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Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Sporting Lisbon are home to Borussia Dortmund in the first leg of the Champions League play-offs. Awaiting the winners of this tie are either Lille (who Sporting beat in the league phase) or Aston Villa. Can the Lions get a good lead to take to Dortmund for the second leg? Here's our match prediction.
Sporting are top of Portugal's Primeira Liga with a four-point lead. The Lions finished 23rd in the league phase of this competition with 11 points. That put them four behind Borussia Dortmund who ended in 10th place.
Borussia Dortmund only just missed out on automatic qualification for the last 16. They aren't going so well in the Bundesliga this season and are only 11th in the table. Their current form has improved slightly and they will be a threat to Sporting in this Champions League play-off tie. As you'll read in our form guide, how they get on in this away game is going to play a major role in who qualifies.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.79 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.79 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.66 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.66 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.66 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.7 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.55 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.68 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.32% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund is 23.54% with odds of 3.79 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 3.12 at 1xbet.
Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Nov 2021 - Champions League
28 Sep 2021 - Champions League
2 Nov 2016 - Champions League
18 Oct 2016 - Champions League
Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Sporting drew at Porto at the weekend, conceding a 91st minute equalizer. The Green and Whites have gone four games unbeaten since an away loss to RB Leipzig in the league phase of this competition.
They won their first two home Champions League games of the season, including an impressive 4-1 home win over Manchester City. It didn't go so well at home to Arsenal though with the Premier League side winning 5-1. Sporting then drew their last home game 1-1 with Bologna.
Dortmund are struggling on the road.
Borussia Dortmund had gone three games unbeaten before losing at home to Stuttgart at the weekend. Their away form is a problem with three of their last four matches on the road being lost.
They need to rediscover the form that saw them win three out of four on the road in the league phase. Dortmunddo regularly get on the scoresheet on their travels but concede too. Five of their last six away fixtures have seen both teams score.
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Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Morten Hjulmand is suspended for this match. He received his third yellow card in their final match in the league phase at home to Bologna. The weekend draw with Porto saw both Ousmane Diomande and Matheus Reis sent off. Their suspensions only apply domestically so the pair are still eligible for this match.
Gyokeres should make his return.
Out for Sporting are Joao Simoes, Pedro Goncalves and Nuno Santos. Viiktor Gyokeres (34 goals this season) was absent from the Porto game but is expected to play against Borussia Dortmund.
On the final day of the transfer window, Dortmund signed Carney Chukwuemeka on loan from Chelsea. He didn't play against Stuttgart at the weekend due to a knee injury. He remains doubtful for this game.
Also in danger of missing this match is Felix Nmecha, who also has a knee injury. They have had a change of coach since their last Champions League game with Niko Kovac now in charge at Dortmund.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Borussia Dortmund
V. Gyokeres
(30 Goals)
F. Trincao
(10 Assists)
P. Gross
(7 Assists)
,
J. Brandt
(7 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Champions League
Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Both teams have scored in 12 of the last 13 Dortmund matches.
- 11 of the last 13 Dortmund away matches have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in four of Sporting's last five games.
- Four of the last five Sporting home games in the Champions League have seen both teams score.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Sporting have had some good home results this season and over 90 minutes are unbeaten in eight games. They weren't so hot on the road in the league phase with a couple of defeats. Getting a lead to take to Germany for the second leg is vital for them.
Dortmund have a new coach after a disappointing run in the Bundesliga. They lost at home to Stuttgart at the weekend and have been struggling on the road. Looking at the stats, our main Sporting v Borussia Dortmund prediction is both teams to score.
Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Sporting to win and both teams to score
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Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
This is a home first leg for Sporting. The game against Dortmund will be played at the Estadio Jose Alvalade in Lisbon, Portugal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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