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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon will welcome perennial rivals Benfica in a top-of-the-table clash in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. While it remains early, this is a pivotal game in the Portuguese top flight title race. After 15 rounds of play, these two teams are separated by one point, with Benfica edging their visitors for top spot.
Going into the first match of the season between these two teams, Benfica have garnered 38 points and Sporting 37. Aside from earning an advantage in the title race, both teams will also be seeking to end the year on a high. Sporting, who are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Benfica, are slightly favoured by the bookies to win. In this article, we will provide two predictions for this match.
A number of recent changes have disrupted Sporting’s flow but they remain optimistic coming here. Benfica will look to cash in on that as well, making this a top game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica Lisbon Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.5 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
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2.5 | 3.4 | 2.63 |
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2.7 | 2.6 | 2.75 |
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2.53 | 3.64 | 2.6 |
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2.53 | 3.64 | 2.6 |
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2.5 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
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2.53 | 3.64 | 2.6 |
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2.53 | 3.64 | 2.6 |
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2.5 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
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2.53 | 3.64 | 2.6 |
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2.5 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
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2.48 | 3.5 | 2.63 |
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2.5 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
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2.5 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
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2.5 | 3.4 | 2.62 |
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2.62 | 3.66 | 2.67 |
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2.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon match is: over 2.5 goals scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2024 between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.4% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon is 17.66% with odds of 3.66 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
38 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
2
|
37 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 |
Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Oct 2024 - League Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal
29 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
12 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal
21 May 2023 - Liga Portugal
15 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
The ship seems to have steadied for Sporting after a turbulent two-week period following Ruben Amorim’s departure. Sporting, who had failed to win just once in 18 games, lost four successive matches in the wake of an abrupt coaching change.
They have appointed a new manager in Rui Borges and are coming into this match unbeaten in three outings. Two of those were wins. The Lions are coming off a 0-0 draw away to Gil Vicente.
Sporting, who had a strong lead, dropped to second following last weekend’s stalemate in Barcelos. However, as they have been unbeaten in the last three meetings with Benfica, they will be confident they can regain their advantage here.
Both these teams are coming from unbeaten outings.
Benfica haven’t lost any of their last nine matches. Bruno Lage’s men have failed to win only twice in this spell and kept clean sheets six times. Currently on a two-match winning run, the Eagles secured a 3-0 win against Estoril last time out.
That was their 12th win in the league. Benfica, who have amassed 38 points, have a 10-point cushion on fourth place. They, however, could drop down to third with a loss here as Porto in third are only a point behind.
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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Sporting Lisbon & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Viktor Gyokeres is the clear favourite to secure the Golden Boot this season. The Sporting forward has scored an amazing 18 league goals. He will be one to watch here as the hosts will heavily rely on him for goals. Francisco Trincao and Conrad Harder have scored a combined eight league goals and will support Gyokeres in attack. Meanwhile, Daniel Braganca, Hidemasa Morita and Pedro Goncalves are out injured
Sporting have a new manager in Rui Borges, joining from Vitoria Guimaraes.
Zeki Amdouni came off the bench to score a brace in the win over Estoril. As a result, the Swiss forward could end up earning only his second start of the season. He has now bagged five league goals and only Angel di Maria and Kerem Akturkoglu, both on six goals, have scored more. On the injuries side, Tiago Gouveia and Renato Sanches are confirmed absentees here.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- The last six matches between Benfica and Sporting had over 2.5 goals scored.
- Four of Sporting’s last five matches had an over 2.5 goals outcome.
- Benfica have scored three or more goals six times in their last 11 league fixtures.
- Five of Benfica’s last seven matches in the league produced at least three goals.
- Benfica and Sporting have scored a combined 80 league goals.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Sporting and Benfica are two of the best-scoring teams in Portugal. The two have scored a combined 80 goals and have rarely fail to find the back of the net when in action.
This match has almost always tended to lean on the high-scoring side. With both teams flying high and seeking to send a statement in the title race, seeing another high-scoring game is much more likely. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica is for the match to have over 2.5 goals scored.
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Sporting to win
While they’ve been shaky lately, the hosts haven’t lost in three meetings with Benfica, winning twice. They also haven’t lost to their rivals at home in two years.
Sporting have won 23 of their previous 24 league games at home. Our second prediction is, therefore, for Sporting to win.
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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Sunday 29th December.
This match will be played at Sporting’s Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon.
Fans in the UK will be able to watch this game live on TrillerTV+. Sportytrader will on the other hand have minute-by-minute updates for this and other Liga Portugal matches this weekend.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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