France - Ligue 1
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Toulouse vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
PSG have the opportunity to open up a 13-point gap when they travel to Toulouse for their next Ligue 1 match. Tenth placed Toulouse host the champions in this Saturday clash, as they seek an escape from the lower half. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Toulouse finished 2024 in a rather strong position but 2025 has been tough so far. They will arrive for this game aiming to end a run of five straight winless matches.
In that run, they were beaten by the bottom placed Montpellier and also got eliminated from the French Cup by lowly Guingamp. That shows just how big a task they have here, coming from a 2-2 draw with Auxerre.
PSG are on a strong run ahead of this game and will hope to avoid earlier stumbles against Toulouse. In the corresponding fixture last season Toulouse claimed a 3-1 win at PSG.
The champions, also, could only play to a 1-1 draw the last time they visited Toulouse. In general though, PSG do have a strong run against Toulouse. They have also done well in their recent matches.
The champions are on a five-match winning run and are unbeaten in the last 17 matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-0 rout of Brest in the Champions League.
While Toulouse miss at least four players, PSG will only have Warren Zaire-Emery ruled out.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
|
|
6 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
|
|
5 | 2.87 | 1.75 |
|
|
5.9 | 4.66 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.9 | 4.66 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.75 | 4.4 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.65 | 4.48 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.65 | 4.48 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.5 | 1.55 |
|
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5.65 | 4.48 | 1.53 |
|
|
6 | 4.7 | 1.54 |
|
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5.5 | 4.7 | 1.57 |
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5.75 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
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6.5 | 4.5 | 1.49 |
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|
6 | 4.4 | 1.55 |
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|
5.85 | 4.4 | 1.52 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and PSG?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs PSG match is: PSG wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2025 between Toulouse and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.96% for a win of Toulouse against PSG with odds of 6.5 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs PSG is 16.46% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.57% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Toulouse with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
Toulouse - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 66.57% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.63% | 1.66 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | 1.78 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG | 28.89% | 4.5 at Betsson |
Toulouse vs PSG Form
Toulouse and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
56 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 39 |
|
10
|
27 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -2 |
Toulouse and PSG Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
Toulouse vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Jan 2024 - Trophée des Champions
19 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Nicolaisen
MidfielderN. Schmidt
Y. Gboho
W. Zaire-Emery
ForwardI. Mbaye
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
PSG
Z. Aboukhlal
(6 Goals)
O. Dembélé
(22 Goals)
G. Suazo
(4 Assists)
A. Hakimi
(9 Assists)
Toulouse - PSG Key Points
- PSG have five straight wins.
- Eight of PSG’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 20 goals were scored in PSG’s last five away matches.
- Toulouse are winless in their last five matches.
- Three of Toulouse’s last five home matches had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Toulouse vs PSG Prediction
Toulouse will head into this game as outright underdogs. They may have troubled PSG a bit in the recent matches, but here they aren’t in that shape. The hosts are winless in the last five matches and only managed one clean sheet.
Three of their last five home matches produced over 2.5 goals. PSG, in their current form, look likely to not only win but leave with a high score. Our prediction of Toulouse v PSG is that PSG wins and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse PSG
| Toulouse vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 5.75 | 5.75 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | 0% |
| PSG wins | 1.5 | 1.53 | +2.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 65.4% (-1.3%)
Use £30 free bets for the Toulouse vs. PSG game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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