Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Devesh Jaganath in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse and Marseille will be aiming to keep their unbeaten Ligue 1 record intact when they face off at Stadium de Toulouse on Saturday night. Le Tefece are currently in 11th place in the league standings while Les Phoceens are fifth. Check out our match prediction below.
After safely navigating their second season back in the top flight with a 12th-placed finish last term, Toulouse’s primary objective in 2024-25 will likely be to try and break into the top half of the table.
So far, Le Tefece have proven difficult to beat, playing out a goalless draw at home to Nantes in their first game of the season, before taking a point of Nice with a 1-1 draw on the road last weekend.
However, the hosts’ home record is a cause for concern as they are winless in their last six league matches at this venue. Toulouse have not beaten Marseille in their last 20 attempts, losing 12 and drawing eight.
Last season, Marseille took a massive step backwards, dropping all the way to eighth place after finishing third in 2022-23, while also ending 23 points behind their tally from the previous campaign.
However, Les Phoceens have begun this term on a much more positive note, smashing in five goals in their opening match of the season against Brest before coming from behind to claim a 2-2 draw against Reims last weekend.
Roberto De Zerbi’s side also had a solid pre-season, ending unbeaten in their final four games, which sees them enter this contest undefeated in six.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
151 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
161 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
161 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.68 | 1.95 |
|
|
100 | 30 | 1.01 |
|
|
3.62 | 3.74 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.8 | 2.02 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Marseille match is: Marseille Over 1.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Toulouse and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.96% for a win of Toulouse against Marseille with odds of 161 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Marseille is 36.13% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Toulouse with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
Toulouse - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 46.91% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.68% | 2.04 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 24.76% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Toulouse vs Marseille Form
Toulouse and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
|
11
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Toulouse and Marseille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Toulouse against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
29 Dec 2022 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2019 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
F. Magri
R. Blanco
DefenderQ. Merlin
MidfielderB. Nadir
ForwardF. Moumbagna
Toulouse - Marseille Key Points
- Toulouse are winless in their last six home league games.
- Toulouse have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four home games.
- Marseille have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches against this opponent.
- Marseille have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight league matches.
- Marseille are unbeaten in their last 20 matches against Toulouse.
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Our Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction
Both these sides have made positive starts to the season but Marseille are clear favourites here, and rightfully so, given their 20-match unbeaten streak against Toulouse, which dates back over a decade.
While Les Phoceens had their struggles last season, they were very good in attack and we feel they will notch up at least a couple of goals in this one. Our Toulouse vs Marseille prediction: Marseille Over 1.5!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Marseille
| Toulouse vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 3.75 | 151 | +3,926.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 51 | +1,316.7% |
| Marseille wins | 1.9 | 1 | -47.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 47.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 100.0% (47.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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