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England - Championship

Southampton
17 May 2024 15:00
West Brom

Prediction :

 

Southampton to Qualify

 
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Southampton vs West Brom Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Devesh Jaganath in Championship Predictions

Southampton will play West Bromwich Albion in the Championship Promotion Play-offs semi-finals second leg at St. Mary's Stadium on Friday evening. The tie is still level following a goalless draw at The Hawthorns last week.

The winner of this clash between two Premier League hopefuls will move on to face either Leeds United or Norwich City in the Promotion Playoffs Final on May 26. The Whites and Canaries will face off on Thursday evening, and you can take a look at our in-depth Championship prediction for that match right here on SportyTrader!

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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v West Brom Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1 51 351
Ladbrokes
1.73 3.75 4.6
NetBet
1.58 3.45 4.6
Betwinner
1.71 3.92 4.7
LSbet
1.71 3.92 4.7
Tonybet
1.64 3.9 5.2
Vbet
1 17 301
Betway
1 26 101
Unibet
1.73 3.6 5
Betfair
1 501 501
Betsson
1.71 3.95 4.69
Check all Southampton vs West Brom odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and West Brom?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2024 between Southampton and West Brom in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.92% for a win of Southampton against West Brom with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs West Brom is 30.75% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.33% chance ⭐ for a win of West Brom vs Southampton with odds of 501 at Betfair.

Southampton - West Brom Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton West Brom Prediction Probability Odds
Southampton wins 49.92% 1.73 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 62.84% 2.4 at Betway
Both Team To Score 60.83%
Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton 31.14% 6 at Betfair

Southampton vs West Brom Form

Southampton and West Brom Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
W L L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Southampton

4 May 2024 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  2
Southampton

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  1
Stoke

23 Apr 2024 - Championship

Leicester
5 :  0
Southampton

20 Apr 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Southampton

16 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  0
Preston North End
W D W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  1
Stoke

16 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  0
Preston North End

13 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
Watford

9 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Coventry City

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Southampton
4 :  2
Sunderland
L D L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Southampton

4 May 2024 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  2
Southampton

23 Apr 2024 - Championship

Leicester
5 :  0
Southampton

20 Apr 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Southampton

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  0
Southampton

1 Apr 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  2
Southampton
West Brom
West Brom Last matches
W L L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Southampton

4 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  0
Preston North End

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
3 :  0
West Brom

20 Apr 2024 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
West Brom

13 Apr 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  1
Sunderland

10 Apr 2024 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  0
Rotherham
W D W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Southampton

4 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  0
Preston North End

13 Apr 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  1
Sunderland

10 Apr 2024 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  0
Rotherham

1 Apr 2024 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  2
Watford

16 Mar 2024 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  0
Bristol City
D W D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
3 :  0
West Brom

20 Apr 2024 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
West Brom

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  2
West Brom

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
West Brom

10 Mar 2024 - Championship

Huddersfield Town
1 :  4
West Brom

6 Mar 2024 - Championship

QPR
2 :  2
West Brom

Southampton vs West Brom Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

67 %

Draw

17 %

West Brom

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Southampton

16 Feb 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  2
Southampton

11 Nov 2023 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
West Brom

12 Apr 2021 - Premier League

West Brom
3 :  0
Southampton

4 Oct 2020 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  0
West Brom

17 Feb 2018 - FA Cup

West Brom
1 :  2
Southampton
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Southampton - West Brom: Form Analysis

After maintaining a clean sheet at the Hawthorns, Southampton are now favoured to reach the Playoff finals against Leeds or Norwich. Despite an impressive 23-match unbeaten streak, the Saints concluded the 2023-24 Championship season in fourth place. In most other seasons, amassing 87 points would typically secure promotion; however, not this term, as they ended nine points behind Ipswich Town in second after losing each of their last three league matches of the campaign. Southampton have not contested the promotion playoffs since 2006-07, when they reached this exact stage but were beaten. At Saint Mary’s this season, the hosts have a record of 15 wins, three draws and five losses. They also scored 54 goals in their 23 games, which is the second-highest goal tally on home soil of any team in the division. The Saints beat this opponent home and away in the regular season, scoring twice in both matches. 

Meanwhile, West Bromwich Albion are bidding to return to the Premier League after a three-season absence. They were last involved in the Championship playoffs back in 2018-19 when they were beaten on penalties by Aston Villa. The Baggies clinched fifth place in the league standings on the final day of the season, beating Preston North End 3-0 and pushing Norwich to sixth in the process. However, that was the only win they managed in their last five games, including the first-leg stalemate over the weekend. The key to their success this season has been their defence, which was the third-best in the division with just 47 goals conceded in 46 games. On the road, the visitors weren’t the most impressive, though, managing a record of six wins, eight draws and nine losses, and enter this contest winless in their last four, including two draws and two defeats. The last time they won an away game in the league was against Huddersfield Town on March 10. 

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Southampton against West Brom Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. McCarthy
2
K. Walker-Peters
21
T. Harwood-Bellis
35
J. Bednarek
5
J. Stephens
16
W. Smallbone
4
F. Downes
7
J. Aribo
36
D. Brooks
9
A. Armstrong
26
R. Fraser
7
J. Wallace
23
M. Johnston
11
G. Diangana
31
T. Fellows
27
A. Mowatt
35
O. Yokuslu
3
C. Townsend
4
C. Kipre
5
K. Bartley
2
D. Furlong
24
A. Palmer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

West Brom

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

J. Larios

West Brom
West Brom

Southampton & West Brom Squad Analysis

In the first leg, Southampton were without the services of Che Adams due to injury. The Scottish international, who scored 14 goals and provided four assists this season, remains a doubt for this match but has not been ruled completely just yet. However, the same cannot be said for Gavin Bazunu (Achilles injury), Juan Larios (knock), and Stuart Armstrong (hamstring), all of whom are sidelined for the remainder of the playoffs due to injury. Adam Armstrong was the second-highest goal-scorer in the Championship with 21 goals this season and is one to keep an eye on in this match. 

West Brom will have to make do without Jayson Molumby, who is out for the season with a foot injury, while Daryl Dike remains sidelined with a strained Achilles tendon. Tom Fellows was deployed down the right flank in the first leg, but we could see Carlos Corberan opt for a change in this match, with Jed Wallace being the most likely to make a return to the starting 11. Yann M’Vila was given just ten minutes off the bench over the weekend and will be hoping for a bigger role in midweek.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato West Brom
Top Goalscorer
England A. Armstrong (24 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ghana B. Thomas-Asante (12 Goals)
Best assists
England A. Armstrong (12 Assists)
Best assists
Congo G. Diangana (8 Assists)

Southampton - West Brom Key Points

  1. Southampton won 26 of their 46 league games this season
  2. Southampton beat this opponent home and away in the league
  3. Southampton won 15 of their 23 home games this season
  4. West Brom are winless in their last four away games
  5. West Brom only won six of their 23 away games this season
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Our Southampton vs West Brom Prediction

Southampton would undeniably have been the happier of these teams with the stalemate over the weekend and now have the opportunity to reach the playoff finals with home advantage in this match. The Saints were too good for this opponent in the regular league season, winning both home and away, and we feel they will get the better of the Baggies in this one as well. Our Southampton vs West Bromwich Albion Championship prediction: Southampton to Qualify. 

Prediction :

 

Southampton to Qualify

 
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Southampton vs West Brom - Other Interesting Predictions

Southampton Over 1.5 Goals

Odds 1.72

Southampton scored 54 goals in 23 home games this season. They also scored twice in each of their two regular-season matchups against this opponent.

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Southampton to win the match

Odds 1.85

The Saints are unbeaten in their last three matches against this opponent and finished 12 points ahead of the Baggies in the league standings. 

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Southampton vs West Brom match : Frequently asked questions

Southampton and West Brom will face off in the Championship Playoff semi-final second-leg at St. Mary’s Stadium in Hampshire on May 17, 2024, at 20:00 GMT. 

Both Championship Playoff semi-finals will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Football, and Sky Sports Ultra HDR. 

If you can't get to a TV set, stay up to date with the Championship Livescores right here on Sportytrader.

Tim Robinson will take charge of the Championship Playoff semi-final second-leg between Southampton and West Brom, with the assistance of Tim Wood,  Mark Scholes and Keith Stroud as the fourth official. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Southampton vs West Brom Prediction
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