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Sunderland vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Ian John in Championship Predictions
Sunderland defend their perfect home record in the Championship on Tuesday night as they host Derby County in what should be an entertaining clash at the Stadium of Light. The Black Cats sit second in the table after the weekend’s result, while the Rams solid home form sees them lying 13th in the table. Let’s check out our considered prediction for this match.
Occasionally in a game, the data is so overwhelming that it points to one result and that is the case here. Sunderland have played three games at home this season, won them all, scoring six goals in the process and not conceding a single goal in reply.
They did lose at the weekend, a 2-1 defeat away to Watford, their second loss of the season away from home, but despite that, their excellent start of five wins in seven means that they trail leaders West Brom by just a point.
Derby’s form away from home is equally emphatic, but not in a positive way. The Rams have lost all of their away games this season, losing to Blackburn (4-2), Watford (2-1), Barrow (in the Carabao cup 3-2 on penalties after a 0-0 draw) and Sheffield United (1-0).
They were also unfortunate to lose at home for the first time this past weekend, going down to a 3-2 defeat to Norwich at Pride Park. However Norwich’s first goal of that game should not have stood. It will be interesting to see how the Rams bounce back from that injustice here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sunderland v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.82 | 4.95 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.82 | 4.95 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.9 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.82 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.85 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.94 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Derby County match is: Sunderland to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2024 between Sunderland and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.25% for a win of Sunderland against Derby County with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Derby County is 16.87% with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Sunderland with odds of 5.75 at Betobet.
Sunderland - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 60.25% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 52.17% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 38.1% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sunderland | 29.04% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Sunderland vs Derby County Form
Sunderland and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
29 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
|
16
|
15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -1 |
Sunderland and Derby County Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
18 Aug 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
18 Aug 2024 - Championship
4 May 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Players list
A. Patterson
DefenderT. Hume
C. Mepham
D. Cirkin
MidfielderL. O'Nien
A. Browne
D. Neill
J. Bellingham
I. Poveda
R. Mundle
ForwardN. Rusyn
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderK. Wilson
C. Nelson
E. Cashin
R. Nyambe
MidfielderK. Goudmijn
N. Mendez Laing
E. Adams
C. Forsyth
ForwardK. Jackson
C. Blackett-Taylor
Substitutes
S. Moore
DefenderL. Hjelde
MidfielderA. Browne
Z. Johnson
N. Rusyn
A. Ba
ForwardI. Poveda
M. Aleksic
T. Watson
J. Vickers
DefenderC. Forsyth
R. Nyambe
S. Bradley
MidfielderN. Mendez Laing
D. Brown
K. Jackson
J. Collins
C. Blackett-Taylor
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Derby County
R. Mundle
(4 Goals)
, 
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
K. Jackson
(3 Goals)
P. Roberts
(4 Assists)
K. Jackson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(2 Assists)
, 
N. Mendez Laing
(2 Assists)
Sunderland - Derby County Key Points
- Sunderland have won all three home games this season without conceding.
- Derby have lost all three away games this season.
- Derby have just one win over Sunderland in the last 17 matches.
- Derby's last away win over Sunderland was in December 1990.
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Our Sunderland vs Derby County Prediction
Our prediction for Sunderland vs. Derby County in the Championship is: Sunderland to win.
As predictions go, this is one of the easiest ones to pick so far this season. Sunderland's excellent home form this season contrasts sharply with Derby's miserable form away from home. Then supporting that is Sunderland's excellent historical record against Derby, with one loss in 17 and no Derby win away to Sunderland in 34 years. Last time the teams met, Sunderland were 4-1 winners and it may be a similar scoreline in this game too.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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