France - Ligue 1
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Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
French giants Lyon will be back to domestic action this weekend with an away trip to Toulouse. Hosting this game, Les Violets are a point ahead of Les Gones with both seeking second wins in the league. Let’s delve into the stats defining this match and a prediction.
Toulouse failed to build on their first win this season, losing 2-0 away to Brest on Sunday. Goals conceded either side of halftime condemned Toulouse to their second defeat of the campaign and they’ll hope to rise here.
This isn’t a fixture they’ve excelled in, which means the hosts must put in an extra effort. Carles Martinez will particularly be worried at his team’s performance at home.
The win against Le Havre is their only victory in eight Ligue 1 matches at home and one of four in the last 26.
Like Toulouse, Lyon are also seeking a stable run following a poor start. The visitors have managed just a win in the league this season. However, there should be some confidence generated from a strong start to their European campaign.
The visitors are coming off a 2-0 win at home to Olympiakos in the Europa League. With that, they recovered from another painful defeat in Ligue 1, at home to high-flying Marseille.
It was a five-goal thriller that sparked to life in the second half. Lyon will be disappointed that they lost the lead against 10-man Marseille, and conceded in stoppage time to fall 3-2.
At the height of their struggles, Pierre Sage will bank on away form to lift them. In 10 away league games, Lyon have seven wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.45 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.57 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.57 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.45 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.54 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.54 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.54 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.62 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.45 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Lyon match is: Lyon to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2024 between Toulouse and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.26% for a win of Toulouse against Lyon with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Lyon is 25.91% with odds of 3.62 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Toulouse with odds of 3.03 at Vbet.
Toulouse - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 49.83% | 3.03 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.66% | 1.86 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon | 26.73% | 7 at Betsson |
Toulouse vs Lyon Form
Toulouse and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
|
10
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Toulouse and Lyon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
7 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2020 - Ligue 1
18 Dec 2019 - Coupe de la Ligue
Toulouse against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Lyon
Z. Aboukhlal
(4 Goals)
M. Fofana
(5 Goals)
, 
A. Lacazette
(5 Goals)
Y. Gboho
(2 Assists)
,
Z. Aboukhlal
(2 Assists)
M. Fofana
(3 Assists)
,
R. Cherki
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Benrahma
(3 Assists)
Toulouse - Lyon Key Points
- Lyon have three straight wins against Toulouse.
- In the last 16 matches against Toulouse, Lyon are unbeaten.
- In eight home league matches, Toulouse have managed one win.
- Toulouse lost half of their six league matches this season.
- In 10 away league matches, Lyon posted seven wins.
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Our Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction
A bit of stability can be seen in Lyon’s recent performances and they will be looking to carry on in this game. Fortunately for the visitors, this is a fixture they’ve done well in when we look at the two teams’ head-to-head records.
Toulouse aren’t having the ideal start to their season and this is another opponent that they’ll find tough to cope with. Playing at home hasn’t offered the desired comfort either and our prediction for Lyon v Toulouse is for Lyon to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Lyon
| Toulouse vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 2.5 | 2.45 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.4 | +3.0% |
| Lyon wins | 2.7 | 2.88 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 34.7% (-2.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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