England - Championship
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by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
Derby County will make a visit to south Wales on Saturday afternoon as they travel to the Liberty Stadium to take on Swansea. The Rams are currently 20th in the Championship prior to the match while the Swans are 16th. Let's get stuck into a prediction.
Swansea are not safe yet but they have a five-point gap between themselves and the drop. They have a couple of wins in their last three at home, taking a loss to Burnley in their most recent game here but there is no disgrace in that.
Inconsistency has plagued their season, picking up a point away at Leeds the last time that they played after a run of four games where they scored one goal in total.
A win at home to Preston on Wednesday has Derby on the right side of the relegation line but only by one point. Just Oxford and Plymouth have won fewer away games than the Rams so far in the league.
They have hit form at the right time, winning four straight after a run of 13 in all competitions without picking up a success. Three of those four wins have come at Pride Park though, their only road success at bottom of the league Plymouth.
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The Best Betting Odds for Swansea v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.88 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.9 | 4 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.08 | 4.07 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.08 | 4.07 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Swansea vs Derby County match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Swansea and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.29% for a win of Swansea against Derby County with odds of 2.18 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Swansea vs Derby County is 24.22% with odds of 3.44 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Swansea with odds of 4.2 at Betfred.
Swansea - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Swansea Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 39.29% | 2.18 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.34% | 1.87 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.4 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swansea | 14.99% | 5 at Betfair |
Swansea vs Derby County Form
Swansea and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
60 | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | -4 |
|
21
|
46 | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | -9 |
Swansea and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
9 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
Swansea vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
1 May 2019 - Championship
Players list
L. Vigouroux
DefenderJ. Key
B. Cabango
H. Darling
E. Ji-sung
J. Tymon
MidfielderZ. Vipotnik
J. Allen
L. O'Brien
C. Christie
ForwardL. Cullen
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderK. Wilson
K. Goudmijn
N. Phillips
M. Clarke
C. Forsyth
MidfielderN. Mendez Laing
H. Armstrong
T. Barkhuizen
ForwardL. Wheeldon
L. Wheeldon
Substitutes
J. Mclaughlin
DefenderK. Naughton
C. Christie
S. Parker
MidfielderO. Cooper
E. Ji-sung
F. Bianchini
J. Allen
Z. Vipotnik
J. Vickers
DefenderJ. Rooney
E. Pieters
K. Robinson
MidfielderK. Goudmijn
J. Hendrick
N. Mendez Laing
T. Barkhuizen
L. Wheeldon
Most goals and assists
Swansea
Derby County
L. Cullen
(11 Goals)
J. Yates
(10 Goals)
R. Pereira Martins
(5 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(4 Assists)
Swansea - Derby County Key Points
- Swansea won 2-1 at Derby at the end of November.
- In their 10 away games between Derby’s two away wins, they failed to score five times.
- Over their last five at home, Swansea have failed to score in three but kept clean sheets in the other two.
- Derby averages 0.79 goals scored per away game.
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Our Swansea vs Derby County Prediction
Derby arrives in flying form but primarily that has come at home. Their 3-2 win at Plymouth was an outlier in terms of their away form, the first time they have scored three in 21 away games in all competitions this season.
Swansea have been inconsistent at home, capable of clean sheets with seven at home in the league this season but also failing to score in 26% of their home games. Our Swansea vs Derby prediction is for under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Swansea Derby County
| Swansea vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 2 | 2.1 | +5.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.1 | -8.8% |
| Derby County wins | 3.75 | 3.9 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 47.6% (-2.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Swansea vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Swansea and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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