France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse are on the ascendancy in Ligue 1 and will cherish the chance to play Monaco in their current state. The two sides face off in Toulouse with the hosts sitting eighth, four places behind Monaco ahead of this matchday 25 outing. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Toulouse have genuine belief in their ambitions for Europe and they’ve shown it in recent matches. Ahead of this game, they've scored four goals away from home for a second successive time in beating Angers 4-0.
That pushed their tally to 33 points in a tight and congested race for the top six. To keep this going, Les Violets must improve their home form which has three defeats and a draw in the last four matches.
Monaco have had their miserable moments in 2025 but their latest game wasn’t one of them. New signing Mika Biereth was on show once again, with a hat trick, as Les Monegasques thumped struggling Reims 3-0.
The former Arsenal man has now scored 10 goals after his midseason arrival from Sturm Graz. That win lifted Monaco from two straight winless outings but they remain three points behind Nice in the top three race.
While their hosts need to improve on home form, Monaco need some away day inspiration. They are winless in eight away matches and could miss Biereth in this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v Monaco Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.07 | 4.4 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.07 | 4.4 | 2.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Monaco?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Monaco match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2025 between Toulouse and Monaco in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.09% for a win of Toulouse against Monaco with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Monaco is 21.96% with odds of 4.4 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Toulouse with odds of 2.28 at Stake.
Toulouse - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 40.09% | 3.25 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.15% | 1.85 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse | 17.68% | 7.5 at Betsson |
Toulouse vs Monaco Form
Toulouse and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
54 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
|
12
|
34 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
Toulouse and Monaco Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
Toulouse vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
3 Jun 2023 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
4 Dec 2019 - Ligue 1
Players list
K. Haug
DefenderD. Sidibe
C. Cresswell
M. McKenzie
M. Zajc
G. Suazo
MidfielderY. Gboho
V. Sierro
ForwardA. Donnum
N. Edjouma
F. Magri
R. Majecki
DefenderVanderson
T. Kehrer
C. Mawissa
C. Henrique
MidfielderL. Camara
M. Al-Musrati
M. Akliouche
E. Ben Seghir
ForwardG. Ilenikhena
W. Singo
Substitutes
M. Niflore
DefenderW. Kamanzi
D. Methalie
U. Akdag
MidfielderY. Gboho
M. Zajc
M. Saka
E. Zuliani
ForwardN. Edjouma
P. Kohn
DefenderW. Singo
K. Ouattara
M. Salisu
MidfielderK. Diatta
M. Coulibaly
ForwardG. Ilenikhena
L. Michal
E. Ben Seghir
Missing players
R. Nicolaisen
MidfielderN. Schmidt
ForwardZ. Aboukhlal
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Monaco
Z. Aboukhlal
(7 Goals)
M. Biereth
(12 Goals)
G. Suazo
(6 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(10 Assists)
Toulouse - Monaco Key Points
- Monaco scored but conceded in their last four away league games.
- Toulouse managed just two clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- In eight of Monaco’s last nine league matches, both teams scored.
- At home in Ligue 1, Toulouse have conceded in their last five matches.
- 10 times in the last 12 meetings between these two, both teams scored.
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Our Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction
Only two clean sheets were registered in the last 12 meetings between these teams. That should point us to where this game is headed, especially given the two teams’ recent forms. While Monaco have been lethal in attack since Mika Biereth’s arrival, they are still struggling defensively.
It is somewhat a similar case for Toulouse, who have been scoring a lot but equally keeping few clean sheets. With these figures, our prediction for Toulouse v Monaco is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Monaco
| Toulouse vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 3.1 | 3.2 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Monaco wins | 2.15 | 2.2 | +2.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 31.3% (-1.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Toulouse vs. Monaco game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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