Africa - AFCON
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Eswatini vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Swaziland will cross over to South Africa to host Mali in their second 2025 AFCON qualification Group I match on Tuesday. The hosts are targeting their first point(s) in the group while Mali will be going for a first win. Here’s our prediction for the match.
In the opening round, Swaziland suffered a 1-0 loss away to Guinea-Bissau. With that outcome, they have now failed to score in four straight matches. Meanwhile, the hosts are winless in seven games and have just a win in 13.
Where AFCON qualification is involved, they managed just a win in the last nine matches and failed to score in five of seven. This run isn’t any better at home; Zdravko Logarusic’s team failed to win any of the last eight matches they hosted.
Mali are ranked ninth in Africa and will thus be the favorites here. They are coming into this game on some sort of tough run but doing much better than their hosts. Their 1-1 draw with Mozambique on Friday was their third straight winless outing.
Yves Bissouma scored the equalizer in the match after Geny Catamo’s opening goal. However, with three clean sheets in the last five matches, they have a base to build from.
Tom Saintfiet’s team has lost just once inside 90 minutes in the last 16 matches – against Ghana. They have 10 wins in the process and their form away from home isn’t so bad either.
The team hasn’t tasted defeat in regular time in the last 10 away fixtures, winning five and drawing as many.
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The Best Betting Odds for Eswatini v Mali Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.35 | 3.76 | 1.51 |
|
|
8.35 | 3.76 | 1.51 |
|
|
7.75 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
|
|
7.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
|
|
7.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
|
|
6.8 | 3.7 | 1.52 |
|
|
7.55 | 3.7 | 1.51 |
|
|
8.8 | 3.78 | 1.49 |
|
|
7.5 | 3.6 | 1.45 |
|
|
7.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
|
|
8 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
|
|
8 | 3.75 | 1.47 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Eswatini and Mali?
Our prediction for the Eswatini vs Mali match is: Mali to win without conceding.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Eswatini and Mali in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 6.43% for a win of Eswatini against Mali with odds of 8.8 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Eswatini vs Mali is 37.16% with odds of 3.8 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Eswatini with odds of 1.52 at Stake.
Eswatini - Mali Prediction and Best Odds:
| Eswatini Mali Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mali wins | 56.41% | 1.52 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 75.74% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 28.57% | 2.8 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mali | 27.41% | 3.9 at Unibet |
Eswatini vs Mali Form
Eswatini and Mali's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
|
4
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -11 |
Eswatini and Mali Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
Most goals and assists
Eswatini
Mali
L. Sinayoko
(3 Goals)
K. Doumbia
(2 Assists)
Eswatini - Mali Key Points
- Swaziland failed to score in their last four matches.
- Swaziland haven't won in their last seven matches.
- Mali are unbeaten in their last 10 away matches, winning five.
- In AFCON qualification, Swaziland managed just a win in nine matches.
- Mali have three wins with clean sheets in their last five AFCON qualification matches.
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Our Eswatini vs Mali Prediction
This will be the first meeting between these two sides and based on recent form, Mali should edge it. The visitors come here on a good away run, having won five of the last 10 matches on the road. They are unbeaten in those 10 matches.
On the other hand, Swaziland are desperate to bounce back after a series of poor results in recent times. The hosts are eyeing their first win in eight matches and have also struggled in AFCON qualifying matches.
In their last four outings, they failed to score. Our prediction for Swaziland v Mali is for Mali to win without conceding.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Eswatini Mali
| Eswatini vs Mali | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eswatini wins | 8.35 | 8.35 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.76 | 3.76 | 0% |
| Mali wins | 1.51 | 1.51 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mali is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.2% and is now 66.2% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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