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St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
22/09/2024 12:30
Leipzig

Prediction :

 

Leipzig wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu in Bundesliga Predictions

St. Pauli will welcome Leipzig in their next Bundesliga match as they go seeking their opening league win. Newly promoted St. Pauli start this game in the relegation zone while Leipzig are third. Let’s have a look at the preview and prediction of this game.

At the close of match week three, St. Pauli hadn’t registered a point in the Bundesliga. They opened their campaign with an extra time win against Hallescher FC in the DFB Pokal and that’s their only win this season.

The three league games that followed all ended in defeats. First it was a 2-0 beating at home against Heidenheim, then away to Union Berlin. Most recently, St. Pauli suffered a 3-1 defeat at Augsburg, though on a positive note, they got their first goal of the season.

The last time Leipzig met St. Pauli was eight years ago, yet this season alone, these two sides will meet three times. In all their last three matches against St. Pauli, Leipzig lost. That was back in the Bundesliga 2.

Things have changed a lot and Leipzig will go into this game as clear favorites. They come here limping, after failing to win their last two matches. The most recent of those was away to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League.

Benjamin Sesko scored an early opener but the Germans couldn’t hold on, and lost 2-1. Before that, Leipzig had seen their perfect start to the domestic campaign halted in a 0-0 draw by Union Berlin.

With a 14-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga, Leipzig will be confident of bagging three points here.

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The Best Betting Odds for St. Pauli v Leipzig Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.25 3.9 1.67
Ladbrokes
4.5 2.7 1.91
1xbet
5.29 4.37 1.67
22bet
5.29 4.37 1.67
Betobet
5 4 1.69
Check all St. Pauli vs Leipzig odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Leipzig?

Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Leipzig match is: Leipzig to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between St. Pauli and Leipzig in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.8% for a win of St. Pauli against Leipzig with odds of 5.4 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Leipzig is 20.31% with odds of 4.37 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs St. Pauli with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.

St. Pauli - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:

St. Pauli Leipzig Prediction Probability Odds
Leipzig wins 45.89% 1.91 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 67.35% 1.85 at Unibet
Both Team To Score 64.29%
Half-time / Full-time: Leipzig/Leipzig 17.08% 2.6 at Bet365

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Form

St. Pauli and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Leipzig
Leipzig
42 27 11 9 7 7
15
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
25 27 7 4 16 -11

St. Pauli and Leipzig Last Matches

St. Pauli
St. Pauli Last matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  1
St. Pauli

30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  0
St. Pauli

25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Heidenheim

16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher
2 :  3
St. Pauli

9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
3 :  0
Atalanta

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
1 :  3
St. Pauli
Leipzig
Leipzig Last matches
D W W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Leipzig

14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
0 :  0
Union Berlin

31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  3
Leipzig

24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  0
Bochum

17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal

Rot-Weiss Essen
1 :  4
Leipzig

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
1 :  1
PSG
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

St. Pauli against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11

St. Pauli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

22
N. Vasilj
5
H. Wahl
8
E. Smith
3
K. Mets
2
M. Saliakas
16
C. Boukhalfa
7
J. Irvine
23
P. Treu
17
O. Afolayan
11
J. Eggestein
26
E. Saad
30
B. Sesko
9
Y. Poulsen
10
X. Simons
13
N. Seiwald
8
A. Haidara
14
C. Baumgartner
22
D. Raum
4
W. Orban
16
L. Klostermann
3
L. Geertruida
1
P. Gulacsi

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Leipzig

Missing players

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Midfielder

J. Sands

Forward

S. Zoller

Leipzig
Leipzig
Midfielder

A. Ouedraogo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato St. Pauli
CD Huachipato Leipzig
Top Goalscorer
M. Guilavogui (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia B. Sesko (17 Goals)
Best assists
Australia J. Irvine (5 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Openda (7 Assists)

St. Pauli - Leipzig Key Points

  1. St. Pauli have lost all their three league matches so far.
  2. In their last 14 Bundesliga matches Leipzig are unbeaten.
  3. Leipzig have two wins in their three league matches this season.
  4. Away from home in Bundesliga action, Leipzig won five of seven matches.
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Our St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction

The celebrations that came with promotion to the Bundesliga are over at St. Pauli and the reality is checking in. Three matches into the new season, they are yet to register a point and matches are coming thick and fast.

Facing Leipzig, the home team will have to be at its best to claim three points here. While St. Pauli are fighting to find their footing, Leipzig haven't lost in 14 straight league matches. They’ve also done well away from home. Our prediction for St. Pauli v Leipzig is for Leipzig to win.

Prediction :

 

Leipzig wins the match

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Leipzig

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
St. Pauli wins 5.25 5.25 0%
Draw 3.9 3.9 0%
Leipzig wins 1.62 1.67 +3.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leipzig is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 59.9% (-1.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

St. Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction
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