England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Tottenham remained 14th in the Premier League after losing 1-0 at Chelsea on Thursday evening. Sunday sees them home to Southampton who are bottom of the Premier League. Can the Saints get a vital away win? Read our match prediction.
The Lilywhites have lost their last two league fixtures, both away matches. It has been a disappointing season for them but they could yet be in the Champions League next season if they win the Europa League. With the first leg of their quarter-final against Eintracht Frankfurt being played four days after this match, there is a question mark over what their priorities are at present. A league win or save players for the cup tie?
Southampton earned a point in midweek but need wins if they are to avoid an immediate return to the Championship. The Saints are 19 points from safety with just eight games remaining. At least they are now in double figures for points earned this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.4 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.6 | 7.42 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.6 | 7.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Southampton match is: Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2025 between Tottenham and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.21% for a win of Tottenham against Southampton with odds of 1.42 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Southampton is 14.28% with odds of 5.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Tottenham with odds of 8 at Betsson.
Tottenham - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 61.21% | 1.42 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.45% | |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | 1.68 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Tottenham/Tottenham | 27.21% | 2.07 at Betsson |
Tottenham vs Southampton Form
Tottenham and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
37 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 10 |
|
20
|
11 | 33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | -54 |
Tottenham and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Tottenham vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
6 Aug 2022 - Premier League
9 Feb 2022 - Premier League
28 Dec 2021 - Premier League
21 Apr 2021 - Premier League
Tottenham - Southampton: Form Analysis
Ten points separate Tottenham from tenth place in the Premier League. That's well below the expectations of the club and their fans. Spurs are 14 points above the relegation zone so there are no worries on that score.
Their last two league games have both been lost but were played away from the New White Hart Lane. Home form has seen them win five league games with seven defeats but they still have a +4 goal difference.
Only one of their last three home league fixtures has been lost, a 1-0 defeat inflicted by Manchester City.
The Saints are marching to the Championship.
Southampton are on their way back to the Championship and have only won two league games all season. Just ten points have been earned and half of those have come in their 15 away league matches.
Just one away league game has been won this season with 12 defeats and 31 goals conceded. Four of the last five have been lost and in each defeat, they conceded at least three goals. The reverse fixture saw Spurs win 5-0 in December.
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Players list
G. Vicario
DefenderP. Porro
C. Romero
B. Davies
D. Spence
MidfielderA. Gray
P. Sarr
Y. Bissouma
ForwardB. Johnson
M. Tel
W. Odobert
A. Ramsdale
DefenderK. Walker-Peters
J. Bednarek
T. Harwood-Bellis
MidfielderWelington
R. Stewart
W. Smallbone
P. Onuachu
ForwardY. Sugawara
K. Sulemana
P. Onuachu
Substitutes
A. Kinsky
DefenderM. Van de Ven
D. Udogie
MidfielderY. Bissouma
P. Sarr
A. Gray
Richarlison
M. Tel
W. Odobert
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
J. Stephens
A. Bella-Kotchap
Y. Sugawara
J. Bree
MidfielderW. Smallbone
R. Stewart
P. Onuachu
Missing players
R. Dragusin
K. Danso
MidfielderD. Kulusevski
J. Larios
MidfielderF. Downes
Tottenham & Southampton Squad Analysis
Thursday night produced another loss for Tottenham but there was some good news for the London club. They have had serious injury problems all season and that is one reason for being in the bottom half of the Premier League.
No more major problems occurred on Thursday. The only slight concern was Micky van de Ven getting cramp but he should be fit for this match. Richarlison is back in training and could feature in this match.
What's more important to Spurs? A home game against Southampton or the Europa League quarter-final first leg against Eintracht Frankfurt. Postecoglou has indicated it is the latter so some changes are likely.
Brennan Johnson has scored nine goals this season despite time out injured. He could well play on Sunday against Southampton.
More injury woes for Southampton.
The Saints will be without Flynn Downes for this match due to suspension. They have struggled all season and with 71 goals conceded in 30 league games cannot afford to be without players such as Lesley Ugochukwu and Ryan Manning who are both doubtful.
With only 11 away league goals scored this season and 31 conceded, it could be another long afternoon for the Saints.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
Southampton
B. Johnson
(15 Goals)
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
S. Heung-min
(10 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
Tottenham - Southampton Key Points
- Tottenham won the reverse fixture 5-0.
- Southampton have earned just one point from their last six league fixtures.
- Southampton's last ten league losses have all seen over 2.5 goals scored in the match.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of the last 12 Spurs home league and cup games.
- Both clubs have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 19 of their 30 Premier League games this season.
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Our Tottenham vs Southampton Prediction
The pressure on Tottenham will grow if they fail to earn three points at home to bottom-of-the-table Southampton. They remain an inconsistent side that has been badly affected by a string of injuries. A repeat of the 5-0 away win they had at St Mary's would delight their fans.
Southampton are on an unbeaten run of one game which sadly is pretty good for them. They still concede far too many goals (71 in 30 league games) and have an appalling away record. Our main Tottenham v Southampton prediction is Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals.
Tottenham vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
James Maddison to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Southampton
| Tottenham vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 1.36 | 1.36 | 0% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 5.5 | -4.3% |
| Southampton wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Tottenham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 73.5% (0.0%)
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Tottenham vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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