Germany - Bundesliga
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by Daniel Ngulu in Bundesliga Predictions
St. Pauli will welcome Leipzig in their next Bundesliga match as they go seeking their opening league win. Newly promoted St. Pauli start this game in the relegation zone while Leipzig are third. Let’s have a look at the preview and prediction of this game.
At the close of match week three, St. Pauli hadn’t registered a point in the Bundesliga. They opened their campaign with an extra time win against Hallescher FC in the DFB Pokal and that’s their only win this season.
The three league games that followed all ended in defeats. First it was a 2-0 beating at home against Heidenheim, then away to Union Berlin. Most recently, St. Pauli suffered a 3-1 defeat at Augsburg, though on a positive note, they got their first goal of the season.
The last time Leipzig met St. Pauli was eight years ago, yet this season alone, these two sides will meet three times. In all their last three matches against St. Pauli, Leipzig lost. That was back in the Bundesliga 2.
Things have changed a lot and Leipzig will go into this game as clear favorites. They come here limping, after failing to win their last two matches. The most recent of those was away to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League.
Benjamin Sesko scored an early opener but the Germans couldn’t hold on, and lost 2-1. Before that, Leipzig had seen their perfect start to the domestic campaign halted in a 0-0 draw by Union Berlin.
With a 14-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga, Leipzig will be confident of bagging three points here.
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The Best Betting Odds for St. Pauli v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 | 3.9 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.5 | 2.7 | 1.91 |
|
|
5.29 | 4.37 | 1.67 |
|
|
5.29 | 4.37 | 1.67 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.69 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Leipzig match is: Leipzig to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between St. Pauli and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.8% for a win of St. Pauli against Leipzig with odds of 5.4 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Leipzig is 20.31% with odds of 4.37 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs St. Pauli with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
St. Pauli - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| St. Pauli Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 45.89% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.35% | 1.85 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Leipzig/Leipzig | 17.08% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
St. Pauli vs Leipzig Form
St. Pauli and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
49 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
|
14
|
30 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 |
St. Pauli and Leipzig Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
26 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
14 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
3 May 2024 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
S. Zoller
Most goals and assists
St. Pauli
Leipzig
B. Sesko
(20 Goals)
J. Irvine
(5 Assists)
L. Openda
(7 Assists)
St. Pauli - Leipzig Key Points
- St. Pauli have lost all their three league matches so far.
- In their last 14 Bundesliga matches Leipzig are unbeaten.
- Leipzig have two wins in their three league matches this season.
- Away from home in Bundesliga action, Leipzig won five of seven matches.
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Our St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction
The celebrations that came with promotion to the Bundesliga are over at St. Pauli and the reality is checking in. Three matches into the new season, they are yet to register a point and matches are coming thick and fast.
Facing Leipzig, the home team will have to be at its best to claim three points here. While St. Pauli are fighting to find their footing, Leipzig haven't lost in 14 straight league matches. They’ve also done well away from home. Our prediction for St. Pauli v Leipzig is for Leipzig to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Leipzig
| St. Pauli vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 5.25 | 5.25 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0% |
| Leipzig wins | 1.62 | 1.67 | +3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 59.9% (-1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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