England - Carabao Cup
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Swansea vs Gillingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Daniel Ngulu in Carabao Cup Predictions
Swansea will welcome League Two side Gillingham in the first round of the 2024/25 League Cup. The two sides meet up on Tuesday looking to build on contrasting starts to their seasons. Let’s have a look at the match preview after which we will offer a prediction.
Swansea had a false start to their season, falling 1-0 to Middlesbrough in the Championship on Saturday. Playing at home for the first time this season, they’ll be keen on bouncing back. This match will mark the first of three straight home matches.
The Swans will be confident, having won four of the last six games at home. They last met Gillingham in 2019 in an FA Cup clash, and won 4-1. The Tuesday match will be their second meeting in 16 years and Swansea haven't lost in the last four matches against their visitors.
Gillingham’s last win against Swansea was in 2006. Having started their season on a winning note, they will be confident of ending their poor run against Swansea. The Gills are coming from a 4-1 win at home to Carlisle United in League Two.
Last year, they advanced past this round after beating Southampton. However, they would meet Luton Town in the second round, and that’s where their journey in this competition ended. In the last two seasons, their League Cup campaigns ended with losses away from home.
Gillingham have actually managed just one win in regular time in their last 10 away matches in the competition. Five times in their most recent six away matches, they suffered defeats and failed to score three times in the six games on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Gillingham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 19 | 501 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.7 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.02 | 14.4 | 380 |
|
|
1.02 | 14.4 | 380 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.9 | 8 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.14 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.14 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.02 | 14.25 | 100 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.14 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.03 | 12 | 77 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 251 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.33 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 9 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Gillingham?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Gillingham match is: Swansea to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between Swansea and Gillingham in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.87% for a win of Swansea against Gillingham with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Gillingham is 20.34% with odds of 23 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Gillingham vs Swansea with odds of 501 at Bet365.
Swansea - Gillingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Gillingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 45.87% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.23% | 2.74 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swansea | 17.68% | 4.7 at Unibet |
Swansea vs Gillingham Form
Swansea and Gillingham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2024 - Championship
1 Apr 2024 - Championship
16 Mar 2024 - Championship
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League Two
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League Two
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - League Two
13 Apr 2024 - League Two
29 Mar 2024 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Players list
L. Vigouroux
DefenderK. Naughton
K. Pedersen
B. Cabango
N. Tjoe-a-On
MidfielderJ. Fulton
O. Cooper
A. Abdulai
M. Grimes
R. Pereira Martins
ForwardZ. Vipotnik
G. Morris
DefenderR. McKenzie
M. Clark
A. Giles
S. Ogie
MidfielderM. Ehmer
J. Gbode
J. Clarke
J. Nolan
J. Williams
E. Williams
Substitutes
N. Broome
DefenderJ. Tymon
H. Darling
J. Key
MidfielderE. Ji-sung
G. Franco
ForwardL. Cullen
D. Watt
J. Thomas
J. Turner
MidfielderA. Rowe
G. Lapslie
ForwardO. Hawkins
J. Wakeling
M. Wyllie
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Gillingham
L. Cullen
(3 Goals)
J. Clarke
(4 Goals)
R. Pereira Martins
(2 Assists)
Swansea - Gillingham Key Points
- Gillingham have five losses in six away matches.
- Swansea have four wins in their last six home matches.
- In four of eight away matches, Gillingham failed to score.
- Swansea beat Gillingham the last time the two sides faced off.
- In three of their last five home games, Swansea won with clean sheets.
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Our Swansea vs Gillingham Prediction
Swansea will be back at home after their opening game of the season ended in defeat. They have had a good run at home in recent matches. That, coupled with their strong run against Gillingham, should place them as favorites in this encounter.
The visitors aren’t on a strong run away from home and playing in a lower league means they are meeting a stronger opponent. They also failed to score in half of their last eight away matches. Our prediction for Swansea v Gillingham is for Swansea to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Gillingham
| Swansea vs Gillingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 1.5 | 1.02 | -32.0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 19 | +338.8% |
| Gillingham wins | 6 | 501 | +8,250.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 32.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 98.0% (31.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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