Portugal - Taca de Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions
The third of four scheduled meetings between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave will be this Thursday. This will be a semi-final clash in the Portuguese Cup with the winner from the two legs meeting Benfica or Tirsense. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Sporting hosts the first leg, looking to take the early advantage here. They are coming from a strong run and should be able to deal with Rio Ave with relative ease.
In their last outing, Sporting thumped Estrela 3-0. While it was their first clean sheet in four, it marked a fourth straight game in which they scored three times. Sporting are unbeaten in eight matches, winning each of the last five.
Rio Ave will be looking to put a halt to Sporting’s dominance in this fixture. In the last 10 meetings between the two, Rio Ave are winless. The visitors managed three draws in that run, and lost all the rest.
This match comes at a wrong time for Rio Ave, as they have suffered three straight defeats, the most recent a 2-1 loss at Casa Pia. That match to close the month of March, marked the third time in five matches that the visitors conceded two or more goals.
They’ve, however, failed to score in just one of the five matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Rio Ave Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.14 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.14 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.13 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.13 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave match is: Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave in Taca de Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.03% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Rio Ave with odds of 1.18 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave is 21.22% with odds of 8.4 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 19 at Vbet.
Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Rio Ave Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 61.03% | 1.18 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.14% | 1.53 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 75.83% | 2.4 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 24.61% | 4.35 at Unibet |
Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Form
Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal
6 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2022 - Portugal League Cup
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave
V. Gyokeres
(42 Goals)
C. Silva
(13 Goals)
F. Trincao
(13 Assists)
M. Vroussay
(3 Assists)
,
C. Silva
(3 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave Key Points
- Rio Ave lost four of their last five matches.
- Sporting won each of their last five matches.
- Rio Ave are winless in 10 matches against Sporting.
- Seven of Sporting’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Four of Rio Ave’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction
Sporting Lisbon will definitely be the favorites here. We don’t expect them to slow down any time soon after posting five straight wins. Here they meet a team they’ve dominated and the match finds them in good scoring form too.
In their last four matches though, Sporting managed just one clean sheet. Rio Ave failed to score just once in their last five matches and could frustrate Sporting on that front. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Rio Ave is for Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Rio Ave
| Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.18 | 1.14 | -3.4% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
| Rio Ave wins | 13 | 15 | +15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 87.7% (3.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sporting Lisbon vs. Rio Ave game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Taca de Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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