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Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
The floodlights will be beaming down on Estadio Jose Alvalade on Tuesday night when Manchester City arrive in Portugal to face Sporting Lisbon in the UEFA Champions League. The Lions and Citizens are both on seven points after the first three matchdays in this competition and are currently in eighth and third place in the standings respectively. Check out our match prediction below!
Sporting earned their first-ever victory over Manchester City in Europe back in 2012 in the Europa League, but they have failed to win any against the Premier League champs since then (W0 D1 L2). That defeat to Sporting also happens to be the only one that the Citizens have conceded in their last 10 European matches against Portuguese opponents (W6 D3 L1).
It is sure to be an emotional evening for Ruben Amorim, who will be featuring in his final Champions League match as manager for the Primeira Liga champions. Can he mark the occasion with a victory? Let’s get into the stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.7 | 2 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.62 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.77 | 3.79 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.77 | 3.79 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.8 | 1.95 |
|
|
4.2 | 4.1 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.2 | 4.1 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.95 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.94 | 4.02 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.2 | 4 | 1.81 |
|
|
3.63 | 3.84 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.9 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.8 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/11/2024 between Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.03% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Manchester City with odds of 4.2 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City is 15.19% with odds of 4.1 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 50.03% | 4.2 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.92% | 1.66 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 1.57 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 19.85% | 6.5 at Unibet |
Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City Form
Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
|
10
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2024 - League Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2024 - League Cup
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2022 - Champions League
15 Feb 2022 - Champions League
Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Sporting Lisbon have been simply sensational this season and enter matchday four of the competition as one of only nine sides that are yet to taste defeat in the Champions League this term.
The Lions romped to a 5-1 victory over Estrela over the weekend, extending their current unbeaten run to 15 matches across all competitions, 14 of which ended in victory.
The hosts have won all seven of their hoe matches in all competitions this season, while the last time they were beaten on their home patch was in October 2023 against Atalanta in the Europa League.
Sporting have only failed to score two or more goals in one of their 16 matches this season!
Meanwhile, Manchester City have had a tough week leading up to this match, as they were knocked out of the EFL Cup by Spurs last Wednesday and were beaten by Bournemouth at the weekend.
Notably, those results represent the first time that the Citizens have lost back-to-back matches in any competition since the end of September 2023.
In the Champions League, Man City have only played one away game this term and recorded a commanding 4-0 victory over Slovan Bratislava at the start of last month.
City have scored at least once in each of their last 10 games in all competitions.
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Sporting Lisbon against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Sporting Lisbon & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Sporting Lisbon have a relatively clean bill of health, with Nuno Santos being the only long-term absentee in the squad owing to a patellar tendon rupture, which is likely to cause him to miss the majority of this season.
The only other injury concern for the hosts here is that of centre-back Eduardo Quaresma, who has now missed the last five games with a knock and is flagged as questionable for this one.
Viktor Gyokeres has scored eight goals in his last four games for Sporting, including four in his last match!
In contrast, Man City’s injury list is growing and the most recent additions to it are defensive duo John Stones and Ruben Dias, who last featured in the team’s EFL Cup loss to Spurs a week ago.
Jack Grealish has an unspecified injury which Pep Guardiola said should keep him sidelined until the next international break, while Oscar Bobb is only expected to return to action next year.
Ballon d’Or winner Rodri is still on his long journey back to full fitness from an ACL tear sustained against Arsenal and will only resume duty for the Citizens next season.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Manchester City
V. Gyokeres
(21 Goals)
E. Haaland
(15 Goals)
F. Trincao
(8 Assists)
R. Lewis
(4 Assists)
,
M. Nunes
(4 Assists)
, 
Savinho
(4 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City Key Points
- Sporting Lisbon have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 matches.
- Sporting Lisbon have scored two or more goals in all seven of their home games this season.
- Four of Sporting Lisbon’s last five games have ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
- Eight of Manchester City’s last 10 games have ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
- Manchester City have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 15 matches.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City Prediction
Sporting Lisbon have been in incredible form this term and with Viktor Gyokeres firing on all cylinders, the Lions genuinely look like a side that could make a deep run in this season’s Champions League.
Man City, despite losing their last two matches, can never be ruled out, and it would not be a huge surprise if they came flying out the blocks in this match. With the amount of attacking quality on display here, this match could end in an absolute goal-fest. Therefore, our Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City prediction: Over 2.5!
Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Viktor Gyokeres to score anytime
Viktor Gyokeres has already scored a whopping 20 goals in just 14 matches across all competitions this season. The Swede also enters this match off the back of a four-goal haul against Estrela in his last outing.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Manchester City
| Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 4.2 | 3.5 | -16.7% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.7 | -5.1% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.75 | 2 | +14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 28.6% (4.8%)
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Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City will be played on November 5 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City will take place at Estadio Jose Alvalade in Lisbon.
The UEFA Champions League match between Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Daniel Siebert will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Jan Seidel, Rafael Foltyn and Daniel Schlager as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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