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Sporting Lisbon vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
Former French champions Lille will take the trip to Portugal to face Sporting Lisbon in the teams’ first ever Champions League meeting. Ahead of this Tuesday 17th September match, at the Jose Alvalade Stadium, the two sides are having contrasting runs. Going by recent form, predictions favor a home win.
Sporting Lisbon responded well to their season-opening 4-3 loss to FC Porto and come into this clash boasting straight wins since. After playing three away matches in the last four outings, they will welcome a return home for this first of two straight games at their backyard.
Ruben Amorim’s side doesn’t have a remarkable run in Europe but if they can carry their domestic form, then Lille will have a tough outing here.
The French side started their season strongly, coming through the qualifiers, but have hit a snag in recent times. It hasn’t worked perfectly on the road and this is a second straight away game, coming off the back of three winless outings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Lille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.98 | 5.13 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.98 | 5.13 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.5 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.84 | 4.94 |
|
|
1.69 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.55 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.4 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.4 | 6.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Lille?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Lille match is: Sporting Lisbon to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2024 between Sporting Lisbon and Lille in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.71% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Lille with odds of 1.76 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Lille is 22.03% with odds of 4.55 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 6.7 at Vbet.
Sporting Lisbon - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 59.71% | 1.76 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.89% | 1.9 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 36.73% | 2.83 at Vbet |
Sporting Lisbon vs Lille Form
Sporting Lisbon and Lille's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
|
17
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Sporting Lisbon and Lille Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Sporting Lisbon - Lille: Form Analysis
Sporting Lisbon will have some level of freshness coming into this game. Unlike their Tuesday opponents, they didn’t participate in the Champions League qualifiers. As a result, they’ve only played six matches this season and have been growing in strength with each outing.
After two years out of the Champions League, Sporting will be targeting a memorable return. That should come through if their recent form is anything to go by. The Portuguese giants' season started with a humiliating defeat to Porto in the Super Cup, but took the lessons from it and are a reformed unit.
In that game, after leading 3-0, they would go on to lose 4-3. However, in the five matches that followed, Sporting have produced straight wins, while injecting massive improvement in defence. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-0 win against Arouca and they’ve scored 19 times in the five games.
These two sides have had contrasting fortunes in the run up to this match.
Having started from the Champions League qualifying stage, Lille have so far this season played two more matches than their hosts. They did start well, winning four of their opening five matches of 2024/25 but in recent times things changed.
Lille are coming here right from a shock 1-0 loss at Saint-Etienne. While that marked the first time they failed to score this season, Lille will be more concerned at losing a third straight match. On average, they conceded twice in those three defeats and this attacking Sporting side will not make things any easier.
Like their hosts, Lille are making a return to the Champions League after missing for the last two years. In their last 21 Champions League matches, they registered just five wins.
Meanwhile, the Mastiffs have seven defeats in 10 away matches in this competition. When they last met Sporting, in the 2010 Europa League, Lille lost home and away.
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Sporting Lisbon against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Sporting Lisbon & Lille Squad Analysis
Over the last two seasons, Sporting forward Viktor Gyokeres has had remarkable numbers. After a fine campaign in 2023/24, he has started this season in special fashion. He already has eight goals for his club and will form the biggest of Sporting’s threat here.
Pedro Goncalves will be another highlighted player in this match, having scored five times so far. Those two and Francisco Trincao will give Lille defence a nightmare, if they all start. However, at the back, Sporting may have some concerns.
Goalkeeper Vladan Kovacevic and center-back Jeremiah St. Juste will be unavailable. Franco Israel did well between the sticks last time out and should be able to handle this.
Viktor Gyokeres and Jonathan David will should their teams' attacking burdens.
At Lille, the burden of attack will be placed on Canadian forward Jonathan David, who did well in the Champions League qualifiers. In recent times David has gone into a slump but his threat can never be overlooked.
Angel Gomes, together with David did not start in the Saint-Etienne defeat and after getting some rest, should be in the starting team. The two, and in-form Edon Zhegrova will form the attacking trio for the French side in this match.
Ethan Mbappe sat out the Friday game with injury and this match comes too soon for the midfielder.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Lille
V. Gyokeres
(23 Goals)
J. David
(15 Goals)
F. Trincao
(9 Assists)
M. Fernandez
(3 Assists)
, 
O. Sahraoui
(3 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Lille Key Points
- Lille have three straight defeats.
- Sporting Lisbon have five straight wins.
- Sporting won both earlier meetings with Lille.
- Sporting Lisbon are unbeaten in 23 home matches, winning 21.
- In 10 away Champions League matches, Lille managed just two wins.
- Lille’s Champions League record reads five wins in the last 21 matches.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Lille Prediction
Two sides with really unimpressive results in the Champions League come face to face here. This is a chance for either team to make a clean start in the competition. Going by recent form, the scales will be well tilted in favor of the hosts.
Sporting Lisbon are on five straight wins and are unbeaten in 23 home matches. It will take Lille a lot to break this run especially when we consider the French side’s recent run.
Three straight defeats will surely deflate Lille coming here, and their Champions League run isn’t great either. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Lille is for Sporting Lisbon to win.
Sporting Lisbon vs Lille - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 3.5 goals
Sporting Lisbon haven't just been winning their matches, they’ve been doing so with some swagger. In five of their past six matches, they scored three or more goals and they come into this one having kept three straight clean sheets.
The Portuguese side scored an average of 3.6 goals so far this season. Our second prediction is thus for this game to yield over 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Lille
| Sporting Lisbon vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.91 | 1.48 | -22.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 4.33 | +23.7% |
| Lille wins | 4 | 6.25 | +56.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 67.6% (15.2%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Sporting Lisbon vs Lille match : Frequently asked questions
The Sporting Lisbon v Lille Champions League match will be played at the Jose Alvalade Stadium.
The Sporting Lisbon v Lille Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 17th September starting 19.00hrs GMT.
Fans in Portugal will catch the match via DAZN and TVI while those in France can watch on Canal+ and TF1. The match updates will also be available on SportyTrader’s Champions League Livescores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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