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05 October 2024 - 09:00 

- Day 9

England - Championship

Swansea
VS
Stoke

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Swansea vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions

Stoke travel to the Liberty Stadium to take on Swansea on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. The Swans sit in 12th place at present with the visiting Potters down in 15th ahead of this match. Read on for our prediction on the 3 pm contest. 

A 0-1 loss for Swansea away at Sheffield United on Wednesday evening saw them back to struggling on the road. They have a win at Coventry on the slate but they have lost the other three. Things have been better for them at the Liberty Stadium with two wins and two draws in four matches. 

A 1-0 win over Norwich is the pick of their efforts so far while they will have been disappointed to only get a draw out of their local derby game with Cardiff, allowing the Bluebirds to pick up their only point on the road so far this season.

Stoke are another team who have struggled to get results away from home. A single win in four games came with a 1-0 victory at Plymouth, failing to find the back of the net in visits to Watford, Oxford and Middlesbrough. Two of those three teams are further up the table than Swansea, so they will have some hope of getting something from this one. 

They arrive after a 6-1 drubbing of Portsmouth at the Britannia Stadium on Wednesday night which will give them confidence. Pompey has just Cardiff behind them in the league and that is on goal difference so it is a game that Stoke would have expected to win.

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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Stoke Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.2 3.5 3.1
Ladbrokes
2.45 2.45 3.3
1xbet
2.21 3.5 3.19
22bet
2.21 3.5 3.19
Betobet
2.2 3.4 3.2
Betwinner
2.17 3.5 3.27
Stake
2.2 3.45 3.15
Melbet
2.21 3.48 3.18
Tonybet
2.2 3.45 3.15
Check all Swansea vs Stoke odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Stoke?

Our prediction for the Swansea vs Stoke match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2024 between Swansea and Stoke in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.59% for a win of Swansea against Stoke with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Stoke is 19.28% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Swansea with odds of 3.3 at Ladbrokes.

Swansea vs Stoke Form

Swansea and Stoke's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Swansea
Swansea
11 8 3 2 3 2
14
Stoke
Stoke
9 8 3 0 5 -2

Swansea and Stoke Last Matches

Swansea
Swansea Last matches
L L W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

2 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Swansea

29 Sep 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Bristol City

21 Sep 2024 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Swansea

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Norwich

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Swansea

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
0 :  1
Wycombe Wanderers
Stoke
Stoke Last matches
W L D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

2 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
6 :  1
Portsmouth

28 Sep 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
Stoke

20 Sep 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Hull

17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
1 :  1
Fleetwood Town

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Stoke

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  1
Stoke

Swansea against Stoke : Head to Head (H2H)

Swansea

50 %

Draw

17 %

Stoke

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

10 Apr 2024 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Stoke

12 Dec 2023 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Swansea

25 Jan 2020 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  0
Swansea

9 Apr 2019 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Stoke

2 Dec 2017 - Premier League

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

22 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Swansea
2 :  0
Stoke
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Swansea vs Stoke last Lineups

Swansea

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

22
L. Vigouroux
2
J. Key
5
B. Cabango
6
H. Darling
14
J. Tymon
35
R. Pereira Martins
4
J. Fulton
25
M. Peart-Harris
10
E. Ji-sung
8
M. Grimes
31
O. Cooper
9
T. Cannon
10
B. Joon-ho
24
A. Moran
11
L. Koumas
6
W. Burger
20
S. Gallagher
3
E. Stevens
23
B. Gibson
16
B. Wilmot
5
M. Rose
1
V. Johansson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Stoke

Swansea and Stoke Stats in Championship

Swansea
Swansea
Stoke
Stoke
38%
Victories
38%
25%
Draw
0%
38%
Defeats
63%
1.75
Total goals per match
2.75
1
Goals scored per match
1.25
0.75
Goals conceded per match
1.5
25%
Over 2.5
50%
75%
Under 2.5
50%
38%
BTTS
38%
25%
No goals conceded
25%

Swansea - Stoke Key Points

  1. Six of Swansea’s eight league games this season have seen under 2.5 goals.
  2. Stoke has scored a single goal in four away league games.
  3. Both teams are in the bottom seven in the league in xGF, 1.06 for Swansea and 1.15 for Stoke.
  4. Only four teams have conceded less than Swansea this season.
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Our Swansea vs Stoke Prediction

Stoke had an explosion of goals midweek but they netted five away at Middlesbrough in a League Cup game at the end of August and then have scored one in three games on the road since. They are certainly no good thing to continue that goal-scoring form away at a team that has only shipped two in four home games this season. Swansea have kept things tight while Stoke has struggled to score in league games away from home so our Swansea vs Stoke prediction is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Swansea vs Stoke Prediction
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