Portugal - League Cup
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Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - League Cup
by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions
FC Porto and Sporting Lisbon are coming from high scoring matches to set up their League Cup meeting. The two giants of Portuguese football face off in the first semi-final of the competition on Tuesday. Below we have the preview and a prediction of the match.
Sporting Lisbon had a crazy game in their last outing which ended 4-4 away to Vitoria Guimaraes. They took the lead very early in that game and twice lost it.
In the end, they needed a stoppage time goal from Trincao to level matters. To get to the semis, Sporting overcame Nacional 3-1. Three of their last four matches in this competition had over 2.5 goals.
Porto have been the biggest beneficiaries of Sporting’s recent struggles. In the league they are within a point of leaders Sporting and with a game in hand. Porto have been doing superbly in recent matches.
Last time out, they thumped Boavista 4-0 in a league game, in the process sending a strong message. Porto are very solid defensively, keeping four straight clean sheets ahead of this game.
They conceded just a goal in their last six matches and won five of them. The last time Porto faced Sporting in this competition, it ended in a 2-0 win for Porto.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.1 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.29 | 3.52 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.29 | 3.52 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.24 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.24 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.22 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.74 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.15 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Porto?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Porto match is: Over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/01/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Porto in League Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.36% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Porto with odds of 2.43 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Porto is 21.35% with odds of 3.74 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 3.52 at 1xbet.
Sporting Lisbon - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 46.36% | 2.43 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.08% | 1.91 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | 1.73 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 16.65% | 5.8 at Unibet |
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Form
Sporting Lisbon and Porto Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
2 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Oct 2024 - League Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Porto
V. Gyokeres
(27 Goals)
S. Omorodion
(18 Goals)
F. Trincao
(9 Assists)
F. Moura
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandes
(5 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Porto Key Points
- 17 goals were netted in Porto’s last five away matches.
- FC Porto scored seven goals in their last two home matches.
- Three of Sporting’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- A total of 16 goals were scored in Sporting’s last five League Cup matches.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction
Two of the biggest teams in Portugal are set to face off this Tuesday. Both FC Porto and Sporting Lisbon will be looking to defend their undefeated records in recent times. The one stat that stands out in their recent matches is the high scores. Both sides scored four goals in their last outings.
While Sporting scored four and conceded as many, Porto bagged a clean sheet. Their last two cup meetings went to extra time but produced over 2.5 goals. Sticking in the goals market, our prediction for Sporting v Porto is for Over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Porto
| Sporting Lisbon vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.91 | 2.38 | +24.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.1 | -8.8% |
| Porto wins | 3.4 | 2.75 | -19.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 24.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 42.0% (-10.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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