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Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Swansea
08/03/2025 10:00
Middlesbrough

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough will target a win over Swansea in a matchday 36 meeting as they look to maintain their playoff push in the Championship. This match on Saturday at the Swansea.com Stadium between the 16th-placed Swans and the ninth-placed Boro comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.

A tally of 50 points puts Middlesbrough only two behind the top six teams, while Swansea’s 41 points gives them a buffer of ten points over the relegation zone.

Swansea played out a dull 0-0 draw away at Preston on Tuesday to make it four points from their last two matches. That is impressive tidings, but a run of seven defeats over the last ten competitive matches put them in a tight spot. Adding more anxiety is their recent form at this venue, as Swansea lost three of their four recent home games.

Middlesbrough edged Derby 1-0 last weekend to make it consecutive wins. Those results eased the pressure a bit after a run of five defeats on the bounce threatened to derail their playoff ambitions. The visitors are still chasers, but a win here coupled with some favourable results elsewhere could see them jump back into the top six. Away form remains a challenge, though, as Middlesbrough lost four of their last five trips.

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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Middlesbrough Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.63 3.3 2.6
Betfred
2.75 3.3 2.6
Ladbrokes
2.87 2.4 2.8
1xbet
2.72 3.42 2.7
22bet
2.72 3.42 2.7
Check all Swansea vs Middlesbrough odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Middlesbrough?

Our prediction for the Swansea vs Middlesbrough match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Swansea and Middlesbrough in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.84% for a win of Swansea against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.87 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Middlesbrough is 14.35% with odds of 3.42 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Swansea with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.

Swansea - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:

Swansea Middlesbrough Prediction Probability Odds
Swansea wins 45.84% 2.87 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 57.43% 2.13 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 59.17% 1.74 at Unibet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swansea 22.5% 6.1 at Unibet

Swansea vs Middlesbrough Form

Swansea and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
57 39 16 9 14 10
16
Swansea
Swansea
45 39 12 9 18 -11

Swansea and Middlesbrough Last Matches

Swansea
Swansea Last matches
L W L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Swansea

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Blackburn

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Swansea

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

9 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Swansea

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  2
Coventry City
W D L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Blackburn

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  2
Coventry City

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Sheffield United

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
West Brom

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Luton Town
L L L W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Swansea

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Swansea

9 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Swansea

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Norwich
5 :  1
Swansea

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
3 :  0
Swansea

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

25 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

21 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

3 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  3
Sunderland
D L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

3 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  3
Sunderland

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
West Brom

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Blackburn

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Cardiff
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

21 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

Swansea vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Swansea

33 %

Draw

33 %

Middlesbrough

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Swansea

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
Swansea

6 Mar 2021 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

6 Apr 2019 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

22 Sep 2018 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Swansea

2 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Swansea
0 :  0
Middlesbrough
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Swansea against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11

Swansea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
L. Vigouroux
2
J. Key
5
B. Cabango
6
H. Darling
14
J. Tymon
17
G. Franco
8
L. O'Brien
35
R. Pereira Martins
20
L. Cullen
10
E. Ji-sung
9
Z. Vipotnik
22
T. Conway
20
F. Azaz
11
M. Whittaker
21
M. Forss
7
H. Hackney
18
A. Morris
30
N. Borges
28
R. Giles
6
D. Fry
15
A. Dijksteel
32
M. Travers

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Middlesbrough

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Swansea
CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
Top Goalscorer
Wales L. Cullen (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast E. Latte Lath (11 Goals) Scotland T. Conway (11 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil R. Pereira Martins (4 Assists)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Assists)

Swansea - Middlesbrough Key Points

  1. In 11 of Middlesbrough’s last 13 away league matches, at least three goals were scored.
  2. Middlesbrough saw over 2.5 goals scored in five of their last seven league matches.
  3. Six of Swansea’s last ten matches in all competitions have returned more than two goals.
  4. Seven of Swansea’s last ten home matches have also seen at least three goals scored.
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Our Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Swansea won the reverse fixture 1-0, which was their fifth win in a row over Middlesbrough. While those stats remain impressive, recent form pulls them down. The Swans have been struggling at home lately, winning only one of their last five league matches played here. Middlesbrough recovered from a mid-season blip as back-to-back wins brought them back into playoff contention. Goals remain the focus, as Middlesbrough’s recent matches, as well as Swansea’s, have all seen exciting action. Our Swansea vs Middlesbrough prediction is over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Middlesbrough

Swansea vs Middlesbrough Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Swansea wins 3 2.63 -12.3%
Draw 3.5 3.3 -5.7%
Middlesbrough wins 2.25 2.6 +15.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Swansea is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 38.0% (4.7%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction
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