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Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
29 Dec 2024 14:30
Benfica Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Sporting Lisbon will welcome perennial rivals Benfica in a top-of-the-table clash in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. While it remains early, this is a pivotal game in the Portuguese top flight title race. After 15 rounds of play, these two teams are separated by one point, with Benfica edging their visitors for top spot.

Going into the first match of the season between these two teams, Benfica have garnered 38 points and Sporting 37. Aside from earning an advantage in the title race, both teams will also be seeking to end the year on a high. Sporting, who are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Benfica, are slightly favoured by the bookies to win. In this article, we will provide two predictions for this match.

A number of recent changes have disrupted Sporting’s flow but they remain optimistic coming here. Benfica will look to cash in on that as well, making this a top game.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica Lisbon Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 3.6 2.6
Betfred
2.5 3.4 2.63
Ladbrokes
2.7 2.6 2.75
1xbet
2.53 3.64 2.6
22bet
2.53 3.64 2.6
Betobet
2.5 3.6 2.6
Betwinner
2.53 3.64 2.6
LSbet
2.53 3.64 2.6
Stake
2.5 3.65 2.55
Melbet
2.53 3.64 2.6
Tonybet
2.5 3.65 2.55
Unibet
2.48 3.5 2.63
Betfair
2.5 3.6 2.63
Betsson
2.5 3.6 2.6
William Hill
2.5 3.4 2.62
Vbet
2.62 3.66 2.67
Betway
2.5 3.4 2.6
Check all Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon match is: over 2.5 goals scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2024 between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.4% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon is 17.66% with odds of 3.66 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.

Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Form

Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
38 15 12 2 1 29
2
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
37 15 12 1 2 33

Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
L L L W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Santa Clara

14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Boavista

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

30 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Santa Clara
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Santa Clara

14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Boavista

30 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Santa Clara

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  5
Arsenal

22 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Amarante FC

5 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Manchester City
W W W L L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

26 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
0 :  2
Sporting Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W W W D D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Estoril

15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  0
Bologna

7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Estoril

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  0
Bologna

7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
7 :  0
Estrela Amadora

10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  1
Porto

30 Oct 2024 - League Cup

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Santa Clara
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Pevidem SC
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

33 %

Draw

50 %

Benfica Lisbon

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

29 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

12 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

21 May 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

15 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon
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Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis

The ship seems to have steadied for Sporting after a turbulent two-week period following Ruben Amorim’s departure. Sporting, who had failed to win just once in 18 games, lost four successive matches in the wake of an abrupt coaching change.

They have appointed a new manager in Rui Borges and are coming into this match unbeaten in three outings. Two of those were wins. The Lions are coming off a 0-0 draw away to Gil Vicente.

Sporting, who had a strong lead, dropped to second following last weekend’s stalemate in Barcelos. However, as they have been unbeaten in the last three meetings with Benfica, they will be confident they can regain their advantage here.

Both these teams are coming from unbeaten outings.

Benfica haven’t lost any of their last nine matches. Bruno Lage’s men have failed to win only twice in this spell and kept clean sheets six times. Currently on a two-match winning run, the Eagles secured a 3-0 win against Estoril last time out.

That was their 12th win in the league. Benfica, who have amassed 38 points, have a 10-point cushion on fourth place. They, however, could drop down to third with a loss here as Porto in third are only a point behind.

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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon last Lineups

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
F. Israel
72
Quaresma
26
O. Diomande
6
Z. Debast
57
G. Quenda
42
M. Hjulmand
52
J. Simoes
20
M. Araujo
17
F. Trincao
19
C. Harder
9
V. Gyokeres
14
V. Pavlidis
37
J. Beste
17
K. Akturkoglu
11
A. Di Maria
8
F. Aursnes
10
O. Kokcu
3
A. Fernandez
4
A. Silva
44
T. Araujo
6
A. Bah
1
A. Trubin

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Benfica Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis

Viktor Gyokeres is the clear favourite to secure the Golden Boot this season. The Sporting forward has scored an amazing 18 league goals. He will be one to watch here as the hosts will heavily rely on him for goals. Francisco Trincao and Conrad Harder have scored a combined eight league goals and will support Gyokeres in attack. Meanwhile, Daniel Braganca, Hidemasa Morita and Pedro Goncalves are out injured

Sporting have a new manager in Rui Borges, joining from Vitoria Guimaraes.

Zeki Amdouni came off the bench to score a brace in the win over Estoril. As a result, the Swiss forward could end up earning only his second start of the season. He has now bagged five league goals and only Angel di Maria and Kerem Akturkoglu, both on six goals, have scored more. On the injuries side, Tiago Gouveia and Renato Sanches are confirmed absentees here.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (23 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Turkey K. Akturkoglu (9 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (9 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina A. Di Maria (6 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
80%
Victories
80%
7%
Draw
13%
13%
Defeats
7%
3.53
Total goals per match
3
2.87
Goals scored per match
2.47
0.67
Goals conceded per match
0.53
73%
Over 2.5
53%
27%
Under 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
40%
53%
No goals conceded
53%

Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon Key Points

  1. The last six matches between Benfica and Sporting had over 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Four of Sporting’s last five matches had an over 2.5 goals outcome.
  3. Benfica have scored three or more goals six times in their last 11 league fixtures.
  4. Five of Benfica’s last seven matches in the league produced at least three goals.
  5. Benfica and Sporting have scored a combined 80 league goals.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

Sporting and Benfica are two of the best-scoring teams in Portugal. The two have scored a combined 80 goals and have rarely fail to find the back of the net when in action.

This match has almost always tended to lean on the high-scoring side. With both teams flying high and seeking to send a statement in the title race, seeing another high-scoring game is much more likely. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica is for the match to have over 2.5 goals scored.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions

Sporting to win

Odds 2.5

While they’ve been shaky lately, the hosts haven’t lost in three meetings with Benfica, winning twice. They also haven’t lost to their rivals at home in two years.

Sporting have won 23 of their previous 24 league games at home. Our second prediction is, therefore, for Sporting to win.

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bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions

This match will be played on Sunday 29th December.

This match will be played at Sporting’s Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon.

Fans in the UK will be able to watch this game live on TrillerTV+. Sportytrader will on the other hand have minute-by-minute updates for this and other Liga Portugal matches this weekend.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
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