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Swansea vs Luton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Ian John in Championship Predictions
Swansea City face Luton Town in a rematch of the Championship match played on the 7th December, which finished 1-1 at Kenilworth Road. Will the Swans take advantage of playing at home, or will our prediction favour the in-form Hatters to continue their recent good form?
Currently tenth in the table following their 3-0 Boxing Day win over QPR, Swansea City are seven points adrift of the playoff spots. The Swans have won just one of their last four at home, losing two and drawing one and prior to defeating QPR, they had lost their previous two games.
Manager Luke Williams stayed away from the dressing room for the win over QPR, leaving team talk duties to captain Matt Grimes, but he will likely be back for the visit of Luton.
Luton’s form at present could not be any more delineated. They are unbeaten in their last six at home, winning four, but they have lost all their last eight games away from home. Manager Rob Edwards will know that the discrepancy in form cannot continue.
Since the draw between the two teams at the start of December, Luton have lost their two away games without scoring, 2-0 at Blackburn and 1-0 at Bristol City on Boxing Day, but have recorded two 2-1 wins at home over Stoke City and Derby County.
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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Luton Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.45 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.43 | 4.06 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.43 | 4.06 |
|
|
2 | 3.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.5 | 3.52 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.5 | 3.52 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.34 | 3.96 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
|
|
2 | 3.53 | 3.74 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.45 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Luton Town?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Luton Town match is: Swansea City to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2024 between Swansea and Luton Town in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.22% for a win of Swansea against Luton Town with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Luton Town is 17.1% with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Swansea with odds of 4.06 at 1xbet.
Swansea - Luton Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Luton Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 54.22% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.17% | 2.13 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Swansea/Swansea | 28.13% | 3.4 at Betsson |
Swansea vs Luton Town Form
Swansea and Luton Town's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
34 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -8 |
|
23
|
26 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -19 |
Swansea and Luton Town Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
1 Nov 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
Swansea vs Luton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Feb 2022 - Championship
5 Dec 2020 - Championship
Players list
L. Vigouroux
DefenderJ. Key
B. Cabango
H. Darling
J. Tymon
MidfielderJ. Fulton
A. Abdulai
A. Abdulai
M. Peart-Harris
Z. Vipotnik
ForwardL. Cullen
T. Kaminski
DefenderT. Holmes
M. Mcguinness
J. Johnson
A. Bell
MidfielderZ. Nelson
J. Clark
P. Mpanzu
ForwardT. Chong
C. Morris
R. Walters
Substitutes
J. Mclaughlin
DefenderC. Christie
N. Tjoe-a-On
K. Naughton
MidfielderM. Peart-Harris
B. Lloyd
A. Abdulai
J. Fulton
Z. Vipotnik
T. Krul
DefenderR. Walters
D. Hashioka
E. Pieters
MidfielderZ. Nelson
P. Mpanzu
V. Moses
ForwardC. Woodrow
J. Taylor
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Luton Town
L. Cullen
(10 Goals)
C. Morris
(7 Goals)
R. Pereira Martins
(4 Assists)
T. Krauss
(4 Assists)
Swansea - Luton Town Key Points
- Swansea have scored at least two goals in all their last four games at home.
- Luton have lost their last eight games away from home.
- Swansea average 1.45 points per game at home, Luton just 0.36 points away from home.
- Luton have failed to score in three of their last four away league games.
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Our Swansea vs Luton Town Prediction
Our prediction for Swansea City vs. Luton Town in the Championship is: Swansea City to win.
It is fair to say that Swansea City's home form is anything other than average at best, but they are facing a team with the third-worst away record in the Championship, who have lost all their last eight league games away from home and who have failed to score in three of the last four games on the road. All those factors combined mean that Swansea should be confident of taking the win here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Luton Town
| Swansea vs Luton Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2.38 | 1.95 | -18.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Luton Town wins | 2.88 | 3.9 | +35.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 18.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 51.3% (9.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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