Africa - AFCON
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Togo vs Liberia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Kennedy Kechula in AFCON Predictions
Liberia and Togo will commence their quests for AFCON 2025 with a match in Lome this Friday. The two nations play in Group E of the qualifiers, which also has Equatorial Guinea and Algeria. Follow on for our prediction.
Togo have missed the last three AFCON editions and will finally be looking to return to the pinnacle of African football. Facing Liberia at home should build confidence that they can start on a high, as they have dominated this fixture. Togo have never lost to Liberia in four meetings, winning two.
However, the hosts aren’t coming into this game on the back of a great run. Their 1-0 loss to Congo DR in the World Cup qualifiers was their first loss in 10 matches. They have just four wins in their last 14 matches.
Liberia will sense an opportunity to end their poor run against Togo here. The visitors arrive for this game having avoided defeat in the last five matches. In that run, they managed three wins and kept four clean sheets.
Their last 19 matches have returned just four wins but their recent form is something to build on. Liberia have four losses and just a win in their last seven matches in AFCON qualification. They will feel even more pressure having put up a poor run in their away matches in AFCON qualification.
In 19 away such qualifiers, they have only two wins and both were against lowly ranked Djibouti. They lost 15 of the 19 matches. This run away from home could cost them as they try to qualify for the first time since 2002.
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The Best Betting Odds for Togo v Liberia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.22 | 3.15 | 3.74 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.15 | 3.74 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.48 | 5.94 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.48 | 5.94 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.55 | 6.6 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.06 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.05 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.58 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.2 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.5 | 6.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Togo and Liberia?
Our prediction for the Togo vs Liberia match is: Game to end in a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Togo and Liberia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.93% for a win of Togo against Liberia with odds of 2.22 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Togo vs Liberia is 44.13% with odds of 3.58 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Liberia vs Togo with odds of 7.4 at Vbet.
Togo - Liberia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Togo Liberia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.13% | 3.58 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.28% | 1.87 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | 2.6 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.88% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Togo vs Liberia Form
Togo and Liberia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 |
Togo and Liberia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
7 Jun 2022 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
13 Jun 2022 - AFCON
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
17 Oct 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
Missing players
I. Bebou
Togo - Liberia Key Points
- Liberia drew two of their last three matches.
- Liberia have no win in four matches against Togo.
- Togo managed four draws in their last six matches.
- In eight away AFCON qualifiers Liberia posted one win.
- Togo won just once in eight home AFCON qualification matches.
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Our Togo vs Liberia Prediction
Liberia have enjoyed a good run in their recent matches and will be looking to extend the same to this game. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, three of them being wins, and will feel this is a manageable challenge.
However, they have never beaten Togo before, and playing away from home makes this a tough outing.
Togo will feel like the favorites coming into this game. The hosts haven't lost a lot lately, but haven't won much either. They’ve particularly struggled in AFCON qualification and on this basis, our prediction for Togo v Liberia is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Togo Liberia
| Togo vs Liberia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Togo wins | 2.22 | 2.22 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.15 | 0% |
| Liberia wins | 3.74 | 3.74 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 31.7% (0.0%)
Get £20 as a free bet if your bet on Togo vs. Liberia loses.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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