Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Daniel Ngulu in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayern Munich pulled clear at the Bundesliga summit last weekend and will be eyeing more of that when they travel to St. Pauli. The Bavarians and Kiezkicker meet for the first time since 2011. Below is our preview and prediction of this match.
The last time these teams met, St. Pauli were crushed 8-1 on their way to getting relegated. They have just returned to the topflight and it has been tough as well. The hosts start this game in 15th spot, having just recorded their second win of the season in beating Hoffenheim 1-0.
St. Pauli haven't been scoring a lot; they are indeed Bundesliga’s lowest scorers with seven goals.
The league’s lowest scorers are to meet the highest scorers. Bayern Munich have scored 32 goals and are also pretty solid defensively. Their midweek 1-0 win over Benfica in the Champions League marked a fourth straight win.
That was also their fourth straight clean sheet, completing a turnaround of fortunes after their loss to Barcelona. A 3-0 win over Union Berlin last week, was helped on by RB Leipzig’s first loss of the season, Bayern opening up a three-point gap. For now, they are the only unbeaten team in the Bundesliga.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for St. Pauli v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 7 | 1.2 |
|
|
7.5 | 3.5 | 1.44 |
|
|
14 | 7.28 | 1.22 |
|
|
14 | 7.28 | 1.22 |
|
|
10 | 6.75 | 1.23 |
|
|
12 | 6.8 | 1.23 |
|
|
10 | 6.7 | 1.24 |
|
|
10 | 6.8 | 1.26 |
|
|
17 | 7.8 | 1.2 |
|
|
13 | 7.5 | 1.18 |
|
|
16 | 7 | 1.18 |
|
|
13 | 7 | 1.2 |
|
|
15 | 7.5 | 1.19 |
|
|
13 | 6.5 | 1.2 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich match is: Bayern Munich to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2024 between St. Pauli and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.17% for a win of St. Pauli against Bayern Munich with odds of 17 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich is 19.98% with odds of 7.8 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli with odds of 1.44 at Ladbrokes.
St. Pauli - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| St. Pauli Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 59.85% | 1.44 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.39% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 26.19% | 2.1 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 27.77% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Form
St. Pauli and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
|
16
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 |
St. Pauli and Bayern Munich Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Oct 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Oct 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
27 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
27 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Burchert
S. Ahlers
B. Voll
DefenderP. Treu
MidfielderC. Metcalfe
ForwardS. Zoller
E. Saad
J. Stanisic
S. Boey
H. Ito
MidfielderA. Pavlovic
Most goals and assists
St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
E. Saad
(2 Goals)
, 
O. Afolayan
(2 Goals)
, 
E. Smith
(2 Goals)
H. Kane
(17 Goals)
E. Saad
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Irvine
(2 Assists)
H. Kane
(9 Assists)
St. Pauli - Bayern Munich Key Points
- In their last four league matches, St. Pauli failed to score twice.
- St. Pauli haven't scored a league goal at home this season.
- St. Pauli lost five times in nine Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich have the second best defence in the league.
- Bayern Munich won with clean sheets in their last four matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayern Munich have suffered a few shocks in Europe but when it comes to domestic action, they’ve been the most stable. This doesn’t look like a game to trouble them, with the two teams placed on the extreme opposite ends of the standings.
The Bavarians have also been doing well defensively of late and we expect to see a projection of that in this game. They do face a team yet to score at home in the league this season. For St. Pauli, breaking one of the best defences in the league will call for some effort. Our prediction for St. Pauli v Bayern Munich is for Bayern Munich to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Bayern Munich
| St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 10 | 13 | +30.0% |
| Draw | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.25 | 1.2 | -4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 83.3% (3.3%)
bet365 - Bet Boost
Available to all bet365 customers, you will find bet boosts when you click on the promotions tab on the site. The events that have bet boosts on them are easily identifiable with a green arrow next to them. To take the boosted price, just click on it to add it to your betslip.
They are found on most sports, with horse racing a firm favourite for bet boosts. The horse racing boosts can be found from 10 am up until 15 minutes before a race is scheduled to start but they are only valid to customers in the UK and Ireland. A bet boost cannot be combined with another bet boost, nor are they valid for any of the sport-specific boosts such as the football or tennis acca boosts.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
