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Africa - AFCON

Tunisia
20 Jan 2024 15:00
Mali

Prediction :

 

Mali wins the match

 
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Tunisia vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

 by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions

Tunisia will be hoping to avoid an early exit at AFCON 2023 when they take on Mali in Match Day 2 action in Korhogo. Billed the favorites to top this group, Tunisia find themselves without a point after their opening game while Mali have three. As they face a tricky game against South Africa in the final group game, Tunisia will feel three points are a must here. For this and more tips on the competition, follow our 2023 AFCON predictions page.

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The Best Betting Odds for Tunisia v Mali Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 2.9 2.63
NetBet
2.95 2.8 2.7
1xbet
3.25 2.92 2.49
22bet
3.25 2.92 2.49
Betwinner
3.05 2.7 2.81
LSbet
3.05 2.7 2.81
Stake
3.15 2.9 2.55
Melbet
3.02 2.92 2.64
Tonybet
3.1 2.85 2.6
Vbet
3.08 2.77 2.74
Betway
3 2.8 2.63
Unibet
3.05 2.8 2.75
Betsson
3.05 2.85 2.65
William Hill
2.75 2.8 2.75
Check all Tunisia vs Mali odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tunisia and Mali?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/01/2024 between Tunisia and Mali in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.33% for a win of Tunisia against Mali with odds of 3.25 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tunisia vs Mali is 23.21% with odds of 2.92 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Tunisia with odds of 2.81 at Betwinner.

Tunisia - Mali Prediction and Best Odds:

Tunisia Mali Prediction Probability Odds
Tunisia wins 40.33% 3.25 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 69.35% 1.53 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 19.79%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Tunisia 23.89% 6.2 at Stake

Tunisia vs Mali Form

Tunisia and Mali's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Mali
Mali
5 3 1 2 0 2
4
Tunisia
Tunisia
2 3 0 2 1 -1

Tunisia and Mali Last Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia Last matches
L W W D W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Tunisia
0 :  1
Namibia

10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
2 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
0 :  0
Mauritania

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Malawi
0 :  1
Tunisia

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Tunisia
4 :  0
Sao Tome and Principe

7 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  0
Botswana
W W W D W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Tunisia
0 :  1
Namibia

10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
2 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
0 :  0
Mauritania

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Tunisia
4 :  0
Sao Tome and Principe

7 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  0
Botswana

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  0
Libya
L D W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Malawi
0 :  1
Tunisia

17 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  0
Tunisia

28 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Libya
0 :  1
Tunisia

22 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Denmark
0 :  0
Tunisia

27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Brazil
5 :  1
Tunisia

10 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies

Chile
0 :  2
Tunisia
Mali
Mali Last matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  0
South Africa

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Mali
6 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mali
1 :  1
Central African Republic

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mali
3 :  1
Chad

8 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Mali
4 :  0
South Sudan

18 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Congo Republic
0 :  2
Mali
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  0
South Africa

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Mali
6 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mali
1 :  1
Central African Republic

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mali
3 :  1
Chad

8 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Mali
4 :  0
South Sudan

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  0
Gambia
D W L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Congo Republic
0 :  2
Mali

28 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Gambia
1 :  0
Mali

24 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship

Mauritania
1 :  0
Mali

9 Jun 2022 - AFCON

South Sudan
1 :  3
Mali

29 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Tunisia
0 :  0
Mali

16 Jan 2022 - AFCON

Gambia
1 :  1
Mali

Tunisia vs Mali Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Tunisia

25 %

Draw

50 %

Mali

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

29 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Tunisia
0 :  0
Mali

25 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Mali
0 :  1
Tunisia

12 Jan 2022 - AFCON

Tunisia
0 :  1
Mali

28 Jun 2019 - AFCON

Tunisia
1 :  1
Mali
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Tunisia - Mali: Form Analysis

Tunisia will be under immense pressure coming into this game following their opening day 1-0 loss to Namibia. This is a game they have to win to keep their chances of progressing alive. In their two meetings with Mali at AFCON, Tunisia failed to coin a win and that is a run they will be keen to end here. Tunisia however did deny Mali the chance to proceed to the 2022 World Cup courtesy of a slim win in the playoffs back in 2022. In recent years these two nations have met frequently, with their matches characterized by tight defences and low scores. All their last five meetings ended with under 2.5 goals. the most recent producing a 0-0 draw. While Tunisia’s loss to Namibia was a shock, they haven't beaten any big opponents in their recent matches. They went into that game with a four-game unbeaten run all with clean sheets, and having won three. All their last four matches produced under 2.5 goals and they failed to score in two of their last three matches. Their run at AFCON has over the recent appearances been dismal. The Carthage Eagles have six losses in the last eight AFCON matches.

Mali didn’t miss a step in their 2-0 win over South Africa in the opening game of this group. Another such outcome will send them to the knockouts with a game to spare. That will be their target coming into this game. Les Aigles have done well in their recent matches and will come into this one very confident. A run of eight matches unbeaten, and the need to avenge their loss in the World Cup playoffs will definitely drive the West Africans. Goals from Hamari Traore and Lassine Sinayoko six minutes apart earned them the win over South Africa. The result also earned them their first clean sheet in five matches and they will look to build on it here. The west Africans have seven wins in their last eight matches, with a prolific scoring run heading into this game. They’ve scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches. At AFCON, Mali haven't lost inside 90 minutes in their last five matches and have three wins in five AFCON games. One of those was their opening game at the 2022 edition, which was marred with refereeing controversy in a comical turn of events.

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Players list

Tunisia
Tunisia
Goalkeeper

B. Ben Said

Defender

W. Kechrida

Y. Meriah

M. Talbi

A. Abdi

Midfielder

E. Skhiri

A. Laidouni

M. Ben Romdhane

B. Srarfi

Forward

S. Ltaief

S. Jaziri

Mali
Mali
Goalkeeper

D. Diarra

Defender

H. Traore

Kiki

S. Niakate

F. Sacko

Midfielder

L. Coulibaly

Y. Bissouma

N. Dorgeles

I. Sissoko

Forward

Y. Niakate

F. Diabate

Substitutes

Tunisia
Tunisia
Goalkeeper

A. Dahmen

Defender

Y. Valery

O. Haddadi

H. Jelassi

A. Maaloul

Midfielder

H. Mahmoud

M. Ben Romdhane

A. Ben Slimane

Forward

S. Jaziri

Y. Msakni

S. Ltaief

E. Achouri

B. Srarfi

H. Rafia

H. Jouini

N. Sliti

Mali
Mali
Goalkeeper

A. Doumbia

I. Diawara

Defender

A. Dante

M. Fofana

Midfielder

Y. Bissouma

D. Samassekou

A. Dieng

Forward

Y. Niakate

L. Sinayoko

A. Traore

N. Dorgeles

A. Haidara

M. Doumbia

I. Sissoko

K. Doumbia

F. Diabate

S. Koita

Tunisia & Mali Squad Analysis

The pressure for Tunisia will not ease coming into this game sweating over the fitness of Yassine Khenissi. The veteran forward picked an injury in the early stages of their game against Namibia and was replaced by Haythem Jouini. Needing a win here, there could be reinforcements in attack and starting Naim Sliti could be an option. Sliti could partner Jouini upfront after being unused on Match Day 1. From the Mali camp, there are reports that Yves Bissouma is down with illness after featuring for 58 minutes in the opening encounter. Unconfirmed reports also indicate Moussa Diarra is ill and if so, Eric Chelle will be forced to make adjustments. Boubacar Traore of Wolves came on late against South Africa and will be hoping to get a starting berth here.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tunisia
CD Huachipato Mali
Top Goalscorer
Tunisia H. Rafia (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mali L. Sinayoko (3 Goals)
Best assists
Tunisia A. Abdi (1 Assists)
Best assists
Mali K. Doumbia (2 Assists)

Tunisia - Mali Key Points

  1. Mali are unbeaten in eight matches, winning seven
  2. Mali have three wins in their last five AFCON games
  3. Tunisia have six losses in their last eight AFCON matches
  4. Tunisia have failed to score in three of their last four AFCON matches
  5. Tunisia have lost once and drawn once in two meetings with Mali at AFCON
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Our Tunisia vs Mali Prediction

Mali come into this game on a strong run and a good one at AFCON too, which involves a win over Tunisia. With an eight-game unbeaten run, they will be favorites in this. Tunisia will be under a lot of pressure to win this, which could leave them exposed in crucial pockets. The North Africans don’t have a strong run at AFCON either and that could come to haunt them here. Our prediction for Tunisia v Mali is for Mali to win the game.

Prediction :

 

Mali wins the match

 
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Tunisia vs Mali - Other Interesting Predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Odds 1.53

At the AFCON, Mali have managed to get results with low scores but high efficiency. The result against South Africa was their ninth in 10 AFCON matches that ended with under 2.5 goals. in seven of the 10 matches, Mali didn’t score more than a goal. Tunisia have also been goal-shy coming inti this game with their last four matches having had under 2.5 goals. they actually failed to score in two of their last three matches. Tunisia also failed to score in three of four AFCON matches coming here. We thus predict this game to have under 2.5 goals.

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Tunisia vs Mali match : Frequently asked questions

The Tunisia v Mali game will be played at the Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium in Korhogo, Ivory Coast

The Tunisia v Mali game is scheduled to start at 8pm GMT

The Tunisia v Mali game will be televised live for audiences in Africa on SuperSport while in the UK, you can watch it on Sky Sports. You can also catch the game via SportyTrader’s live AFCON updates.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tunisia vs Mali Prediction
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