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Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Steve Ashfield in Europa League Predictions
The Europa League has become so important for both of these clubs, particularly Tottenham. The Londoners are struggling in the English Premier League and on Thursday, host AZ in the second leg of this last 16 tie. Can the Lilywhites reach the quarter-finals? Here's our match prediction.
For the winners of this match, there's a tie in the last eight against either Ajax or Eintracht Frankfurt with the Germans 2-1 up after the first leg. Tottenham are only 13th in the Premier League and 11 points behind the top eight. With them being out of both domestic cup competitions, winning the Europa League is virtually their only chance of qualifying for European football next season is winning this competition.
AZ are only in the Europa Conference League play-off positions at present in the Dutch Eredivisie. They will have wanted a larger lead than just a single goal (a Bergvall own goal) because as you will read in the form guide of this preview, their away form in Europe is not impressive.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v AZ Alkmaar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.74 | 6.74 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.74 | 6.74 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.7 | 6 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.56 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.56 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.7 | 6 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.56 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.7 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.7 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.7 | 6.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar match is: Tottenham to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/03/2025 between Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.15% for a win of Tottenham against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar is 24.32% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.54% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham with odds of 6.74 at 1xbet.
Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Form
Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
8 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
Tottenham - AZ Alkmaar: Form Analysis
The weekend saw Tottenham held to a 2-2 home draw by Bournemouth. Spurs have now gone three games without a win but they need to turn that around to reach the Europa League quarter-finals.
They finished fourth in the league phase with only one loss, away at Galatasaray. Three home Europa League games have been won by the English side this season. In all competitions though, they have only won three of their last nine matches.
This is the third meeting between these two clubs in this season's Europa League. Before the first leg of this tie, they met in the league phase with Tottenham winning 1-0.
AZ need to improve their away form.
AZ are sixth in their domestic league and have not played a game since the first leg. They have only lost one of their last nine games but their away form leaves a lot to be desired. Over 90 minutes, the Cheese Farmers have one win in their last seven games in all competitions.
None of their last eight away Europa League fixtures has been won.
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Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Dragusin
MidfielderD. Kulusevski
ForwardRicharlison
Tottenham & AZ Alkmaar Squad Analysis
Tottenham have had plenty of selection problems this season and they aren't over yet. Rodrigo Bentancur was booked in the first leg and as a result is suspended from this match. It's likely that Archie Gray and Lucas Bergvall will play on Thursday after only being subs at the weekend.
Spurs will need to show some patience in this match as they try to get back on level terms. A tight match looks likely with two 1-0 results between these sides so far this season. The two goals that have been scored came from the penalty spot and an own goal.
The return of defenders Micky van den Ven and Cristian Romero are boosts for the home side as was the return of Dominik Solanke at the weekend. They will remain without Dejan Kulusevski.
AZ will be missing some key players.
Mayckel Ladhdo only lasted ten minutes in the first leg and will not be playing for AZ in this match. Other absentees include Denso Kasius and Jayden Addal. Troy Parrott will be fit to make his return to his previous club. While they have failed to score from open play against Tottenham this season, they have scored seven goals in their last three Europa League matches.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
AZ Alkmaar
B. Johnson
(13 Goals)
T. Parrott
(16 Goals)
D. Kulusevski
(9 Assists)
, 
S. Heung-min
(9 Assists)
D. Wolfe
(5 Assists)
Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar Stats in Europa League
Tottenham - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- Tottenham beat AZ 1-0 at home in the league phase.
- Tottenham have won three of their four home Europa League games this season.
- AZ have gone eight away Europa League matches without a win.
- AZ have conceded ten goals in their last three away Europa League fixtures.
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Our Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
This is a must-win match for Tottenham. Regards European qualification, it's looking like Champions League or bust for Spurs who languish in the bottom half of the Premier League. They have shown good form at home in the Europa League this season and only trail 1-0 from the first leg.
AZ have that narrow lead but not since 2020 have they won an away game in this competition. They regularly score on their travels but concede too many goals. Our Tottenham v AZ Alkmaar prediction is Tottenham to win.
Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar - Other Interesting Predictions
Heung-min Son to score
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Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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