Portugal - Super Cup
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Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup
by Sridhar in Football Predictions
It's the Dragons vs Lions in Portugal as the new season kicks off with the Super Cup final between Sporting Portugal and Porto. This match will be played at the neutral venue of the Estadio Municipal de Aveiro on Saturday, and the prediction is that the two rivals are likely to bring goals to Aveiro.
Sporting qualified for this match after winning the domestic league title last year, while Porto won the Taca de Portugal. Interestingly, Porto defeated Sporting in the final of that competition, so this game builds up as a grudge match for the Primeira Liga champions.
The rivalry between the two teams is enough to spice up the contest, but with a crucial season in the offing, both teams are likely to go all out for a win. Can Porto start their Vitor Bruno era with a crucial win against their archrivals? It's time we take a both deeper look at the chances for teams.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12 | 1.09 | 15 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.45 | 3.3 |
|
|
55 | 6.52 | 1.11 |
|
|
55 | 6.52 | 1.11 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.46 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.46 | 3.06 |
|
|
6.75 | 1.2 | 8.5 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.48 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
7 | 1.23 | 10 |
|
|
8.5 | 1.22 | 6 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Porto?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Porto match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/08/2024 between Sporting Lisbon and Porto in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.03% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Porto with odds of 55 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Porto is 14.52% with odds of 6.52 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 15 at Bet365.
Sporting Lisbon - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 48.44% | 15 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.64% | 2.12 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 36.67% | |
| Half-time : Sporting Lisbon / Full-time : Porto | 18.66% | 41 at Betsson |
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Form
Sporting Lisbon and Porto Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2023 - League Cup
20 Aug 2022 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Porto: Form Analysis
Sporting haven't quite enjoyed a perfect start to their season. They had two wins and a draw in their pre-season friendlies, drawing 2-2 against Union Saint-Gilloise and winning 2-1 against Sevilla and 3-0 against Athletic Bilbao.
The Lions had a sensational run in the domestic league last year, although they did end that campaign with a loss. A 2-1 loss to Porto in the dramatic Taça de Portugal final has set them back slightly. They now have a great chance at kicking the new season off by getting one over on their rivals.
Porto are the most successful club in Portugal, with 23 Super Cup titles.
The Dragons lost 2-0 to Benfica in the final last year and will look to erase the hurt of that loss here. They had a strong pre-season run in the friendlies to increase their confidence. Porto have won all six friendlies in the lead-up to this match.
Porto have been dominant in each of those wins, with four of those six friendlies seeing them score four goals. New coach Vitor Bruno will look to guide his side to the top of the domestic scene, and what better way than to win the Super Cup?
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Sporting Lisbon against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Sporting Lisbon & Porto Squad Analysis
Sporting could see their summer signing Zeno Debast make his competitive debut for the club after signing on a big-money move from Anderlecht. There could be another debutant for the club here, as Vladan Kovačević is likely to be their 'keeper. Trincao has two goals to his name in the pre-season friendlies and will be itching to make his mark here.
Porto are without left-back Zaidu Sanusi, who was injured in February.
That could open the doors for Martim Fernandes to start in this match, with the youngster enjoying some good performances in the pre-season. Francisco Conceicao has made his loan switch from Ajax permanent and is set to feature from the start. Evanilson, who had 13 league goals last season and was Porto's top scorer, could be looking to start the new campaign on a high. One name that will be missed is defender Pepe, with the veteran Portuguese out of the squad.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Porto
P. Goncalves
(1 Goals)
,
Goncalo Inacio
(1 Goals)
,
G. Quenda
(1 Goals)
W. Galeno
(2 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(2 Assists)
V. Sousa
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Eustaquio
(1 Assists)
,
G. Borges
(1 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Porto Key Points
- Both teams scored in the last two matches between Porto and Sporting Portugal.
- In two of their three friendlies before this campaign, Sporting have seen goals from both teams.
- Porto have scored four goals in four of their last six matches.
- Sporting have scored at least two goals in each of their three pre-season friendlies.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction
The Dragões vs Leões rivalry will kick-start the new season in Portugal as Porto and Sporting play in this Super Cup duel. These teams didn't disappoint the fans last season, playing out two high-octane matches in 2024, both ending in draws in regular time.
While this promises to bring more action to this particular fixture, Porto's pre-season form is likely to make them confident of their chances. Our Sporting Portugal vs Porto prediction is for both teams to score goals.
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto - Other Interesting Predictions
Porto to win
Porto have enjoyed an upper hand over Sporting Portugal in recent times, winning five of the last eight matches in regular time and an additional match in extra time. They lost only once in this sequence and are likely to be confident in their chances here. Even their form in the pre-season friendlies has been excellent, with six wins in a row, four of which saw them score four goals in a match. Back Porto to win the match here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Porto
| Sporting Lisbon vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 2.3 | 12 | +421.7% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 1.09 | -66.5% |
| Porto wins | 3.1 | 15 | +383.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 383.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 6.7% (-25.6%)
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Sporting Lisbon vs Porto match : Frequently asked questions
The Sporting Portugal vs Porto match will be televised live in Portugal on fuboTV and RTPi. If you are in the UK, you can follow the game through RTPi.
Check out our Super Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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