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Sweden vs Azerbaijan Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Sweden have already won this group and won promotion. The final game for the Blue and Yellow in League C is a home match against bottom-of-the-group Azerbaijan who are in deep relegation trouble. Read our match prediction.
The Swedes have 13 points from their five group matches. That has taken them three points clear of second-placed Slovakia but can't be caught due to head-to-head results between the two sides. The weekend saw their promotion confirmed with a 2-1 home win over Slovakia.
They have won four of their games in this group, the other being a 2-2 away draw with Slovakia after leading 2-0 in the first half. Home form has seen them beat Slovakia and Estonia with five goals scored and one conceded.
Azerbaijan have only one point but could yet avoid automatic relegation. They will need to win this match to have any chance of ending up in the relegation play-off positions. Even that wouldn't be good enough if both Latvia and Luxembourg win their final matches
It's looking like League D for them and both of their away games in this group have ended in defeat. At the weekend they drew 0-0 at home with Estonia. That at least ended a run of four successive losses.
We tip Sweden to win and lead at half and full time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sweden v Azerbaijan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 8.65 | 17 |
|
|
1.19 | 8.65 | 17 |
|
|
1.11 | 9.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.11 | 8 | 18 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.3 | 16 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.2 | 14 |
|
|
1.09 | 9 | 23 |
|
|
1.1 | 10.5 | 25 |
|
|
1.06 | 9.5 | 20 |
|
|
1.12 | 8.8 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 7 | 17 |
|
|
1.11 | 11 | 21 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Azerbaijan?
Our prediction for the Sweden vs Azerbaijan match is: Sweden to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/11/2024 between Sweden and Azerbaijan in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 80.48% for a win of Sweden against Azerbaijan with odds of 1.19 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sweden vs Azerbaijan is 5.39% with odds of 11 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Azerbaijan vs Sweden with odds of 25 at Unibet.
Sweden - Azerbaijan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sweden Azerbaijan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden wins | 80.48% | 1.19 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.91% | 1.53 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 2.3 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sweden/Sweden | 43.77% | 1.57 at Ladbrokes |
Sweden vs Azerbaijan Form
Sweden and Azerbaijan's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
|
4
|
1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 |
Sweden and Azerbaijan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
Sweden vs Azerbaijan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
Sweden against Azerbaijan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
E. Krafth
V. Lindelof
Most goals and assists
Sweden
Azerbaijan
V. Gyokeres
(9 Goals)
T. Bayramov
(2 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(5 Assists)
T. Bayramov
(1 Assists)
,
R. Sheydaev
(1 Assists)
Sweden - Azerbaijan Key Points
- Sweden won the reverse fixture 3-1.
- Azerbaijan have 12 points less than Sweden in this group.
- Azerbaijan have only won one of their last seven away Nations League fixtures.
- Azerbaijan have lost six of their last seven away matches.
- Sweden have won their only two previous home games against Azerbaijan, most recently a 5-0 win last year.
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Our Sweden vs Azerbaijan Prediction
Sweden are likely to make some changes for this match now promotion has been guaranteed. Even so, they have a strong squad and should still be able to end the group with a home win over Azerbaijan.
The away side need a win to have a chance of avoiding automatic relegation to League D. They managed a home draw with Estonia at the weekend but their away form is poor. Our Sweden v Azerbaijan prediction is Sweden to win and lead at half and full time.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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