Spezia vs Hellas Verona Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Prediction published on 09/06/2023, 10:22  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 09/06/2023 at 11:32 in Serie A Predictions

Spezia host Verona in a one-off match to determine which side is relegated to Serie B next season. The home side finished a place above 18th placed Verona but level on points. A new rule this season has determined against goal difference or head-to-head results determining important issues in Serie A. Therefore, Spezia (who would have been relegated if goal difference did count) now host Verona with the losers being relegated. The Aquilotti ended the season in poor form with one point from their final three games. They did lead at Roma in their final match but 91st minute penalty won the game for the home side and put Spezia in this play-off. Home form has only produced two goals in the last 12 Serie A matches. Both those wins came against top teams, namely Inter and Milan. The I Bianchi have failed to score in seven of their last ten home games and only managed 18 goals in 19 home league fixtures. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of their last eight on home soil. The home game against Verona ended goalless and another low-scoring game is likely here.

Verona lost 3-1 at Milan on the final day of the main season. Failure to do better than Spezia meant they stayed in the relegation zone. They only won one of their 19 away league games, losing 11 and only scoring 11 goals. Of those 19 games, 14 of them saw under 2.5 goals scored in them. That stat came up in 23 of their 38 games in Serie A so we're not expecting a goalfest here. That's further illustrated by the fact that four of their last six away league fixtures had under 2.5 goals scored in them. Verona only earned one point from their final four league games.