France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse are set to make another attempt at winning a home game in 2025 when they host Lille in Ligue 1. Six rounds remain, and the next one finds Lille in seventh place, while Toulouse have dropped to 11th. Let’s have a look at the match preview and a prediction.
Toulouse haven't managed a win in their last four matches. Their 3-2 loss at Marseille marked a third straight defeat for the hosts. The last time they won a Ligue 1 match was at the start of March.
That was a 4-0 win, which also stands as their only clean sheet in 10 league games. In each of their last four matches, they scored but conceded.
Lille’s are going through a rough patch, and as things are, they could miss out on a European slot for next season. Goal difference is locking them out of the top-six and they will be looking to bounce back there.
In their last outing, Les Dogues took an early lead against Lyon, but that would be overturned, and they ended up suffering a seventh league loss.
With four losses in their last five away matches, Lille are a pale shadow of the side that was expected to challenge for the league title. They only have one win in the last nine league games on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v Lille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.2 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.44 | 2.59 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Lille?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Lille match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Toulouse and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.95% for a win of Toulouse against Lille with odds of 3.25 at NetBet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Lille is 22.77% with odds of 3.44 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Toulouse with odds of 2.61 at Vbet.
Toulouse - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 45.27% | 2.61 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.83% | 1.94 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.25% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 20.81% | 6 at Betfair |
Toulouse vs Lille Form
Toulouse and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
50 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
|
11
|
34 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Toulouse and Lille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
18 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2022 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2020 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
R. Nicolaisen
MidfielderN. Schmidt
ForwardZ. Aboukhlal
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
ForwardE. Zhegrova
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Lille
Z. Aboukhlal
(7 Goals)
J. David
(21 Goals)
G. Suazo
(6 Assists)
J. David
(5 Assists)
Toulouse - Lille Key Points
- Toulouse failed to score in just one of their last 10 league matches.
- At home, both teams scored in four of Toulouse’s last five league games.
- In three of Lille’s last five away league games, both teams scored.
- Lille failed to score in only one of their last 10 league matches.
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Our Toulouse vs Lille Prediction
There doesn’t seem to be much for Toulouse to play for in the season remainder, though mathematically, they aren’t safe yet. The hosts come into this match without a home win in 2025 but will be looking to reap from Lille’s dip in form.
While both are struggling, they rarely fail to score. Toulouse have only failed to score once in their last 10 matches and it is the same case with Lille. Given the two rarely fail to score, our prediction for Toulouse v Lille is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Lille
| Toulouse vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 2.7 | 3 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.3 | +1.5% |
| Lille wins | 2.63 | 2.4 | -8.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 41.7% (3.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Toulouse vs. Lille game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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