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Tottenham vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Joseph King in Premier League Predictions
Tottenham will look to get back to winning ways when they host Brentford for matchday five of the Premier League on Saturday. Let’s break down the match statistics and offer a prediction for this clash between 13th-place Spurs and the ninth-placed Bees.
It’s been a difficult start to the 2024/25 campaign for Tottenham who have managed just a single win over their first four league matches. The result is a total of only four points which already has the Lilywhites trailing leaders Man City by eight and the top four by five points.
Brenford, meanwhile, have racked up six points thanks to two wins from their first four games. They’ll be hoping to improve upon last season’s 16th-place finish which saw them battling against relegation in the final few weeks of the campaign. Will the hosts be able to get back on track following a tough defeat to their rivals in the last outing, or will visiting Brentford be able to successfully frustrate their opponents?
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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Brentford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.6 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.78 | 5.38 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.78 | 5.38 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.6 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.6 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.6 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.64 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.7 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.53 | 5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.8 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.75 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Brentford match is: Tottenham to win and under 4.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Tottenham and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.41% for a win of Tottenham against Brentford with odds of 1.59 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Brentford is 26.8% with odds of 5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Tottenham with odds of 6.1 at Unibet.
Tottenham - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 36.78% | 6.1 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.12% | 1.55 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brentford | 15.72% | 13 at Bet365 |
Tottenham vs Brentford Form
Tottenham and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
|
11
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Tottenham and Brentford Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
19 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
4 May 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Tottenham vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
13 Aug 2023 - Premier League
20 May 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2022 - Premier League
23 Apr 2022 - Premier League
2 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Tottenham - Brentford: Form Analysis
Tottenham come into this matchup off of a 2-1 away win over Championship side Coventry in the Carabao Cup in midweek. They were mere minutes away from crashing out of the competition in the third round, which would have been a terrible look for manager Ange Postecoglou following his statements.
However, goals in the 88th and 90+2 minutes mean that Tottenham move on and give them a much-needed win following their disappointing defeat in last weekend’s league fixture.
Tottenham were unable to break down a stout Arsenal defense in their last league outing.
The result was a highly-frustrating 1-0 home defeat to their bitter rivals after conceding on a set-piece in the second half. It marked back-to-back league defeats for Spurs who also lost 2-1 away to Newcastle in matchday three.
Their opponents Brentford are coming off of a Carabao Cup victory of their own after they overcame Leyton Orient 3-1 at home. In addition to their second round victory three weeks ago, Brentford have now won three of their last four matches across all competitions.
It’s been an encouraging start to the 2024/25 Premier League campaign for Thomas Frank’s side. Their only defeats have come at the hands of Liverpool (2-0) and Manchester City (2-1), both of which occurred away from home. Their other results were a 2-1 home win over Crystal Palace and a 3-1 home win over Southampton.
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Tottenham against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players
W. Odobert
Richarlison
R. Henry
MidfielderJ. Dasilva
A. Hickey
ForwardI. Thiago
Tottenham & Brentford Squad Analysis
Tottenham manager Ange Postecoglou is dealing with a few injuries to his attacking corps for this fixture. The hosts will be without the services of Richarlison who has missed the team’s last three matches after having featured as a substitute in the first two.
They’ll also have to manage without forward Timo Werner who looks to be out for a while after a serious injury. Summer signing Wilson Odobert is also set to miss out while midfielder Yves Bissouma should be able to recover in time to feature against Brentford.
Brentford were dealt a major blow against Manchester City after Yoane Wissa was forced off.
The forward already got on the scoresheet in that match and was off to a flying start in the campaign with three goals and one assist in four matches. Wissa is set for two months on the sidelines with an ankle problem, putting Brentford in a tough spot after Ivan Toney departed at the end of August.
Wissa joins no fewer than six other players in the treatment room, including Mathias Jensen, Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry, Josh Dasilva, Igor Thiago and Gustavo Nunes.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
Brentford
B. Johnson
(7 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(8 Goals)
D. Kulusevski
(5 Assists)
F. Carvalho
(3 Assists)
, 
M. Damsgaard
(3 Assists)
, 
V. Janelt
(3 Assists)
Tottenham - Brentford Key Points
- Despite their defeat to Arsenal, Tottenham was able to record a 4-0 win over Everton in their other home outing.
- All five of Tottenham's matches this sesaon have finished with under 4.5 goals.
- Tottenham won in this fixture last season and have won three of their last four at home vs the Bees.
- Brentford have lost both of their away league matches and have seen all six of their fixtures finish with under 4.5 goals.
- Dating back to last season, the visitors have now lost 14 of their last 21 Premier League games.
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Our Tottenham vs Brentford Prediction
Both teams come into this matchup missing some key attacking players. Tottenham will be hoping that their midweek late comeback can spark a turnaround in the Premier League. The hosts struggled against Arsenal’s elite defense but they should have more success against this Brentford side.
Brentford have been dealt a tough hand regarding their early away matches as they will now have faced Liverpool, Man City and Tottenham. Without the services of one of their top performing strikers, they could struggle to create chances here. Our Tottenham vs Brentford prediction: Tottenham to win + under 4.5 goals.
Tottenham vs Brentford - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 3.5 goals
Tottenham come into this fixture with injuries to three attacking pieces while Brentford have recently lost one of their most important players in Yoane Wissa. The hosts do have a healthy defense to rely on which could see them record their second home clean sheet of the season. Back the under with both teams missing some key attacking players.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Brentford
| Tottenham vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 1.44 | 1.48 | +2.8% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5 | +11.1% |
| Brentford wins | 6.5 | 5.75 | -11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 15.4% and is now 17.4% (2.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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