South America - Copa Libertadores
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The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Nella Wagah in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Penarol will travel to La Paz to face The Strongest, carrying a huge first leg advantage in their Copa Libertadores Round of 16 tie. Ahead of the return leg, The Strongest are trailing 4-0. In case you are looking to bet on this match, here’s a preview and prediction to guide.
The hosts have a massive deficit here, jeopardizing their hopes for a first ever quarter-final appearance in Copa Libertadores. The Strongest were completely outclassed in the first leg match, going without a single shot on target.
They won’t have much to lift spirits after following on with a 2-0 loss to Real Tomayapo in domestic action. Having also lost 4-0 to Gremio, The Strongest have suffered back-to-back Copa Libertadores defeats. Now they will hope home form plays to their favor, having won the last three in this competition.
The visitors have a commanding lead coming into this game. It will give them further confidence facing a side that hasn’t won a Round of 16 fixture in this competition since 2014.
They were clinical in the first leg and here Penarol will only need to replicate their defensive performance. After keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches, this will not look like a job they can’t complete.
The home leg win was their fourth in a row in this competition and third clean sheet. The Uruguayans carry into this game an unbeaten run of five matches in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16. It is the away form that will bear Penarol’s concerns, having won just once in the last 10.
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The Best Betting Odds for The Strongest v CA Penarol Montevideo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 15 | 301 |
|
|
1.65 | 3 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.01 | 16.7 | 364 |
|
|
1.01 | 16.7 | 364 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.04 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.04 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.06 | 9 | 90 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.94 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.9 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.03 | 11 | 201 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 251 |
|
|
1.02 | 15 | 181 |
|
|
1.05 | 11 | 226 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.85 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between The Strongest and CA Penarol Montevideo?
Our prediction for the The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo match is: Penarol to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2024 between The Strongest and CA Penarol Montevideo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.05% for a win of The Strongest against CA Penarol Montevideo with odds of 1.78 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo is 15.68% with odds of 23 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.27% chance ⭐ for a win of CA Penarol Montevideo vs The Strongest with odds of 364 at 1xbet.
The Strongest - CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction and Best Odds:
| The Strongest CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| The Strongest wins | 45.05% | 1.78 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.69% | 2.38 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: The Strongest | 16.74% | 35 at Unibet |
The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo Form
The Strongest and CA Penarol Montevideo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
8 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
4 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
1 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
27 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
27 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
13 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
23 May 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
15 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
11 May 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
8 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
1 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
20 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
29 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
4 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
27 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
21 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
14 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
27 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
21 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
14 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
22 Jun 2024 - Primera Division
8 Jun 2024 - Primera Division
2 Jun 2024 - Primera Division
18 May 2024 - Primera Division
The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
The Strongest against CA Penarol Montevideo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
The Strongest
CA Penarol Montevideo
E. Triverio
(3 Goals)
L. Fernandez
(18 Goals)
E. Amoroso
(3 Assists)
L. Fernandez
(6 Assists)
The Strongest - CA Penarol Montevideo Key Points
- The Strongest have only five wins in the last 15 Libertadores matches.
- The Strongest have two straight defeats in the Copa Libertadores.
- Penarol have four straight wins in the Copa Libertadores.
- The Strongest failed to score in their last two matches.
- Penarol have four wins in their last six matches.
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Our The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction
La Paz has been a tough place for visiting teams but in The Strongest’s recent form, we aren’t backing them to really trouble Penarol. The hosts are coming from two losses, conceding six times in the process and among them is a 4-0 defeat to Penarol.
They also have a poor run at this stage of the Libertadores and this could be the end of their journey. Penarol are on four straight wins in Copa Libertadores and have been doing well defensively too. Our prediction for The Strongest v Penarol is for Penarol to emerge winners.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis The Strongest CA Penarol Montevideo
| The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Strongest wins | 1.33 | 1.03 | -22.6% |
| Draw | 5 | 15 | +200.0% |
| CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 9 | 301 | +3,244.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- The Strongest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 97.1% (21.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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