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Sturm Graz vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Nella Wagah in Champions League Predictions
Austrian champions Sturm Graz and Spanish side Girona, debutants in the Champions League, are both struggling in Europe. Their meeting at the league phase of the competition presents a chance for a rare win in Europe. These two will on Match Day 5 of the Champions League, face off at Wörthersee Stadium, in Austria, hosted by Sturm. As Sturm Graz make a seventh attempt at beating a Spanish opponent, let’s dive into the stats in this preview, which will then build our prediction.
Back at home, Sturm Graz stand as a very strong outfit and they demonstrated the same by dethroning Salzburg. However, they are among the minnows in Europe, and have lost all four opening matches at this stage.
Girona’s first stab at European football has offered a lot of lessons already. They go into this Wednesday encounter having won once in four matches on the continent. Finishing the first phase inside the playoff positions will be a big positive, and three points here would go a long way.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Girona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 | 3.7 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
4 | 3.77 | 1.94 |
|
|
4 | 3.77 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.58 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.7 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.65 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
3.89 | 3.7 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.65 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.6 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Girona?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Girona match is: Girona to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/11/2024 between Sturm Graz and Girona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.84% for a win of Sturm Graz against Girona with odds of 4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Girona is 16.76% with odds of 3.77 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Girona vs Sturm Graz with odds of 2.1 at Stake.
Sturm Graz - Girona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sturm Graz Girona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 48.84% | 4 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.72% | 2.13 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.1% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sturm Graz/Sturm Graz | 21.51% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Sturm Graz vs Girona Form
Sturm Graz and Girona's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
29
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
|
30
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 |
Sturm Graz and Girona Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - ÖFB Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - ÖFB Cup
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
27 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
25 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
30 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
Sturm Graz - Girona: Form Analysis
At the seventh time of asking, Sturm Graz will be trying to get their first ever win against a Spanish team. Taking on a side getting a first taste of Champions League football could make this target easier on paper, for the Austrian champions.
That ambition would go hand in hand with their quest to avoid a fifth straight defeat in the competition. Sturm Graz are one of the five teams yet to pick up a point in the Champions League.
The Austrian side lost 1-0 in Dortmund in the last round, but come here confident after a 7-0 drubbing of Klagenfurt in the Austrian Bundesliga.
The only time Sturm Graz didn’t lose to a Spanish team was the 1-1 draw with Real Sociedad in 2021.
Girona will not want to rest their hopes on history pitting Sturm Graz against Spanish opponents. They have a three-point buffer between them and their hosts, and they’ll want to use that as a stepping stone.
No Spanish side has ever lost their first ever three Champions League away matches. Girona, who lost their first two in this debut season, will not want to own that record.
A 2-0 home win against Slovan Bratislava handed them a first ever Champions League win but on Match Day 4 things turned sour. They lost 4-0 at PSV Eindhoven. Girona have won back-to-back La Liga matches after that, most recently thrashing Espanyol 4-1.
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Sturm Graz against Girona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Sturm Graz & Girona Squad Analysis
Sturm Graz are still dealing with the exit of coach Christian Ilzer during the international break. Interim manager Jurgen Saumel started with a 7-0 win and many will be waiting on his first Champions League selection.
A player he will not be able to call on, is midfielder Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, who is out for the season remainder with a shoulder injury. Amady Camara is doubtful for the game with illness.
Girona could have up to five players unavailable for this game.
While Girona are first timers in Europe, their squad is littered with experienced heads. Most notably, the former Ajax and Manchester United duo; Daley Blind and Donny van de Beek.
The two featured in both legs as Ajax beat Sturm Graz in 2018. Also, Cristian Portu was in the Real Sociedad side that faced Sturm Graz in 2021 but he is ruled out of this game.
While they aren’t short of experienced players, Girona must plan for this game without Arnau Martinez, who was sent off against PSV. Others unavailable but through injury, are Yangel Herrera, Abel Ruiz and Gabriel Misehouy.
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Girona
M. Biereth
(13 Goals)
C. Stuani
(4 Goals)
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
(3 Assists)
,
W. Boving Vick
(3 Assists)
,
M. Biereth
(3 Assists)
M. Gutierrez
(4 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Girona Key Points
- Girona have four wins in their last five matches.
- Sturm Graz have never beaten a Spanish opponent.
- Sturm Graz are winless this season in the Champions League.
- Sturm Graz lost each of their last 11 Champions League matches.
- Girona have tasted victory this season in the Champions League.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Girona Prediction
Sturm Graz would want to look at their experience in Europe to give them an edge coming here, but that might not count for much. For starters, in their last 12 matches in the Champions League, they are winless, with most having ended in defeat. The hosts are among the teams yet to pick a point in this year’s competition.
Girona, on the other hand, have already tasted Champions League victory and will be eyeing three points to push their targets through. The Spanish side will be helped on by the unsettling changes in coaching at Sturm Graz and will want to reap from that. Our prediction for Sturm Graz v Girona is for Girona to win.
Sturm Graz vs Girona - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Girona’s Champions League matches have so far produced 12 goals. That’s an average of three per game. At least three goals were scored as well in four of their last five matches.
Their hosts, Sturm Graz, are coming from high scoring matches, a feature we may see here too. Our second prediction, therefore, is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sturm Graz Girona
| Sturm Graz vs Girona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 3.5 | 3.75 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.7 | -1.3% |
| Girona wins | 2 | 1.95 | -2.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sturm Graz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 26.7% (-1.9%)
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Sturm Graz vs Girona match : Frequently asked questions
The Sturm Graz v Girona match will be played on Wednesday 27 November.
The Sturm Graz v Girona match will be played at Wörthersee Stadium.
The Sturm Graz v Girona match will be aired on Sky Austria, Canal+ and ServusTV for Austrian audiences. For those in Spain, the match will be televised on Telefonica. If you wish to follow the game on Sportytrader, the UEFA Champions League livescores page will have the updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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