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Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The first Saturday of 2025 in the Premier League kicks off in North London with Tottenham Hotspur playing host Newcastle United at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The Lilywhites are 11th in the league standings while the Magpies are fifth with the first half of the campaign now in the rearview mirror. Check out our match prediction below!
Spurs have won two of their last three Premier League home games against this opponent but the Magpies have come out on top in four of their last five versus the Lilywhites (home and away). Newcastle won the reverse fixture 2-1 back in September and could complete the double over Tottenham for the second time in three seasons.
Given their respective recent records, the visitors are installed as the favourites in this match, but not by a massive margin. Let’s take a closer look at these two sides leading up to this opening match of the weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.9 | 4.5 | 1.73 |
|
|
4 | 4.5 | 1.73 |
|
|
3.9 | 4.33 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.67 | 4.61 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.67 | 4.61 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.9 | 4.5 | 1.79 |
|
|
3.64 | 4.5 | 1.79 |
|
|
3.64 | 4.5 | 1.79 |
|
|
3.9 | 4.6 | 1.79 |
|
|
3.94 | 4.26 | 1.77 |
|
|
3.8 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.7 | 4.6 | 1.77 |
|
|
3.9 | 4.6 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.9 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.86 | 4.6 | 1.79 |
|
|
3.8 | 4.33 | 1.78 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Newcastle match is: over 2.5 and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Tottenham and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.02% for a win of Tottenham against Newcastle with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Newcastle is 28.44% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Tottenham with odds of 1.85 at 1xbet.
Tottenham - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 47.55% | 1.85 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.85% | |
| Both Team To Score | 76.67% | 1.34 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Newcastle/Newcastle | 17.22% | 2.8 at Betfair |
Tottenham vs Newcastle Form
Tottenham and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
|
12
|
24 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
Tottenham and Newcastle Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
22 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
23 Apr 2023 - Premier League
23 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Tottenham - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Tottenham Hotspur endured a torrid run of results during December, managing to earn only five points from a possible 21 in the top flight over the course of last month.
The Lilywhites’ last match saw them held to a 2-2 draw by Wolverhampton Wanderers at home, marking their third consecutive league game without victory following back-to-back defeats.
More concerningly, the hosts are winless in their last five home league games (W0 D2 L3), and conceded two or more goals in four matches during that period.
However, Spurs are still the second highest scoring team in the league with 41 goals to date!
In contrast, Newcastle United ended 2024 incredibly well, winning each of their last four games, which is now the second-longest active win streak in the division behind Nottingham Forest (5).
The Magpies’ last match saw them dispatch a stuttering Manchester United 2-0 at Old Trafford. That result was also the fourth in succession in which the Toons maintained a clean sheet.
On the road this season, the visitors have taken 15 points from 10 Premier League games, but they have only lost one of their last five and have scored two or more goals in each of their last three.
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Tottenham against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
G. Vicario
DefenderB. Davies
C. Romero
M. Van de Ven
D. Udogie
MidfielderR. Bentancur
ForwardW. Odobert
Richarlison
N. Pope
DefenderJ. Lascelles
E. Krafth
F. Schar
ForwardC. Wilson
Tottenham & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Ange Postecoglou will be sweating over the fitness of Fraser Forster, who picked up a minor knock against Wolves and is listed as questionable. If Forster cannot return in time, Spurs will have to turn to uncapped Brandon Austin between the sticks.
Another player who picked up an injury last week was Destiny Udogie. The midfielder was forced off with what looked like a hamstring problem and he is a major doubt for this match.
Micky van de Ven, Cristian Romero, Ben Davies, Guglielmo Vicario, Mikey Moore, Richarlison and Wilson Odobert are all ruled out this week for the Lilywhites due to injury.
Alexander Isak has scored in six consecutive Premier League matches ahead of this one!
Indeed, the Swedish international is enjoying a purple patch at present, and it has been much-needed too for the Magpies, with Callum Wilson sidelined for the foreseeable future.
While Nick Pope is still on the road to recovery from a knee injury, Martin Dubravka has been sensational in goal for Eddie Howe’s side, having not conceded in the PL since stepping in for the England international.
Fabian Schar will have to sit out this match due to an accumulation of yellows, while Sven Botman and Emil Krafth are ruled out owing to injuries.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
Newcastle
B. Johnson
(11 Goals)
, 
D. Solanke
(11 Goals)
A. Isak
(14 Goals)
D. Kulusevski
(8 Assists)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
, 
B. Guimaraes
(6 Assists)
Tottenham - Newcastle Key Points
- Seven of Tottenham Hotspur’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Each of Tottenham Hotspur’s last eight home games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Newcastle United have scored two or more goals in each of their last six league games.
- Seven of Newcastle United’s 10 away league games this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Each of the last six matches between these sides have ended with over 2.5 goals and five saw both teams find the back of the net.
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Our Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction
Matches involving Spurs of late have delivered a glut of goals, as they have been finding the net with regularity, but injuries in defence have seen them ship 13 goals in just their last five league games.
That certainly doesn’t bode well for the hosts’ chances here against a Magpies side that has scored two or more in each of their last six games, led by an in-form Alexander Isak, who has netted in each of those matches. Therefore, our Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United prediction is over 2.5 and BTTS.
Tottenham vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Alexander Isak to score anytime
Alexander Isak has contributed to 16 goals in 17 matches this season and has netted eight goals in his last six Premier League matches for the Magpies.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Newcastle
| Tottenham vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 2.55 | 3.9 | +52.9% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 4.5 | +36.4% |
| Newcastle wins | 2.7 | 1.73 | -35.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 35.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 57.8% (20.8%)
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Tottenham vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United will be played on January 4 at 12:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United will take place at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.
The Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1 in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Andy Madley will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Nicholas Hopton, Craig Taylor and Lewis Smith as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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