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TP Mazembe vs AL Ahly SC (EGY) Prediction & Betting Tips - CAF Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in CAF Champions League Predictions
The semi-final of the CAF Champions League will get underway this weekend, with TP Mazembe playing host to Al Ahly on Saturday afternoon. The Congolese side will have the home-field advantage for the first leg of this tie, and the winner across both legs will move on to face either Mamelodi Sundowns or ES Tunis in the grand final. TP Mazembe are enjoying an excellent season so far. Last term, they ended bottom of their group in the CAF Confederation Cup with just one win in their six group-stage matches. This season, though, they bagged ten points in their six games in Africa’s premier competition, finishing just three points behind Sundowns. Thereafter, the Ravens pulled off an incredible comeback in the quarter-final, scoring two goals in the final eight minutes of the second leg to win the tie 2-1 on aggregate. The hosts are featuring in the last four of this competition for the first time since 2018-19 and have not won the cup since 2014-15 but are the bookmakers favourites for this home leg.
Meanwhile, Al Ahly have been going about their business as usual again this season and came through the group stages with flying colours. They were unbeaten in their six matches, notching up three wins and three draws, finishing four points clear of Young Africans in second place. The Red Devils were then drawn against Simba in the last eight and took a one-goal lead in Dar es Salaam before finishing the job with a 2-0 win in Cairo in the second leg. The Egyptian Premier League outfit are the most successful club in this competition, having lifted the trophy a whopping 11 times, including last season when they beat Wydad AC 2-1. They are now vying for a fifth consecutive final and have won three of the last four they’ve played in. While the visitors are the underdogs heading into this match, it’s difficult to write them off based on their incredible history in this competition.
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The Best Betting Odds for TP Mazembe v AL Ahly SC (EGY) Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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2.38 | 2.9 | 3 |
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2.2 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
|
|
1.99 | 2.7 | 3.15 |
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2.34 | 3.12 | 3.23 |
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2.34 | 3.12 | 3.23 |
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|
2.24 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
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2.24 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
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2.09 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
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2.34 | 3.12 | 3.23 |
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2.25 | 3.05 | 3.35 |
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2.38 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
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2.15 | 2.7 | 3.7 |
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26 | 1.02 | 41 |
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2.2 | 3 | 3.5 |
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|
2.2 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.42 | 2.8 | 3.57 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between TP Mazembe and AL Ahly SC (EGY)?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/04/2024 between TP Mazembe and AL Ahly SC (EGY) in CAF Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.52% for a win of TP Mazembe against AL Ahly SC (EGY) with odds of 26 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between TP Mazembe vs AL Ahly SC (EGY) is 16.09% with odds of 3.12 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.39% chance ⭐ for a win of AL Ahly SC (EGY) vs TP Mazembe with odds of 41 at Betfair.
TP Mazembe - AL Ahly SC (EGY) Prediction and Best Odds:
TP Mazembe AL Ahly SC (EGY) Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
TP Mazembe wins | 49.52% | 26 at Betfair |
Under 2.5 | 64.23% | 1.84 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 19.05% | |
Half-time: AL Ahly SC (EGY) / Full-time: TP Mazembe | 17.72% | 36 at Betsson |
TP Mazembe vs AL Ahly SC (EGY) Form
TP Mazembe and AL Ahly SC (EGY) Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
30 Mar 2024 - CAF Champions League
2 Mar 2024 - CAF Champions League
24 Feb 2024 - CAF Champions League
19 Dec 2023 - CAF Champions League
9 Dec 2023 - CAF Champions League
3/5 (60%)
1/5 (20%)
1/5 (20%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2024 - CAF Champions League
24 Feb 2024 - CAF Champions League
19 Dec 2023 - CAF Champions League
2 Dec 2023 - CAF Champions League
6 Mar 2021 - CAF Champions League
1/4 (25%)
1/4 (25%)
2/4 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
2 Mar 2024 - CAF Champions League
9 Dec 2023 - CAF Champions League
16 Mar 2021 - CAF Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
11 Apr 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
8 Apr 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
5 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
29 Mar 2024 - CAF Champions League
12 Mar 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
5 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
1 Mar 2024 - CAF Champions League
27 Feb 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
28 Dec 2023 - Supercup
25 Dec 2023 - Supercup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
11 Apr 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
29 Mar 2024 - CAF Champions League
12 Mar 2024 - Egyptian Premier League
8 Mar 2024 - Egypt Cup
23 Feb 2024 - CAF Champions League
TP Mazembe - AL Ahly SC (EGY) Key Points
- Each of Al Ahly’s last seven matches in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals
- Al Ahly are on a four-match winning streak in the CAF Champions League
- Al Ahly have not conceded a single goal in their last six matches in this competition
- Al Ahly have reached the final in each of the last four seasons
- TP Mazembe have won only one of their last three matches in this competition and failed to score in two of those games
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Our TP Mazembe vs AL Ahly SC (EGY) Prediction
While TP Mazembe get the favourites tag for this match, it’s difficult to back against Al Ahly given their pedigree and success in this tournament in recent seasons. The Red Devils have also kept an incredible six clean sheets in the Champions League ahead of this game and will likely prioritize another here, which will give them a massive advantage for the second leg. Therefore, our TP Mazembe vs Al Ahly prediction: Under 2.5.
TP Mazembe vs AL Ahly SC (EGY) - Other Interesting Predictions
Al Ahly Draw No Bet
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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