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Swansea vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
Millwall are on the road in the Championship on Saturday, heading to South Wales to take on Swansea. Who will win in a match where the 14th-placed Swans take on the 13th-placed Lions? Read our prediction to find out.
Swansea has failed to win in their last five games, their two at the Liberty Stadium in that time both draws, 1-1 with Bristol City and 0-0 with Stoke. The lack of goals is turning into a problem for them, failing to score in any of their last four.
They had the bulk of the possession at Sheffield Wednesday on Tuesday night, mustering a single shot on target. Defensively they have been sound all season but they are struggling to find the net.
Their visitors have been keeping it tight on the road. Millwall are yet to win an away game, scoring four and conceding six in five road matches. That's an average of two total goals per game.
Seven of those came in a crazy game at Bristol City. Two 0-0 draws, a 0-1 defeat and a 1-1 draw have been their last four away from home. They won 1-0 at home to Plymouth on Wednesday.
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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Millwall Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.37 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.37 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.3 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.3 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.28 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.18 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.26 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Millwall match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2024 between Swansea and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.58% for a win of Swansea against Millwall with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Millwall is 39.35% with odds of 3.4 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Swansea with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.
Swansea - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.35% | 3.4 at Betfair |
| Under 2.5 | 78.53% | 2.22 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.78% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Swansea vs Millwall Form
Swansea and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
|
11
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Swansea and Millwall Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
29 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
29 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
Swansea vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
4 May 2024 - Championship
Swansea against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Millwall
L. Cullen
(3 Goals)
D. Watmore
(5 Goals)
R. Pereira Martins
(2 Assists)
F. Azeez
(3 Assists)
Swansea - Millwall Key Points
- Only West Brom has conceded fewer home goals than Swansea.
- Millwall have netted once in their last four away games.
- Nine of Swansea’s last 10 games in all competitions have been under 2.5 goals.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in five of Millwall’s six away games in all competitions this season.
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Our Swansea vs Millwall Prediction
This is probably not a game that neutrals are going to want to watch. In fact, it's a game that most Swansea and Millwall fans won't want to watch either! Both teams keep things tight at the back but are struggling mightily to score.
Our Swansea vs Millwall prediction is for under 2.5 goals. It is a bit of a surprise that the price is not shorter than it is given the way that these two teams have been performing of late.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Millwall
| Swansea vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2.45 | 2.4 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
| Millwall wins | 2.8 | 2.9 | +3.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 30.8% (0.5%)
Use £30 free bets for the Swansea vs. Millwall game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Swansea and Millwall? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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