskarsson and Jón Dagur Þorsteinsson on either side of the break were enough to give them a winning start to the campaign.
That win was their fifth over the last seven matches and, interestingly, their first victory of their Nations League history. The visitors have drawn four and lost ten of their 14 matches prior to this victory in this competition They still have a lot of improvements to be achieved on the road, as Iceland have lost five of their seven away matches in the Nations League.
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The Best Betting Odds for Turkey v Iceland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.87 | 7.18 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.87 | 7.18 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.8 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.84 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.5 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.24 | 5.55 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.4 | 5.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Turkey and Iceland?
Our prediction for the Turkey vs Iceland match is: Turkey to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Turkey and Iceland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.31% for a win of Turkey against Iceland with odds of 1.58 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Turkey vs Iceland is 15.27% with odds of 4.87 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Turkey with odds of 7.6 at Betwinner.
Turkey - Iceland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Turkey Iceland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Iceland wins | 45.42% | 7.6 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.18% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 34.38% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Iceland | 19.08% | 15 at Bet365 |
Turkey vs Iceland Form
Turkey and Iceland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Turkey and Iceland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
17 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Turkey against Iceland : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Nov 2019 - Euro
11 Jun 2019 - Euro
6 Oct 2017 - World Cup
9 Oct 2016 - World Cup
Turkey against Iceland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Turkey - Iceland Key Points
- Turkey have won three of their last four home matches in the Nations League
- The hosts have won two of their last four matches, losing just once
- Iceland have lost two of their last four matches
- Iceland have lost ten of their 15 Nations League matches
- Away from home, Iceland were beaten in five of their seven Nations League matches
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Our Turkey vs Iceland Prediction
After a goalless draw to start their campaign, Turkey will hope that home comforts can bring the best out of their game. Iceland will look to continue from matchday one, where they started with a win over Montenegro, but will they have enough momentum to halt Turkey? The hosts may retain an edge here thanks to their home conditions and could end up being winners in a tight game. That’s why our prediction for Turkey v Iceland is a win for Turkey.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Turkey Iceland
| Turkey vs Iceland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey wins | 1.5 | 1.42 | -5.3% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.75 | +15.9% |
| Iceland wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Iceland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 15.4% and is now 14.3% (-1.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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