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Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Nella Wagah in Champions League Predictions
The Venue 28 Black Arena in Klagenfurt will play host to the UEFA Champions League clash pitting Sturm Graz against Sporting Lisbon. For hosts, The Blackies, it hasn’t been a great run in this competition so far. The visiting Leões will hope to take advantage of Sturm Graz’s early struggles when they meet on Tuesday in Match Day 3 action. Let’s have a look at the stats and our prediction for the match.
Sturm Graz booked their return to the Champions League after 24 years courtesy of a shock league win. It hasn’t been a smooth return, their struggles in Europe continuing with two straight losses this term. There’s a need to improve here, to rise from 31st spot in the standings.
It seems though, that Sporting Lisbon will be the ones improving on their placing, after bagging four points from two matches. Sporting also won the two meetings between these sides in the Europa League last season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 4.75 | 1.42 |
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7.5 | 5 | 1.36 |
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7.18 | 4.87 | 1.46 |
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7.18 | 4.87 | 1.46 |
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10.5 | 4.9 | 1.31 |
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7.7 | 5.15 | 1.37 |
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7.7 | 5.15 | 1.37 |
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8.2 | 5.6 | 1.36 |
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7.7 | 5.15 | 1.37 |
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7.8 | 5.4 | 1.38 |
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7.7 | 5.1 | 1.43 |
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7 | 5 | 1.4 |
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8 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
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8 | 5 | 1.3 |
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7.3 | 5.15 | 1.42 |
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7.5 | 5 | 1.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2024 between Sturm Graz and Sporting Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.59% for a win of Sturm Graz against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 10.5 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon is 10.33% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Sturm Graz with odds of 1.46 at 1xbet.
Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sturm Graz Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 66.08% | 1.46 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.56% | 1.66 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 37.08% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Sturm Graz and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
|
33
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Sturm Graz and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
25 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
22 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
25 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
28 Aug 2024 - ÖFB Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2023 - Europa League
21 Sep 2023 - Europa League
Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis
Sturm Graz have suffered back-to-back defeats in their first two Champions League matches. Those results leave the team sitting dangerously low in the league standings.
However, backed by two straight wins in the Austrian Bundesliga, the hosts will be confident of getting it right at home. They beat Grazer AK 5-2 in their weekend assignment, for their third win in four matches.
The only defeat in that run was at home to Club Brugge on Match Day 2. Sporting will be a tougher opponent and Sturm Graz must be at their best to avoid another loss.
Failing to score in only two of their seven matches so far makes for a good run in attack and Sturm Graz will hope to make it count.
Sporting Lisbon has the head-to-head advantage in this fixture.
Sporting Lisbon, like their hosts, come into this game leading in their domestic league. They have eight wins in eight league games and are unbeaten in their last 11 matches.
A 2-1 win against Portimonense on Friday marked a 10th win in 11 matches for Sporting. The only time they failed to win in that run was against PSV in a 1-1 draw on Match Day 2.
They will be gunning for a return to winning ways on Tuesday. Even though Sporting’s record in Austria isn’t the best, they won the last time they visited. That was in the away leg of their match against Sturm Graz in the Europa League.
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Sturm Graz against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 2 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Sturm Graz & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis
Sturm Graz have a tough assignment here and will hope Mika Biereth carries his impressive scoring form to the game. The Danish forward has already scored eight league goals and one in the domestic cup this season.
He is yet to score in Europe and with the weight of expectation he’ll want to do better on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, Sturm Graz will be without Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Gregory Wuthrich and Alex Borkovic, who are all nursing injuries.
Defensively, Sporting Lisbon have been hit hard with injuries.
Sporting Lisbon are going to field a strong side here after manager Ruben Amorim rotated his team for the weekend match. A number of top players were rested in planning for this match.
Those included their leading scorer, Viktor Gyokeres, goalkeeper Franco Israel, Hidemasa Morita and Geny Catamo. There will be more options in defence with the return of Jeremiah St Juste.
However, Goncalo Inacio, Ousmane Diomande and Matheus Reis are all out with injury.
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Sporting Lisbon
M. Biereth
(8 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(21 Goals)
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
(3 Assists)
F. Trincao
(8 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Four of Sturm Graz’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- 20 goals were scored in total in Sturm Graz’s last five matches.
- Sturm Graz’s last five Champions League matches had 16 goals.
- Three of Sporting Lisbon’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- The two previous meetings between these two sides had six goals.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
This match will mark the first meeting between these teams in the Champions League. The first two, both in the Europa League, which were won by Sporting Lisbon, produced six goals.
These two teams are also coming into this game off the back of high-scoring matches and the trend could continue here. In Sturm Graz’s last five matches, 20 goals were netted, while the last five in the Champions league had 16 goals.
Three of Sporting’s last five matches had three goals scored. Going by these stats, our prediction for Sturm Graz v Sporting is for over 2.5 goals.
Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
While Sturm Graz come into this game as the underdogs, their scoring form has been impressive. After scoring in four of their last five Champions League matches, they are even more likely to score here, as they play at home.
Sporting Lisbon are also a strong unit in attack and coming here as the favorites boosts them psychologically. For this game, we will also back both teams to score.
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Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The Sturm Graz v Sporting Lisbon match will be played on Tuesday 22 October.
The Sturm Graz v Sporting Lisbon match will be played at the Venue 28 Black Arena.
The Sturm Graz v Sporting Lisbon match will be aired on Sky Australia, Canal+ and Servus TV in Austria. Sport TV and DAZN will air the game in Portugal while Sportytrader will have the updates accessible through the UEFA Champions League Liverscores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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