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Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Thobelani Moyo | in Champions League Predictions
Bologna have nothing but pride to play for on the final matchday of the UEFA Champions League. They come into this match occupying 28th place in the 36-team table while their hosts, Sporting Lisbon, are 23rd and two points ahead of those trailing. Here's our match prediction.
Sporting Lisbon is no stranger to facing Italian opposition. They have played six games against a team from this category and have won once while losing three and drawing one.
Bologna, meanwhile, has played one match against Portugal teams in this competition. That match was against Benfica which ended in a goalless draw.
Despite that result, the visitors find themselves being labeled underdogs by bookmakers. This is because of their lacklustre form on the road losing two and drawing one. It's also worth mentioning they failed to score in each of those games and could find themselves shooting blanks in this matchup. Let's get into the match statistics!
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Bologna Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.45 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.69 | 4.61 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.69 | 4.61 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.88 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.88 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.68 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.75 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.62 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.4 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.55 | 4.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna match is: Sporting Lisbon to win and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Bologna in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.32% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Bologna with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna is 36.71% with odds of 4.8 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 6.5 at Betobet.
Sporting Lisbon - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Bologna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 48.32% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.78% | 2.24 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 26.65% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna Form
Sporting Lisbon and Bologna's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
|
28
|
6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 |
Sporting Lisbon and Bologna Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
15 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
15 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
Sporting Lisbon - Bologna: Form Analysis
Sporting Lisbon reignited their confidence with a 2-0 home league win against Nacional de Madeira over the weekend. This comes after losing 2-1 away to RB Leipzig in the Champions League.
That win not only cemented their position at the top—they now have a six-point lead over second-placed Benfica—but it also marked their sixth game without defeat in Liga Portugal (W4, D2).
In the UEFA Champions League, the Lions have yet to confirm their qualification in the knockout stages and are aware they can't afford to drop points. Home form should give the optimism about winning here considering they have won 13 of their last 15 matches at home base.
Bologna have failed to score in each of their last three away games in the Champions League.
The only thing left on the line for Bologna in this competition is their pride. I Rossoblù are five points behind the top 24 after losing four and drawing two of their last seven Champions League games (W1).
However, that didn't stop the visitors from producing a stunning comeback to beat Borussia Dortmund 2-1 on matchday seven. This defeat also spelled the end of Nuri Sahin's tenure as Dortmund's head coach.
Head coach Vincenzo Italiano's men followed that win with a 1-1 away draw against Empoli in the Serie A and have avoided defeat in their last five matches.
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Sporting Lisbon against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon & Bologna Squad Analysis
Sporting Lisbon will be without long-term absentees Nuno Santos and Pedro Goncalves. The duo has been ruled out with cruciate ligament injuries.
Matheus Reis previously ruled out with a thigh injury made his return in the teams' success over Nacional de Maidera on Saturday and should be fit to play here. Eduardo Quaresma, who suffered a muscle injury, remained sidelined until early February.
Viktor Gyökeres was in red-hot form for the home team, having scored five goals in his last five UEFA Champions League games! However, he withdrew due to a last-minute injury. The Swedish international has scored 32 goals in his 29 appearances this season and he would have been a big help to Sporting Lisbon.
The visitors will have to manage without Riccardo Orsolini, who sustained a grade 1 lesion to the right hamstring and is still on the mend but not quite there yet with his recovery time expected to be at least 4 weeks.
Head coach Vincenzo Italiano has had to depend on youngster Thijs Dallinga to lead the attack. Dallinga has scored three goals in his 25 appearances.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Bologna
V. Gyokeres
(30 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(7 Goals)
F. Trincao
(9 Assists)
S. Castro
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Lykogiannis
(4 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Bologna Key Points
- Under 3.5 goals have been scored in four of Sporting Lisbon's last six home games in the UEFA Champions League.
- Sporting Lisbon have won three of their last six home games in the UEFA Champions League.
- Bologna are winless in their last three away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- Bologna have seen under 3.5 goals scored in each of their last three away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna Prediction
Bologna are already out of the competition and because of this, we don't see them making life difficult for the hosts. Their poor away form in the Champions League could see them lose here too. Our Sporting Lisbon v Bologna prediction is for Sporting Lisbon to win and under 3.5 goals.
Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score: No
Sporting Lisbon hasn't been convincing in defense lately but this matchup presents a good chance for them to keep a clean sheet for the first time in four UEFA Champions League games.
The reasoning behind this pick is that Bologna has not been sharp in the final third. This can be attributed to their poor offense on the road which has seen them fail to score in each of their last three games. Without their main striker Riccardo Orsolini who is the team-leading goalscorer they will find putting one past Sporting Lisbon difficulty.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Bologna
| Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.38 | 1.83 | +32.6% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 3.6 | -24.2% |
| Bologna wins | 7.5 | 4.33 | -42.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 32.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 54.6% (-17.8%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Sporting Lisbon vs. Bologna game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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