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England - Premier League

Tottenham

28 Apr 2024 09:00

Arsenal

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

Prediction published on 28/04/2024, 00:12 by Ian John in Premier League Predictions

A potentially season-defining North London derby is the highlight of Week 35 of Premier League action. Tottenham Hotspur host Arsenal in a compelling clash that sees fifth in the table take on the team currently top of the pile with just four games remaining. Spurs come into the game on 60 points from 32 games, six points behind Aston Villa, but with two games in hand. With a Champions League place only guaranteed for the top four this season, the pressure is on Ange Postecoglou and his team to haul in Villa and pip them to that prize. Arsenal meanwhile come into the game top of the table and buoyant after a 5-0 demolition of Chelsea in midweek set them up perfectly for this crucial derby clash.

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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Arsenal Match

1	X	2
67	7.5	1.08
4.33	4	1.73
4.2	4.1	1.67
4.63	4.31	1.72
4.63	4.31	1.72
4.24	4.24	1.72
4.24	4.24	1.72
4.2	4.3	1.79
4.5	4.22	1.69
4.2	4.3	1.76
81	11	1.05
326	15	1.03
501	20	1.03
4.8	4.25	1.7
4.4	4	1.7
4.5	4.3	1.76

Check all Tottenham vs Arsenal odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Arsenal?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/04/2024 between Tottenham and Arsenal in Premier League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.97% for a win of Tottenham against Arsenal with odds of 501 at Betfair.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Arsenal is 14.98% with odds of 20 at Betfair.
Our prediction model gives a 42.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Tottenham with odds of 1.79 at Stake.

Tottenham - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Tottenham Arsenal Prediction	Probability	Odds
Tottenham wins	42.97%	501 at Betfair
Over 2.5 goals	63.94%	1.65 at Betway
Both Team To Score	49.17%
Half-time: Arsenal / Full-time: Tottenham	22.49%	38 at Betsson

Tottenham vs Arsenal Form

Tottenham and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	62
5 Tottenham	66	38	20	6	12	13

Tottenham and Arsenal Last Matches

Tottenham Last matches

All Home Away

W L W D W L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 0

Tottenham

7 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

3 : 1

Nottingham Forest

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

West Ham

1 : 1

Tottenham

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

2 : 1

Luton Town

16 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Fulham

3 : 0

Tottenham

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa

0 : 4

Tottenham

W W L W W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

100% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

7 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

3 : 1

Nottingham Forest

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

2 : 1

Luton Town

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

3 : 1

Crystal Palace

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

1 : 2

Wolves

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

2 : 1

Brighton

31 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham

3 : 2

Brentford

D D W L D L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 0

Tottenham

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

West Ham

1 : 1

Tottenham

16 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Fulham

3 : 0

Tottenham

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa

0 : 4

Tottenham

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Everton

2 : 2

Tottenham

14 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

2 : 2

Tottenham

Arsenal Last matches

All Home Away

W D L L W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

17% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

5 : 0

Chelsea

20 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Wolves

0 : 2

Arsenal

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich

1 : 0

Arsenal

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

0 : 2

Aston Villa

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal

2 : 2

Bayern Munich

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 3

Arsenal

W W W D L W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

5 : 0

Chelsea

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

0 : 2

Aston Villa

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal

2 : 2

Bayern Munich

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 0

Luton Town

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal

1 : 0

Porto

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1

Brentford

L W D W L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

0% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Wolves

0 : 2

Arsenal

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich

1 : 0

Arsenal

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 3

Arsenal

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City

0 : 0

Arsenal

4 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United

0 : 6

Arsenal

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto

1 : 0

Arsenal

Tottenham vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Tottenham

17 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33

Total goals

67%

BTTS

1.33

Goals scored (Team 1)

Goals scored (Team 2)

83%

Over 2.5

17%

Under 2.5

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 2

Tottenham

15 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

0 : 2

Arsenal

1 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 1

Tottenham

12 May 2022 - Premier League

Tottenham

3 : 0

Arsenal

26 Sep 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 1

Tottenham

14 Mar 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1

Tottenham

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Tottenham - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Tottenham are certainly one of the most entertaining teams to watch in the Premier League, if not the most consistent. Ange Postecoglou’s team have won four of their last five games at home in the competition and have won 12 of their 16 home matches in the EPL, losing the other four. Spurs’ record against the top six in the Premier League this season is excellent. In seven games against top five sides, they have won two, drawn two and lost just one, though they still have to play Manchester City at home and Liverpool away over their last five games. Tottenham have scored in every home game this season and will be itching to follow Everton’s lead from midweek and dent their main rivals title hopes with a win. They don't come into this game in good shape though after a 4-0 defeat away to Newcastle last weekend.

After their shock 2-0 loss to Aston Villa and their Champions League exit at the hands of Bayern Munich, Arsenal bounced back with two excellent wins in the Premier League. They defeated Wolves 2-0 at Molineux and then thrashed Chelsea in midweek 5-0. The Gunners have conceded just four goals in their last 11 Premier League games and have won 12 of their last 14 matches in that competition. Manager Mikel Arteta will be delighted by the spirit shown by his team in recent weeks, not to mention their superb defensive record. The visitors will be cautious, however, after drawing 2-2 with Spurs at the Emirates earlier in the season. Arsenal have won just one of the last eight games against Spurs away from home in the Premier League, which suggests this will be a huge test for them on Sunday.

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Tottenham against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Tottenham

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

G. Vicario

P. Porro

C. Romero

M. Van de Ven

B. Davies

P. Hojbjerg

R. Bentancur

D. Kulusevski

J. Maddison

T. Werner

S. Heung-min

L. Trossard

K. Havertz

B. Saka

D. Rice

T. Partey

M. Odegaard

T. Tomiyasu

G. Magalhaes

W. Saliba

B. White

D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Tottenham

Goalkeeper

F. Forster

Defender

D. Udogie

Arsenal

Defender

J. Timber

Tottenham & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Ange Postecoglou will have a number of players unavailable to him for the game with Arsenal this weekend. Full back Destiny Udogie has now joined a list that includes goalkeeper Fraser Forster, defender Ryan Sessegnon and winger Manor Solomon as players who are out for the rest of the season. One piece of positive news should be the return from injury of Brazilian striker Richarlison, who has been nursing a knee injury of late. Full back Pedro Porro is another doubt with a hamstring strain, but he could be fit enough to start the game on Sunday if selected.

Arsenal’s minimal injury concerns are growing smaller by the day after news that long-term absentee Jurrien Timber is now back in full training and looking “really good” according to manager Mikel Arteta. While a return straight into the first team is unlikely, it does appear Timber is getting close to at least a place on the bench. Other than the Dutch defender, Arteta has a full-strength squad to pick from for the game against Spurs on Sunday.

Most goals and assists

Tottenham

Arsenal

Top Goalscorer

S. Heung-min (17 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

B. Saka (20 Goals)

Best assists

S. Heung-min (10 Assists) ,

B. Johnson (10 Assists)

Best assists

B. Saka (13 Assists)

Tottenham - Arsenal Key Points

14 of Tottenham’s 16 Premier League home games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
11 of Arsenal’s last 15 Premier League games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
Arsenal games average 3.18 goals per game in the EPL. Spurs average in the same competition is 3.56.
Spurs have won eight of their last nine at home. Scoring 23 goals, conceding 11.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last seven away games, scoring 24 goals in those games.

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Our Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction

What a game there is in store at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday. It could well be a North London derby for the ages. Spurs must win to keep up their chances of a Champions League spot next season. Arsenal must win to keep up their title challenge. A draw does not help either side. We have two attack-minded local rivals, plus the Premier League’s top scoring team in Arsenal on show. Plus a situation where a draw does not suit either team. Therefore, it does look like this could be a feisty and open game. So our Tottenham v Arsenal prediction is a simple one that the data clearly favours and that is for Over 2.5 Goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Tottenham vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Arsenal to win and Both Teams to Score

Odds 3

Our second prediction for this game is linked with the first. We’ve already stated we expect goals at both ends in this game, but who will come out on top? At present, the data suggests that it will be the visitors and so our second prediction here is for Arsenal to win and Both Teams to Score.

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Tottenham vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

Michael Oliver will be the referee for the Tottenham v Arsenal game on Sunday.

Mr Oliver has refereed 21 games before Sundays match and in those games he has awarded 81 yellow cards (3.86 per game) and a joint Premier League-high five red cards.

He will be assisted by Stu Burt, Dan Cook as assistant referees and Andy Madley as the fourth official. Jarred Gillett and Darren Cann will be on VAR duty.

Tottenham face Arsenal in the second Premier League North London derby of the season at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday 28th April. Kick off is 2pm UK Time.

Sky Sports will be showing the Tottenham v Arsenal North London derby clash live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League on Sunday.

If you don’t have a Sky Sports subscription you can follow the action in real time with Sportytrader’s Premier League Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.