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Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Nella Wagah in Liga Portugal Predictions
Two giants of Portuguese football will lock horns when Sporting Lisbon plays host to FC Porto on Match Day 4 of the Primeira Liga 2024/25 season. In this first instalment of this highly anticipated derby, we have the preview and a prediction of the match ready.
This match will be staged at the Jose Alvalade Stadium in Lisbon. It comes just weeks after the two giants faced off in the Super Cup match to kick off the new football season. In that match, at the start of August, Porto did manage a stunning comeback from 3-0 down to win 4-3.
The last time this fixture produced seven goals was over a decade ago, with Porto carrying the day back then. That just raised the rivalry levels and we definitely have a big game on our hands. The two sides are tied at the top of the table with nine points, only separated by goal difference, which places Sporting above Porto.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 17 | 501 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.62 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 501 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 501 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.74 | 4 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.74 | 4 |
|
|
1.03 | 11 | 100 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.82 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.7 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.07 | 8 | 51 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.65 | 4 |
|
|
1.06 | 9.5 | 176 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.05 | 9.5 | 201 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Porto?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Porto match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Sporting Lisbon and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.19% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Porto with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Porto is 12.38% with odds of 17 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 501 at Bet365.
Sporting Lisbon - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 52.43% | 501 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.75% | 6.8 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time : Sporting Lisbon / Full-time : Porto | 26.21% | 151 at Betfair |
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Form
Sporting Lisbon and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
33 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
|
2
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 20 |
Sporting Lisbon and Porto Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2023 - League Cup
Sporting Lisbon - Porto: Form Analysis
Two of the three sides still on perfect runs will face off here and at least one will lose their 100% record. Who will it be?
In recent times this fixture has favored Porto, and that is one thing Sporting will be battling with as they prepare for this game. They’ve already fallen to Porto this season, letting go of a 3-0 lead to lose 4-3 in extra time.
Such capitulation should raise Sporting’s urge to avenge. It will all boil down to their defensive discipline. Notably, the last league match between these two rivals ended in a 2-2 draw. Their most recent meetings also ended in draws at 90 minutes.
Sporting will be hoping to finish this game with 11 men after they had two players sent off in two of their last three matches against Porto.
Porto have dominated this fixture in recent times and have the better head to head record.
Porto won in extra time the last two meetings between these teams and they carry a three-game undefeated run in this fixture. They have only lost once to Sporting in the last 12 matches but Sporting pipped them to the league title last season.
Having trailed Sporting by 18 points at the end of the season, Porto will not want to drop points that would give their hosts the advantage in the race. This is thus more than just a game for the visitors, who aren’t strangers to winning at this venue.
Porto were the best defensively last season and having not conceded a goal yet, they are doing it all over again. Their recent 2-0 win against Rio Ave followed on clean sheets in wins over Santa Clara and Gil Vicente.
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Players list
V. Kovacevic
DefenderZ. Debast
O. Diomande
Goncalo Inacio
MidfielderH. Morita
D. Braganca
P. Goncalves
ForwardM. Reis
G. Catamo
N. Santos
V. Gyokeres
D. Costa
DefenderJ. Mario
Ze Pedro
Otavio
MidfielderS. Eustaquio
F. Navarro
N. Gonzalez
G. Borges
ForwardW. Galeno
Pepe
S. Omorodion
Substitutes
D. Callai
F. Israel
DefenderZ. Debast
M. Reis
I. Fresneda
MidfielderD. Braganca
R. Ribeiro
N. Santos
M. Edwards
C. Ramos
DefenderWendell
J. Mario
G. Bras
MidfielderS. Eustaquio
M. Grujic
F. Navarro
S. Omorodion
G. Borges
Sporting Lisbon & Porto Squad Analysis
Sporting manager Ruben Amorim will be without the services of three players ahead of this derby clash. Central defender Jerry St. Juste and midfielder Morten Hjulmand are both recovering from muscle injuries while backup goalkeepr Diogo Pinto misses out with an ankle injury. Sporting forward Viktor Gyokeres will once again be a crucial player in this fixture. Last season’s top scorer in the league, Gyokeres netted three times in the two meetings with Porto.
The Swede has had another powerful start to this season even as he continues to be linked with a move away. He already has six league goals and will be key for Sporting.
Gyokeres for Sporting and Porto's Galeno the men to watch!
Porto on their part, will bank their hopes in attack on Brazilian forward Galeno. He has scored three times already this season, and had a brace in the Super Cup comeback win.
However, in defence, Porto are set to be without Zaidu Sanusi, who is nursing a cruciate ligament injury and still has six weeks before resuming training.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Porto
V. Gyokeres
(21 Goals)
S. Omorodion
(12 Goals)
F. Trincao
(8 Assists)
F. Moura
(5 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Porto Key Points
- Sporting have scored at least three goals in all their matches this season.
- Porto have scored three or more two times in their four matches so far.
- Porto’s four matches so far this season have averaged 3.5 goals per game.
- Four of the last five matches between these teams produced over 2.5 goals.
- Eight of Sporting’s last 10 league matches produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction
These two teams’ rivalry hit a new high in the Super Cup meeting as seven goals were scored in that game. Porto’s stunning comeback from 3-0 down definitely stole the headline. While we do not expect another such goal fest, there’s no denying this is traditionally a high scoring fixture.
Looking at both teams’ scoring runs ahead of this meeting, all indications point to another match with multiple goals. Our prediction for Sporting CP v FC Porto is for the game to produce over 2.5 goals.
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Still sticking to the goals market; it will be very tough for any of the two sides to finish this game with a clean sheet. These two are the most prolific teams in Portugal at the moment and in our second prediction we say both teams will score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Porto
| Sporting Lisbon vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 2 | 1.03 | -48.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 17 | +385.7% |
| Porto wins | 3.75 | 501 | +13,260.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13,260.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 0.2% (-26.5%)
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto match : Frequently asked questions
The Sporting Lisbon v FC Porto game will be played at the Estádio José Alvalade.
The Sporting Lisbon v FC Porto game will be played on Saturday, August 31st from 19:30 UTC.
In this fixture, Sporting Lisbon have seven wins, FC Porto 18 wins and 15 matches were drawn.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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