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Germany - Bundesliga

St. Pauli

22 Sep 2024 13:30

Leipzig

Prediction :

Leipzig wins the match

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St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Prediction published on 22/09/2024, 04:48 by Daniel Ngulu in Bundesliga Predictions

St. Pauli will welcome Leipzig in their next Bundesliga match as they go seeking their opening league win. Newly promoted St. Pauli start this game in the relegation zone while Leipzig are third. Let’s have a look at the preview and prediction of this game.

At the close of match week three, St. Pauli hadn’t registered a point in the Bundesliga. They opened their campaign with an extra time win against Hallescher FC in the DFB Pokal and that’s their only win this season.

The three league games that followed all ended in defeats. First it was a 2-0 beating at home against Heidenheim, then away to Union Berlin. Most recently, St. Pauli suffered a 3-1 defeat at Augsburg, though on a positive note, they got their first goal of the season.

The last time Leipzig met St. Pauli was eight years ago, yet this season alone, these two sides will meet three times. In all their last three matches against St. Pauli, Leipzig lost. That was back in the Bundesliga 2.

Things have changed a lot and Leipzig will go into this game as clear favorites. They come here limping, after failing to win their last two matches. The most recent of those was away to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League.

Benjamin Sesko scored an early opener but the Germans couldn’t hold on, and lost 2-1. Before that, Leipzig had seen their perfect start to the domestic campaign halted in a 0-0 draw by Union Berlin.

With a 14-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga, Leipzig will be confident of bagging three points here.

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The Best Betting Odds for St. Pauli v Leipzig Match

1	X	2
5.25	3.9	1.67
4.5	2.7	1.91
5.29	4.37	1.67
5.29	4.37	1.67
5	4	1.69
5.4	3.86	1.64
5.4	3.86	1.64
5.2	4.2	1.64
5.1	4.2	1.62
5.4	4.2	1.61
4.5	4	1.7
5.1	4.1	1.63
4.75	4	1.65
4.75	4.2	1.7
4.8	3.9	1.67
5.1	4.2	1.7

Check all St. Pauli vs Leipzig odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Leipzig?

Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Leipzig match is: Leipzig to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between St. Pauli and Leipzig in Bundesliga :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.8% for a win of St. Pauli against Leipzig with odds of 5.4 at Betwinner.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Leipzig is 20.31% with odds of 4.37 at 1xbet.
Our prediction model gives a 45.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs St. Pauli with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.

St. Pauli - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:

St. Pauli Leipzig Prediction	Probability	Odds
Leipzig wins	45.89%	1.91 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals	67.35%	1.85 at Unibet
Both Team To Score	64.29%
Half-time / Full-time: Leipzig/Leipzig	17.08%	2.6 at Bet365

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Form

St. Pauli and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 Leipzig	21	10	6	3	1	10
16 St. Pauli	8	10	2	2	6	-5

St. Pauli and Leipzig Last Matches

St. Pauli Last matches

All Home Away

W W W L L L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg

3 : 1

St. Pauli

30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin

1 : 0

St. Pauli

25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli

0 : 2

Heidenheim

16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher

2 : 3

St. Pauli

9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli

3 : 0

Atalanta

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich

1 : 3

St. Pauli

L W W L W L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli

0 : 2

Heidenheim

9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli

3 : 0

Atalanta

19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli

1 : 3

Greuther Furth

12 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga

St. Pauli

3 : 1

Osnabruck

26 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga

St. Pauli

1 : 0

Hansa Rostock

14 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga

St. Pauli

3 : 4

Spvgg Elversberg

W W W W L L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg

3 : 1

St. Pauli

30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin

1 : 0

St. Pauli

16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher

2 : 3

St. Pauli

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich

1 : 3

St. Pauli

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon

0 : 1

St. Pauli

13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Bremer SV 1906

1 : 3

St. Pauli

Leipzig Last matches

All Home Away

D W W W D L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid

2 : 1

Leipzig

14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

0 : 0

Union Berlin

31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 3

Leipzig

24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

1 : 0

Bochum

17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal

Rot-Weiss Essen

1 : 4

Leipzig

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig

1 : 1

PSG

W D W D W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

0 : 0

Union Berlin

24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

1 : 0

Bochum

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig

1 : 1

PSG

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig

2 : 0

Aston Villa

11 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

1 : 1

Werder Bremen

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

4 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

D D L W W L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid

2 : 1

Leipzig

31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 3

Leipzig

17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal

Rot-Weiss Essen

1 : 4

Leipzig

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves

3 : 0

Leipzig

18 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

2 : 2

Leipzig

3 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

1 : 1

Leipzig

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Players list

St. Pauli

Goalkeeper

N. Vasilj

Defender

H. Wahl

K. Mets

A. Dzwigala

P. Treu

Midfielder

E. Smith

C. Metcalfe

J. Irvine

Forward

S. Banks

M. Guilavogui

E. Saad

Leipzig

Goalkeeper

P. Gulacsi

Defender

L. Geertruida

L. Klostermann

W. Orban

B. Henrichs

Midfielder

A. Nusa

A. Vermeeren

N. Seiwald

Forward

X. Simons

L. Openda

A. Silva

Substitutes

St. Pauli

Goalkeeper

B. Voll

Defender

A. Dzwigala

M. Saliakas

L. Ritzka

D. Nemeth

Midfielder

S. Banks

O. Afolayan

C. Metcalfe

C. Boukhalfa

Forward

M. Guilavogui

J. Eggestein

A. Albers

D. Sinani

Leipzig

Goalkeeper

M. Vandevoordt

Defender

B. Henrichs

D. Raum

C. Lukeba

E. Bitshiabu

Midfielder

E. Elmas

A. Vermeeren

A. Haidara

Forward

A. Silva

B. Sesko

A. Nusa

C. Baumgartner

L. Openda

Y. Poulsen

Missing players

St. Pauli

Goalkeeper

S. Burchert

S. Ahlers

Forward

S. Zoller

Leipzig

Midfielder

X. Schlager

Most goals and assists

St. Pauli

Leipzig

Top Goalscorer

E. Saad (2 Goals) ,

O. Afolayan (2 Goals) ,

E. Smith (2 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

B. Sesko (7 Goals)

Best assists

J. Irvine (2 Assists) ,

E. Saad (2 Assists)

Best assists

B. Sesko (3 Assists) ,

L. Openda (3 Assists)

St. Pauli - Leipzig Key Points

St. Pauli have lost all their three league matches so far.
In their last 14 Bundesliga matches Leipzig are unbeaten.
Leipzig have two wins in their three league matches this season.
Away from home in Bundesliga action, Leipzig won five of seven matches.

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Our St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction

The celebrations that came with promotion to the Bundesliga are over at St. Pauli and the reality is checking in. Three matches into the new season, they are yet to register a point and matches are coming thick and fast.

Facing Leipzig, the home team will have to be at its best to claim three points here. While St. Pauli are fighting to find their footing, Leipzig haven't lost in 14 straight league matches. They’ve also done well away from home. Our prediction for St. Pauli v Leipzig is for Leipzig to win.

Prediction :

Leipzig wins the match

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Leipzig

St. Pauli vs Leipzig	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
St. Pauli wins	5.25	5.25	0%
Draw	3.9	3.9	0%
Leipzig wins	1.62	1.67	+3.1%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

Leipzig is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 59.9% (-1.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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