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Sturm Graz vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
The new Champions League format hasn’t gone down well for Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig in the first season. The two sides will not be advancing past the league phase and their clash on Wednesday is just a formality. Sturm Graz hosts this match at the Worthersee Stadion.
Both teams have had identical runs, losing six and winning one, to settle on three points heading into this match. Leipzig are in 30th spot and Sturm Graz are three places lower. A draw in this match will mean either side can’t finish bottom of the standings, and that’s all they can play for at the moment.
We have the preview and two predictions for this match below. Sturm Graz suffered their joint heaviest defeat in the Champions League on matchday seven, when they fell 5-0 to Atalanta. Leipzig have had a poor season in Europe, for the first time exiting in the first round, after losing their opening six matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.8 | 1.83 |
|
|
4 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.75 | 2.62 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.18 | 3.91 | 1.87 |
|
|
4.18 | 3.91 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.7 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.84 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.84 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.95 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.84 | 1.86 |
|
|
4 | 4 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.7 | 1.91 |
|
|
4 | 3.85 | 1.9 |
|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.7 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.7 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.85 | 1.92 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Leipzig match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2025 between Sturm Graz and Leipzig in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.66% for a win of Sturm Graz against Leipzig with odds of 4.18 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Leipzig is 20.31% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Sturm Graz with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
Sturm Graz - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sturm Graz Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 49.66% | 4.18 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.22% | 1.63 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Leipzig / Full-time: Sturm Graz | 21.81% | 40 at Betsson |
Sturm Graz vs Leipzig Form
Sturm Graz and Leipzig's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
30
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 |
|
32
|
3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -7 |
Sturm Graz and Leipzig Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - ÖFB Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
Sturm Graz - Leipzig: Form Analysis
A poor defence and a misfiring forward line are to blame for Sturm Graz’s misfortunes in the Champions League. The Austrian side is coming into this game off the back of conceding 14 in the opening seven games and only scoring four times.
Upon returning from their winter break, Sturm Graz were blanked 5-0 in Bergamo by Atalanta. That followed on from an earlier 3-2 defeat to Lille in France.
Their only win, and clean sheet came against another eliminated side, Girona, whom they beat 1-0 on matchday five.
In the last four seasons, Leipzig won their final Champions League (UCL) group game.
There’s some feeling of recovery at RB Leipzig. The German side rose to their first win in the Champions League this season, beating Portuguese giants Sporting 2-1.
That matchday seven win was followed on by a remarkable comeback in the Bundesliga to hold Bayer Leverkusen to a 2-2 draw. With their good scoring run, Leipzig should be able to sign out here on a winning note.
They have netted at least two goals in four of the last five matches. They also have a good run attack in the Champions League but haven't kept a clean sheet this season.
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Sturm Graz against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Sturm Graz & Leipzig Squad Analysis
These two sides are expected to give this game a real go, being the final match of a miserable campaign. There’s nothing much to gain so the absent players won’t be missed a lot.
Sturm Graz will be without defender Alex Borkovic who is still out. He is nursing a serious knee injury that has sidelined him for close to a year.
Max Johnston will join him in the treatment room, albeit for a lesser problem as he deals with a muscular strain. With the hosts needing creativity in the search for goals William Boving could be an option in attack.
William Boving has two assists in the Champions League.
Visiting Leipzig look stronger on paper, especially in attack. With Xavi Simons back, the Germans look more threatening going forward.
Benjamin Sesko is expected to start despite being linked with an exit and he will team up with Simons and Lois Openda in attack.
Andre Silva is out of this game with a calf injury, the same injury keeping Kevin Kampl out after the draw with Bayer Leverkusen.
Xaver Schlager is also out, nursing a knee injury.
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Leipzig
M. Biereth
(13 Goals)
B. Sesko
(14 Goals)
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
(3 Assists)
,
T. Chukwuani
(3 Assists)
,
W. Boving Vick
(3 Assists)
,
M. Biereth
(3 Assists)
L. Openda
(7 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Leipzig Key Points
- Sturm Graz conceded eight times in their last two UCL matches.
- Sturm Graz’s last five UCL matches had 14 goals in total.
- Three of Leipzig’s last five away matches had over 2.5 goals.
- On average 3.6 goals were scored in Leipzig’s last five away games.
- Each of Leipzig’s last eight matches produced three or more goals.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Leipzig Prediction
These two sides will not be under any pressure here as this is a dead-rubber affair. There will be nothing restricting them and thus we expect them to go all out in attack as they both seek a strong finish.
It has been a torrid run in the Champions League but one stat that stood out for both is their high-scoring returns. As the two are expected to go on the offensive, we will base our bet on the goals market here. Our prediction for Sturm Graz v Leipzig is for over 2.5.
Sturm Graz vs Leipzig - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
As we expect a high scoring clash here, we can’t also rule out both teams getting the net to bulge. In Leipzig’s last five matches, both teams scored and Sturm Graz failed to score in just one of their last five matches. Our second prediction for this match will be for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sturm Graz Leipzig
| Sturm Graz vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 3.8 | 4 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.8 | -2.6% |
| Leipzig wins | 1.83 | 1.83 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sturm Graz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 25.0% (-1.3%)
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Sturm Graz vs Leipzig match : Frequently asked questions
The Sturm Graz v Leipzig match is scheduled for Wednesday 29 January.
The Sturm Graz v Leipzig match will be played at the Worthersee Stadium in Klagenfurt.
The Sturm Graz v Leipzig match will be aired live on Sky Austria, Canal+ and Servus TV for Austrian fans. Germans can follow the match on DAZN and Amazon Prime. You may also follow the Champions League updates on SportyTrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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