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Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon will be aiming to extend their unbeaten Primeira Liga record on Saturday when they play host to Arouca at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Leoes currently lead the league standings by four points while Lobos are in 12th place with 23 points after 21 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Sporting Lisbon’s Champions League hopes are hanging by a thread after they suffered a 3-0 defeat to Borussia Dortmund at this venue in their first-leg playoff match in midweek.
In league terms, though, Leoes are riding an eight-match unbeaten run (W5 D3 L0), with their most recent fixture ending in a 1-1 draw away to Porto last weekend.
At home, the host are on a four-match win-streak, scoring nine goals and conceding three in that period. They have only lost one of their last 34 league games at this venue (W32 D1 L1).
Meanwhile, Arouca have also been building up a nice run of results recently, but they would have been bitterly disappointed to concede in stoppage time last week against Rio Ave which cost them two points.
Still, a 1-1 draw in that match meant that Lobos extended their unbeaten run in the top flight to six matches - a notable improvement after losing six of their preceding eight games.
That uptick in form is also seen on the road where they have avoided defeat in their last three games (W2 D1 L0) after failing to win four in a row before this current run of results.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Arouca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.9 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.9 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.75 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.23 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 13 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 5 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca match is: Sporting wins & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.36% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.28 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca is 29.87% with odds of 6.6 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 13 at Betfair.
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Form
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
51 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 41 |
|
12
|
23 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -13 |
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2023 - Portugal League Cup
29 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Arouca
V. Gyokeres
(30 Goals)
Jason
(5 Goals)
F. Trincao
(10 Assists)
C. Gonzalez
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Yalcin
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Trezza
(1 Assists)
,
Jason
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Fukui
(1 Assists)
, 
Weverson
(1 Assists)
,
T. Esgaio
(1 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca Stats in Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Arouca Key Points
- Nine of Sporting Lisbon’s last 15 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Sporting Lisbon have scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 home league games this season.
- Eight of Santa Clara’s last 15 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Three or more goals were scored in each of Santa Clara’s last five away league games.
- Santa Clara have scored two or more goals in each of their last three away matches.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction
While Sporting are massive favourites in this match owing to their excellent home form, they will have one eye on that crucial second-leg Champions League playoff clash next week which they have to win by a big margin.
Hence, we could see the hosts make a few changes in this match, and while we do still fancy them to win, it could allow the visitors a few openings to register a goal or two before the final whistle. Our Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara prediction is over Sporting wins & over 2.5.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Sporting Lisbon vs. Arouca game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Liga Portugal!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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