England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Stoke vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
A lunchtime kickoff in the Championship as Stoke welcomes Derby to the bet365 Stadium. The Potters are 19th while the Rams are 12th ahead of this match as we dig into the contest to find a prediction.
Stoke is not the fortress it once was. The home side has two wins, two draws and two losses at home in the league so far. Only Coventry has been shut out here, the other five teams all netted as did Fleetwood in the League Cup.
Their last two have been draws with Norwich (1-1) and Bristol City (2-2). 2-0 to the good at halftime against Bristol will be an effort that they will want to erase. They lost 2-3 at Southampton in the League Cup in midweek.
Derby is yet to win in six away games. Points have been gained at Millwall and Oxford in back-to-back games after losing their first four. They all came at stronger sides than Stoke.
They arrive off the back of three straight 1-1 draws. Home to Hull was the most recent of those, a team that left Stoke with a 3-1 win in late September.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.4 | 3.27 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.4 | 3.27 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.41 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.47 | 3.27 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.1 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Derby County match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2024 between Stoke and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.2% for a win of Stoke against Derby County with odds of 2.35 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Derby County is 42.27% with odds of 3.5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Stoke with odds of 3.3 at Betobet.
Stoke - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42.27% | 3.5 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.81% | 1.87 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.87% | 5 at Bet365 |
Stoke vs Derby County Form
Stoke and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
|
13
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 |
Stoke and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Sep 2024 - Championship
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
Stoke vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2021 - Championship
31 Jan 2020 - Championship
13 Mar 2019 - Championship
Stoke against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Derby County
T. Cannon
(7 Goals)
K. Jackson
(3 Goals)
,
J. Yates
(3 Goals)
A. Moran
(4 Assists)
, 
B. Joon-ho
(4 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(2 Assists)
,
K. Jackson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(2 Assists)
Stoke - Derby County Key Points
- Five of Stoke’s six home games have seen both teams scoring.
- Derby have accounted for 40% of the home goals conceded by Blackburn, Watford and Oxford combined!
- Stoke kept five clean sheets in their first six games in all competitions. They have kept one in nine matches since.
- Both teams have scored in four of Derby’s six away games this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Stoke vs Derby County Prediction
Stoke blanked Coventry here on the opening weekend but have conceded in every home game since. Derby has had some tough tasks on the road so far but has started to pick up points and found the back of the net at three teams all in the top 10.
Stoke are conceding an average of 1.5 goals per home game in the league but are scoring two. That suggests that there are going to be goals at both ends here. Our Stoke vs Derby prediction is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Derby County
| Stoke vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 1.95 | 2.35 | +20.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Derby County wins | 3.8 | 3 | -21.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 29.4% (0.8%)
bet365 - Bet Boost
Available to all bet365 customers, you will find bet boosts when you click on the promotions tab on the site. The events that have bet boosts on them are easily identifiable with a green arrow next to them. To take the boosted price, just click on it to add it to your betslip.
They are found on most sports, with horse racing a firm favourite for bet boosts. The horse racing boosts can be found from 10 am up until 15 minutes before a race is scheduled to start but they are only valid to customers in the UK and Ireland. A bet boost cannot be combined with another bet boost, nor are they valid for any of the sport-specific boosts such as the football or tennis acca boosts.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
