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Spain vs Denmark Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The final curtain of gameweek three in the third round of the UEFA Nations League will come to us from Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia where Spain will be taking on Denmark. La Roja are in second place in League A Group 4, while De Rod-Hvide are sitting atop the group standings with a two-point buffer. Check out our match prediction below!
These two giants of Europe are no strangers to each other, having crossed paths a total of 18 times in the past. Across their history, Spain have been the dominant force, winning 13 encounters, while Denmark have won three and two games ended level. The last time they met, though, was in 2008, a match which the Spaniards won 3-0 to extend their win streak against this opponent to four in a row.
Given their impressive record in this fixture, the hosts are currently considered massive favourites by most bookmakers. However, the visitors have a perfect record coming into this match and will be determined to keep that intact. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Spain v Denmark Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.33 | 7 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.47 | 7.48 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.47 | 7.48 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.26 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.26 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.7 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.7 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.33 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.6 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.35 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and Denmark?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Denmark match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Spain and Denmark in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.1% for a win of Spain against Denmark with odds of 1.49 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs Denmark is 19.41% with odds of 4.8 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Denmark vs Spain with odds of 8 at Tonybet.
Spain - Denmark Prediction and Best Odds:
| Spain Denmark Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 63.1% | 1.49 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.09% | 2.2 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Spain | 36.95% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Spain vs Denmark Form
Spain and Denmark's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Spain and Denmark Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
9 Jul 2024 - Euro
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
9 Jul 2024 - Euro
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sep 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
Spain - Denmark: Form Analysis
After adding the European Championship title to their trophy cabinet in the summer, Spain are now looking to defend their Nations League crown, and a win here will see them leapfrog their opponents to the top of the group standings.
La Roja kicked off their title defence with a fairly disappointing result, drawing goalless against Serbia on matchday one. However, they bounced back from that result in some style three days later, overcoming Switzerland 4-1 on the road.
That result extended the Spaniards' unbeaten run across all competitions to 12 matches, dating back to a friendly loss to Colombia back in March.
On home soil, Spain have won seven of their last 10 and scored 2+ goals eight times during that period!
Meanwhile, after failing to win any of their four matches at Euro 2024, Denmark look like a side transformed in this competition. They have notched up back-to-back wins over the first two matchdays, posting 2-0 scorelines against both Switzerland and Serbia.
Despite their winless run at the Euros, the Danish Dynamites have only actually lost one of their last 10 matches in all competition, while winning five and drawing four of the remaining nine.
On the road, though, their record is less impressive. Across their last six away games, the Danes have won two, drawn one and lost three. Notably, those victories were against Finland and San Marino.
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Spain against Denmark Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
A. Perez
Spain & Denmark Squad Analysis
Luis de la Fuente was forced into a few late changes in personnel for this month’s Nations League matches due to injury, starting with Rodri, whose participation in any football this season is doubtful.
Joining the Manchester City midfielder on the sidelines are all of Unai Simon, Robin Le Normand, Gavi, Dani Olmo, Ferran Torres, and arguably most notably, Real Madrid full-back Dani Carvajal.
Additionally, both Bryan Gil and the sensational Nico Williams were forced to withdraw from the squad in the last few days due to injury!
Meanwhile, Denmark are also set to be without a few big names for this match owing to kocks, including the likes of Joachim Andersen, Mikkel Damsgaard, Christian Norgaard and Morten Frendrup.
Toulouse defender Rasmus Nicolaisen also pulled out of the squad at the eleventh hour, though Manchester United forward Rasmus Hojlund has returned to the team after missing last month’s international fixtures.
Most goals and assists
Spain
Denmark
F. Ruiz
(2 Goals)
G. Isaksen
(2 Goals)
M. Joselu
(1 Assists)
,
F. Torres
(1 Assists)
,
L. Yamal
(1 Assists)
,
F. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
,
P. Porro
(1 Assists)
,
A. Perez
(1 Assists)
,
D. Olmo
(1 Assists)
A. Skov Olsen
(2 Assists)
Spain - Denmark Key Points
- Each of the last three matches between these sides have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Spain’s last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Spain have scored two or more goals in 11 of their last 15 matches.
- Spain have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 home games.
- Denmark have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away matches.
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Our Spain vs Denmark Prediction
While Spain are missing a few key players for their Nations League matches this month, they still have a squad brimming with attacking talent, and will be boosted by the return of the captain Alvaro Morata, who will lead the line.
Denmark, while not the best side on the road, have found a spark in their attack in this competition, and looked very impressive in the first two matches where they netted four goals. We are expecting an entertaining watch here and fancy there will be plenty of chances created at both ends. Therefore, our Spain vs Denmark prediction: Over 2.5!
Spain vs Denmark - Other Interesting Predictions
Spain Over 1.5
Spain have scored two or more goals in 11 of their last 15 matches across all competitions, and have found the back of the net at least twice in nine of their last 10 games on home soil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Spain Denmark
| Spain vs Denmark | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 1.36 | 1.45 | +6.6% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.33 | -8.8% |
| Denmark wins | 8.5 | 7 | -17.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Spain is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 69.0% (-4.6%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Spain vs Denmark match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Nations League match between Spain and Denmark will be played on October 12 at 19:45 GMT.
The Nations League match between Spain and Denmark will take place at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia in Spain.
The UEFA Nations League match between Spain and Denmark will be broadcast live in the UK on ITV.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Nations League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Ivan Kruzliak will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Branislav Hancko, Jan Pozor and Peter Kralovic as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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