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Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Champions League action returns this week and the early kickoff on Tuesday afternoon will see Sparta Prague taking on Atletico Madrid at the epet ARENA. Iron Sparta are in 26th place in the League Phase standings, while Rojiblancos are three places above them in 23rd spot after four games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
This match marks the first-ever meeting between these sides, though Sparta Prague have faced two Spanish opponents in the Champions League in the past. Those matches were against Barcelona and Real Madrid (twice each) and Iron Sparta lost all four games, conceding 13 goals while only scoring three.
Atletico Madrid have taken on teams from Czechia twice before in Europe, splitting the results one win against FC Zlin in 2004 while they lost 1-0 to Viktoria Plzen in the Europa League in 2012. The visitors are the clear favourites in this match - let’s take a look at some of the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sparta Prague v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 | 3.8 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.6 | 2.5 | 1.95 |
|
|
5.34 | 3.92 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.34 | 3.92 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.7 | 1.67 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.1 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.25 | 4 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.4 | 4 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.9 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
|
|
5.6 | 3.85 | 1.68 |
|
|
5 | 3.9 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.55 | 3.9 | 1.68 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.7 | 1.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid match is: Sparta Prague Over 0.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/11/2024 between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.9% for a win of Sparta Prague against Atletico Madrid with odds of 5.75 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid is 18.31% with odds of 4.1 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Sparta Prague with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
Sparta Prague - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sparta Prague Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 53.79% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.57% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | |
| Half-time : Sparta Prague / Full-time : Atletico Madrid | 19.42% | 28 at Betsson |
Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid Form
Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
|
28
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -11 |
Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Fortuna Liga
10 Nov 2024 - Fortuna Liga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Fortuna Liga
30 Oct 2024 - Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Fortuna Liga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Fortuna Liga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Fortuna Liga
30 Oct 2024 - Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Fortuna Liga
27 Sep 2024 - Fortuna Liga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Fortuna Liga
27 Oct 2024 - Fortuna Liga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Fortuna Liga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
22 Sep 2024 - Fortuna Liga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
Sparta Prague - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Sparta Prague made a promising start to their Champions League campaign, beating RB Salzburg over the opening week before holding Stuttgart to a 1-1 draw on matchday two.
However, their last two matches in Europe ended in defeat, including a crushing 5-0 loss to Manchester City and a 2-1 defeat at home to Brest in the last round.
Iron Sparta have not been in the best form domestically either as they are winless in their last three Czech Liga matches (W0 D2 L1) and have failed to win any of their last four across all competitions.
Sparta Prague have only maintained one clean sheet in their last 11 matches in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid have experienced mixed form in Europe this term, having beaten RB Leipzig and PSG (both 2-1) either side of two fairly hefty defeats to Benfica (4-0) and Lille (3-1).
However, Los Colchoneros will enter this match full of confidence, as they beat Alaves over the weekend in La Liga to extend their current win streak to five matches across all competitions.
On the road, Atleti have won each of their last three matches, which is a notable improvement after managing just two wins from their preceding seven games since the start of the season.
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Sparta Prague against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Sparta Prague & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Imanol Garcia de Albeniz sustained a serious cruciate ligament injury back in August and is expected to remain sidelined for the reaminder of the season for Iron Sparta.
The hosts are also expected to be without Angelo Preciado (knee), Veljko Birmancevic (thigh), Roman Mokrovics (knock) and Jaroslav Zeleny (muscle) for this match due to injury.
Victor Olatunji and Kaan Kairinen have scored two goals each for Sparta in the Champions League!
Atletico Madrid also have one long-term absentee at present in the form of Borja Garces, who has been out with a cruciate ligament tear since April and is only expected back in the New Year.
Thomas Lemar has missed the last five games for Rojiblancos due to a muscle injury and is out until next month, while Nahuel Molina is flagged as a doubt owing to a strained hamstring.
Atletico Madrid have had five different goal scorers in this season’s Champions League to date.
Most goals and assists
Sparta Prague
Atletico Madrid
V. Olatunji
(7 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
L. Haraslin
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Panak
(1 Assists)
,
V. Olatunji
(1 Assists)
,
L. Sadilek
(1 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
Sparta Prague - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Sparta Prague have scored in each of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Sparta Prague have scored at least once in 15 consecutive home games leading up to this one.
- Sparta Prague have scored in both of their Champions League home games this season.
- Atletico Madrid have failed to keep a clean sheet in this competition.
- Atletico Madrid have conceded at least once in four of their last six matches across all competitions.
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Our Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Sparta have experienced a notable dip in form since the start of this month, but that has largely been due to their defensive frailties rather than a lack of attacking output.
The hosts have scored in each of their last 15 home games across all competitions, and with Atletico yet to keep a clean sheet in Europe this term, we feel that Iron Sparta will be able to breach their opponents’ defence at least once in this match. Our Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Sparta Prague Over 0.5!
Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Each of Sparta Prague’s last four matches have ended with both teams scoring, while both teams have found the back of the net in three of Atletico Madrid’s four Champions League games this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sparta Prague Atletico Madrid
| Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 5.25 | 5.25 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 59.9% (0.0%)
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Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid will be played on November 26 at 17:45 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid will take place at the epet ARENA in Prague.
The UEFA Champions League match between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Danny Makkelie will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Hessel Steegstra, Jan de Vries and Marc Nagtegaal as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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