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Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Fourth placed Arsenal bid to continue their unbeaten start to the new Premier League season. After three games, they are six places and three points clear of their North London rivals Tottenham.
The Gunners won their first two games of the new Premier League season with victories over Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, before drawing at home with Brighton and Hove Albion.
Their away form has often been a major concern for them but that's not been the case this year with 13 wins last season and the best defensive record on the road.
Tottenham have made a slow start to the new season with their only win coming against bottom-of-the-table Everton. Their last game before the international break saw them lose their unbeaten record going down 2-1 at Newcastle.
Winning the North London derby will mean everything to Spurs but that's been difficult for them in recent years. Can they get a victory on Sunday? Find out in our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.6 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.49 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.49 | 2.49 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 2.46 |
|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.32 | 2.36 |
|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.34 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.6 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.65 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.7 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2024 between Tottenham and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.88% for a win of Tottenham against Arsenal with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Arsenal is 17.22% with odds of 3.7 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Tottenham with odds of 2.57 at Vbet.
Tottenham - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 53.9% | 2.57 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.51% | 1.77 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal | 22.81% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Tottenham vs Arsenal Form
Tottenham and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
|
10
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
Tottenham and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
19 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
20 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
Tottenham vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
15 Jan 2023 - Premier League
1 Oct 2022 - Premier League
12 May 2022 - Premier League
26 Sep 2021 - Premier League
Tottenham - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Tottenham have only won one of their first three games in this season's Premier League. The Lilywhites opened the new campaign with a 1-1 draw at Leicester City but did lead in that match so will be disappointed with the end result.
It was much easier when taking on Everton at home and they won that match 4-0. Their unbeaten league record was lost when being beaten 2-1 at Newcastle United.
Arsenal are still unbeaten in the Premier League this season.
While Tottenham have lost this season, the Gunners are still unbeaten. Their season began with a comfortable 2-0 home win over Wolves. They followed that up with a convincing win by the same scoreline at Aston Villa.
Three successive wins wasn't to be though. They led against Brighton and Hove Albion but ended up drawing the match 1-1.
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Tottenham against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
Richarlison
M. Moore
K. Tierney
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
Tottenham & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Tottenham fans were delighted when Dominic Solanke was signed from Bournemouth in the summer transfer window. He's yet to make an impact due to an ankle injury and remains doubtful for this game against Arsenal.
Richarlison is definitely going to miss this game and have other injury problems too. Yves Bissouma has had an eventful season so far and was injured playing for Mali. He's doubtful but may recover in time.
Micky van de Van is also a doubt due to a knee injury but could feature in some way in this North London derby against the Gunners.
Arsenal have several problems in midfield.
The international games didn't go well for Arsenal. Their captain Martin Odegaard suffered a sprained ankle playing for Norway in the Nations League. As a result he's going to be out for three weeks.
The Gunners also have Declan Rice suspended for this match after he was sent off against Brighton. With Mikei Merino also out injured, Havertz could move back into midfield. Jorginho is also expected to start the game.
Leandro Trossard or loan signing Raheem Sterling could play up front with Gabriel Jesus another who has injury problems at present.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
Arsenal
B. Johnson
(7 Goals)
K. Havertz
(7 Goals)
D. Kulusevski
(5 Assists)
B. Saka
(7 Assists)
Tottenham - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal are unbeaten this season with two wins and a draw.
- Tottenham have only won one of their three league games this season.
- Arsenal are yet to concede an away league goal this season.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last ten away league games, winning nine of them.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four games against Tottenham.
- Arsenal have won their last two away games against Tottenham.
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Our Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction
Both sides have injury problems ahead of this North London derby. Arsenal have boosted their squad though and should still be able to put in a good performance against Spurs. They are unbeaten so far this season with two wins out of three.
Their away form in the Premier League is excellent with nine of the last ten being won. Tottenham beat luckless Everton this season but haven't been impressive in their two other games.
Our main Tottenham v Arsenal prediction is Arsenal to win.
Tottenham vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal to win and both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Arsenal
| Tottenham vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 3.9 | 2.7 | -30.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.95 | 2.55 | +30.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 30.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 39.2% (-12.1%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Tottenham vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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