Africa - AFCON
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Tanzania vs Ethiopia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Group H at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers will get underway with Tanzania taking in on Ethiopia at the Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium on Wednesday evening. The Taifa Stars and Walias will be joined by DR Congo and Guinea in this group. Check out our match prediction below.
Tanzania had an impressive qualifying campaign for the last edition of the Africa Cup of Nations as they reached the main draw finishing behind Algeria, but ahead of Uganda and Niger.
Unfortunately, the Taifa Stars finished bottom of their group in the main competition, winless in their three matches.
Since then, Tanzania have played six matches across all competitions, winning three, drawing one and losing two. Notably, though, they have not conceded a goal in their last three games in all competitions.
Meanwhile, Ethiopia’s qualifying campaign for AFCON 2023 was less impressive, as they finished bottom of their group which included Egypt, Guinea and Malawi, with four points in six games.
The Walias are also winless in their CAF World Cup qualifying group after four games with a record of three draws and a loss, though they are unbeaten in their last three games in all competitions (W1 D2 L0).
Each of the last two matches between these sides have ended in 1-1 draws, while the only victory in three previous encounters saw Ethiopia win 2-1 back in 2015.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tanzania v Ethiopia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.06 | 2.88 | 4.55 |
|
|
2.06 | 2.88 | 4.55 |
|
|
1.9 | 2.95 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.32 | 5.48 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.32 | 5.48 |
|
|
2.08 | 2.8 | 4.1 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.63 | 4.33 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.3 | 5.5 |
|
|
2.07 | 2.8 | 4.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tanzania and Ethiopia?
Our prediction for the Tanzania vs Ethiopia match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/09/2024 between Tanzania and Ethiopia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.07% for a win of Tanzania against Ethiopia with odds of 2.1 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tanzania vs Ethiopia is 26.77% with odds of 3.32 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Tanzania with odds of 5.5 at William Hill.
Tanzania - Ethiopia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tanzania Ethiopia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tanzania wins | 49.07% | 2.1 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 76.15% | 1.74 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 16.67% | 2.4 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Tanzania | 30.67% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Tanzania vs Ethiopia Form
Tanzania and Ethiopia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 |
Tanzania and Ethiopia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
8 Jun 2022 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
17 Jan 2024 - AFCON
7 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
14 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
21 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
17 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
Most goals and assists
Tanzania
Ethiopia
S. Msuva
(1 Goals)
A. Samatta
(1 Assists)
Tanzania - Ethiopia Key Points
- Four of Tanzania’s last six matches in all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Tanzania have kept three consecutive clean sheets leading up to this match.
- Four of Ethiopia’s last seven matches in all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Ethiopia failed to score in four of their last seven games.
- Each of the last two matches between these sides ended with fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Tanzania vs Ethiopia Prediction
It’s been a full three months since these sides participated in a competitive match and this one will likely give us a better indication of what to expect from them in these qualifiers.
Based on their last batch of matches, Tanzania have been solid defensively and are likely to prioritise a clean sheet here on their home patch. We feel that chances will be at a premium in this match and the first goal could easily end up being the winner. Our Tanzania vs Ethiopia prediction: Under 2.5!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tanzania Ethiopia
| Tanzania vs Ethiopia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzania wins | 2.05 | 1.83 | -10.7% |
| Draw | 2.25 | 3 | +33.3% |
| Ethiopia wins | 5.5 | 4.2 | -23.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Tanzania is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 54.6% (5.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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