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Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips - Taca de Portugal

Portugal - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
03/04/2025 15:15
Rio Ave

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions

The third of four scheduled meetings between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave will be this Thursday. This will be a semi-final clash in the Portuguese Cup with the winner from the two legs meeting Benfica or Tirsense. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Sporting hosts the first leg, looking to take the early advantage here. They are coming from a strong run and should be able to deal with Rio Ave with relative ease.

In their last outing, Sporting thumped Estrela 3-0. While it was their first clean sheet in four, it marked a fourth straight game in which they scored three times. Sporting are unbeaten in eight matches, winning each of the last five.

Rio Ave will be looking to put a halt to Sporting’s dominance in this fixture. In the last 10 meetings between the two, Rio Ave are winless. The visitors managed three draws in that run, and lost all the rest.

This match comes at a wrong time for Rio Ave, as they have suffered three straight defeats, the most recent a 2-1 loss at Casa Pia. That match to close the month of March, marked the third time in five matches that the visitors conceded two or more goals.

They’ve, however, failed to score in just one of the five matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Rio Ave Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.14 7 15
Betfred
1.14 6.5 13
Ladbrokes
1.14 6.5 13
1xbet
1.13 7.5 17
22bet
1.13 7.5 17
Check all Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave odds
Up to $150 to bet on Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave match is: Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave in Taca de Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.03% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Rio Ave with odds of 1.18 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave is 21.22% with odds of 8.4 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 19 at Vbet.

Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave Prediction and Best Odds:

Sporting Lisbon Rio Ave Prediction Probability Odds
Sporting Lisbon wins 61.03% 1.18 at Betwinner
Over 2.5 goals 68.14% 2.3 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 75.83% 2.4 at Betsson
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon 24.61% 4.35 at Unibet

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Form

Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Famalicao

9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Estoril

27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon
D W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Famalicao

3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Estoril

15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  2
Arouca

11 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Farense

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
Bologna
D D D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

19 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave
Rio Ave Last matches
D L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
2 :  1
Rio Ave

16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

10 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  0
Rio Ave

2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  1
SC Braga

22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
2 :  1
Rio Ave

16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  1
AVS Futebol SAD
L D W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  1
SC Braga

16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  1
AVS Futebol SAD

6 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  1
SC Sao Joao De Ver

3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  2
Porto

18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon
W W D L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
2 :  1
Rio Ave

10 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  0
Rio Ave

22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
2 :  1
Rio Ave

10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  1
Rio Ave

25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Farense
1 :  2
Rio Ave

12 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  3
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

83 %

Draw

17 %

Rio Ave

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Rio Ave

25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
3 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

25 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Rio Ave

6 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

7 Dec 2022 - Portugal League Cup

Rio Ave
0 :  2
Sporting Lisbon
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Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave last Lineups

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

24
Rui Silva
72
Quaresma
26
O. Diomande
25
Goncalo Inacio
22
I. Fresneda
6
Z. Debast
73
E. Freitas Monteiro Ferreira Felicíssimo
2
M. Reis
17
F. Trincao
9
V. Gyokeres
57
G. Quenda
11
T. Morais
7
Andre
80
O. Pohlmann
6
J. Novais
76
M. Neto
21
J. Graca
98
O. Richards
2
J. Panzo
3
A. Ntoi
17
M. Vroussay
1
C. Miszta

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Rio Ave

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato Rio Ave
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (38 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil C. Silva (13 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (12 Assists)
Best assists
Greece M. Vroussay (3 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave Key Points

  1. Rio Ave lost four of their last five matches.
  2. Sporting won each of their last five matches.
  3. Rio Ave are winless in 10 matches against Sporting.
  4. Seven of Sporting’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
  5. Four of Rio Ave’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
Up to $150 to bet on Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave! 

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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction

Sporting Lisbon will definitely be the favorites here. We don’t expect them to slow down any time soon after posting five straight wins. Here they meet a team they’ve dominated and the match finds them in good scoring form too.

In their last four matches though, Sporting managed just one clean sheet. Rio Ave failed to score just once in their last five matches and could frustrate Sporting on that front. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Rio Ave is for Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sporting Lisbon wins 1.18 1.14 -3.4%
Draw 6.5 7 +7.7%
Rio Ave wins 13 15 +15.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 87.7% (3.0%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Sporting Lisbon vs. Rio Ave game!

bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's Taca de Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction
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