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Sweden vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Sweden face Estonia in their second games in Nations League Group C1 on Sunday. The Blagult are looking for a second successive win in the tournament, while the Sinisargid are seeking their first points following a narrow defeat in their opening match. Let’s check out our prediction for the game!
Jon Dahl Tomasson’s Sweden began their campaign with an impressive 3-1 win away to Azerbaijan. All four goals in that game came in the second half, with Alexander Isak netting twice and Viktor Gyokeres adding a penalty for Sweden. Late on in the game Renat Dadashov grabbed a consolation for the home team.
The victory marked a return to winning ways for Sweden after they had lost both their previous two matches, 2-1 to Denmark and then 3-0 at home to Serbia, back in June.
Estonia suffered heavy defeats to Poland (5-1) and Switzerland (4-0) earlier this year but had come into their last game with Slovakia following success at the Baltic Cup. There they beat the Faroe Islands 4-1 and, in the final, defeated Lithuania on penalties following a 1-1 draw.
However, their first Nations League game didn’t continue that form as they were narrowly beaten 1-0 by Slovakia at the Le Coq Arena in Tallinn. Tomas Suslov’s 70th-minute goal earned three points for the much-fancied Slovakians.
To compound matters, they now face a Swedish side they have never beaten in 20 games between the two teams. They have managed just two draws across those 20 fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sweden v Estonia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.28 | 4.2 | 13 |
|
|
1.16 | 8.81 | 18.7 |
|
|
1.16 | 8.81 | 18.7 |
|
|
1.08 | 10.5 | 24 |
|
|
1.08 | 11.5 | 28 |
|
|
1.08 | 11.5 | 28 |
|
|
1.1 | 8.2 | 21 |
|
|
1.08 | 11 | 29 |
|
|
1.1 | 9.2 | 24 |
|
|
1.1 | 10 | 31 |
|
|
1.1 | 9 | 21 |
|
|
1.08 | 10.5 | 23 |
|
|
1.07 | 9 | 20 |
|
|
1.09 | 9.5 | 26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Estonia?
Our prediction for the Sweden vs Estonia match is: Sweden to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2024 between Sweden and Estonia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 77.53% for a win of Sweden against Estonia with odds of 1.28 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sweden vs Estonia is 6.92% with odds of 11.5 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Sweden with odds of 31 at Vbet.
Sweden - Estonia Prediction and Best Odds:
Sweden Estonia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Sweden wins | 77.53% | 1.28 at Ladbrokes |
Over 2.5 goals | 67.3% | 1.64 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 56.25% | 2.75 at Unibet |
Half-time / Full-time : Sweden/Sweden | 39.99% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Sweden vs Estonia Form
Sweden and Estonia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
Sweden and Estonia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
Sweden vs Estonia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
Sweden against Estonia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Most goals and assists
Sweden - Estonia Key Points
- Sweden have won four of their last seven games, two of those wins coming against Estonia.
- Estonia have won just one of the last 17 games they have played.
- In the last four games between the teams, Sweden have scored ten, conceding just one. Winning all four.
- In 20 games between the teams, Sweden have won 18, with two matches drawn.
- Sweden have won five of the last seven between the teams without conceding a goal.
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Our Sweden vs Estonia Prediction
Our prediction for the Sweden vs. Estonia Nations League Group C1 match is: Sweden to win to nil.
Sweden have the edge in terms of data, both recent and historic and their squad is so much stronger than Estonia's. After winning their opening game on the road in Azerbaijan, this should be another chance to pick up three points for one of the best teams in League C of the Nations League. They will likely earn the win without Estonia troubling the scoresheet too.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sweden Estonia
Sweden vs Estonia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Sweden wins | 1.2 | 1.14 | -5.0% |
Draw | 7 | 8 | +14.3% |
Estonia wins | 12 | 17 | +41.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sweden is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 87.7% (4.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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