Stoke vs Fleetwood Town Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Steve Ashfield in Carabao Cup Predictions
Championship side Stoke City host League Two Fleetwood Town in the second round of the Carabao Cup. The Potters are 13th in the table and Fleetwood a place higher in their division. Here's our match prediction.
Stoke sacked their coach Steven Schumacher after their weekend loss at Oxford on Saturday. They have six points from their five league games but only scored three goals. At home, City have only had two games this season.
They beat Coventry City 1-0 but were beaten 2-1 by West Bromwich Albion. Fleetwood are the second League Two side that Stoke have faced in this season's Carabao Cup. Round one saw them win 2-0 away at Carlisle United.
That took them into a second round match at fellow Championship side Middlesbrough. They had an excellent night and won that match 5-0 with four of their goals coming in the second half of that game.
Fleetwood Town are in the third round of this competition for the first time since 2020/21. The League Two side have had two home wins so far with victories over Championship side West Brom and League One Rotherham United.
The Cod Army won 3-2 at Carlisle United in their most recent league fixture, though they led 2-0 at one stage. They have earned eight points from five league games and half of those have come on the road.
Relegated from League One last season, Fleetwood have only won two of their last 11 away fixtures. We tip Stoke City to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v Fleetwood Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.5 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.5 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.2 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.38 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.48 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.4 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Fleetwood Town?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Fleetwood Town match is: Stoke to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2024 between Stoke and Fleetwood Town in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.5% for a win of Stoke against Fleetwood Town with odds of 1.54 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Fleetwood Town is 23.24% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Fleetwood Town vs Stoke with odds of 6.25 at Betobet.
Stoke - Fleetwood Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Fleetwood Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 47.5% | 1.54 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.46% | 1.82 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stoke | 17.2% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Stoke vs Fleetwood Town Form
Stoke and Fleetwood Town Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - League Two
3 Sep 2024 - EFL Trophy
31 Aug 2024 - League Two
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - League Two
18 Aug 2024 - League Two
Players list
V. Johansson
DefenderJ. Dixon
B. Wilmot
M. Rose
E. Bocat
MidfielderS. Sidibe
T. Cannon
J. Thompson
D. Lipsiuc
W. Burger
ForwardE. Tezgel
J. Lynch
DefenderJ. Bolton
K. Hughes
MidfielderB. Sarpong-Wiredu
T. Lonergan
P. Patterson
A. Odubeko
E. Bonds
R. Broom
M. Virtue
ForwardR. Graydon
Substitutes
J. Bonham
DefenderF. Anderson
E. Bocat
B. Wilmot
D. Lipsiuc
W. Burger
T. Seko
ForwardT. Cannon
E. Tezgel
D. Harrington
DefenderK. Hughes
R. Bennett
F. Potter
MidfielderP. Smith
R. Broom
T. Lonergan
R. Graydon
A. Odubeko
Stoke - Fleetwood Town Key Points
- Stoke are two leagues above their opponents.
- Both of Fleetwood's wins in this season's Carabao Cup have been at home.
- Stoke are yet to concede a goal in this season's Carabao Cup, both matches played away from home.
- Fleetwood Town have only won two of their last 11 away competitive fixtures.
- Fleetwood have lost their last four away Carabao Cup games, including a loss at Stoke in 2020.
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Our Stoke vs Fleetwood Town Prediction
Stoke City are the favorites to progress into the fourth round of the Carabao Cup. They have had two impressive away wins in this competition and finally they get a home draw.
Fleetwood have already beaten one Championship side in this season's Carabao Cup but West Brom were beaten at home. Away form is a struggle at times and our Stoke v Fleetwood Town prediction is Stoke to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Fleetwood Town
| Stoke vs Fleetwood Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 1.62 | 1.48 | -8.6% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.5 | +20.0% |
| Fleetwood Town wins | 5.5 | 6 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 67.6% (5.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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