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England - Championship

Southampton
13 Apr 2024 10:00
Watford

Prediction :

 

Southampton to win and Both Teams to Score - No

 
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Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Ian John in Championship Predictions

Southampton face Watford in a 3pm Kick off in the Championship on Saturday knowing that they are almost certainly assured of a playoff spot, and given that they still have Leicester and Leeds to play, they could still force their way into the automatic promotion fight if they can win their remaining games from here. Russell Martin's team enjoyed a long unbeaten spell in the middle of the season but their form of late has been more inconsistent, both at home and on the road. But despite four defeats in their last ten games, they have lost just eight games this season and have still scored goals. With just one defeat in their last six games, Southampton look assured of the playoffs and a chance to earn a shot at a Premier League place next season. They warmed up for this game with a 2-1 win over Coventry City in midweek at St. Marys.

Watford's 0-0 draw against Ipswich on Wednesday was more notable in that it prevented their opponents going top of the table, but it was also the Hornets fifth game unbeaten, albeit the last four of those matches all finishing in draws. Watford are the draw specialists in this division, with 16 of their 42 games finishing all square, the joint-most in the division along with Huddersfield. Interim head coach Tom Cleverley has found it hard to win games since taking over from Valerien Ismael in March, winning one of six games, losing one and drawing the most recent four. However, a longer term view reveals Waford have won two, drawn five and lost six of their last 13 games in the Championship, which is a disappointing trend for a team expected to challenge for the playoffs.

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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Watford Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.44 5 6.5
Betfred
1.4 5 7.5
Ladbrokes
1.65 3 5.5
NetBet
1.3 4.6 6.1
1xbet
1.4 5.15 7
22bet
1.4 5.15 7
Betwinner
1.43 4.9 6.7
LSbet
1.43 4.9 6.7
Stake
1.39 5 7
Melbet
1.41 4.98 6.95
Tonybet
1.41 4.9 6.8
Betway
1.4 5 6
Unibet
1.38 5.1 7
Betfair
1.4 4.75 7.5
Betsson
1.42 4.9 6.83
William Hill
1.4 4.6 7
Vbet
1.44 5.2 6.9
Check all Southampton vs Watford odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Watford?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2024 between Southampton and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.34% for a win of Southampton against Watford with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Watford is 28.13% with odds of 5.2 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Southampton with odds of 7.5 at Betfred.

Southampton - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Southampton wins 45.34% 1.65 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 57.23% 1.53 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 65.83%
Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton 17.53% 2.05 at Bet365

Southampton vs Watford Form

Southampton and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Southampton
Southampton
87 46 26 9 11 24
15
Watford
Watford
56 46 13 17 16 0

Southampton and Watford Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
W W D L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Coventry City

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  0
Southampton

1 Apr 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  2
Southampton

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Southampton
4 :  2
Sunderland

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  4
Southampton
W L L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Coventry City

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Southampton
4 :  2
Sunderland

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Millwall

20 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Hull

10 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  3
Huddersfield Town
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  0
Southampton

1 Apr 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  2
Southampton

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  4
Southampton

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Southampton

16 Feb 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  2
Southampton

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton
Watford
Watford Last matches
L W D D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Apr 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Watford

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Preston North End

1 Apr 2024 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  2
Watford

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Leeds

16 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  1
Watford

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Coventry City
L L D L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Preston North End

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Leeds

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Coventry City

6 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Swansea

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Huddersfield Town

10 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Leicester
L W L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Apr 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Watford

1 Apr 2024 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  2
Watford

16 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  1
Watford

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Rotherham
0 :  1
Watford

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  2
Watford

Southampton vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

50 %

Draw

33 %

Watford

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Watford

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford
1 :  1
Southampton

9 Dec 2023 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Southampton

13 Mar 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Watford

30 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Watford
0 :  1
Southampton

28 Jun 2020 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  3
Southampton
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Southampton against Watford Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

31
G. Bazunu
14
J. Bree
21
T. Harwood-Bellis
5
J. Stephens
2
K. Walker-Peters
16
W. Smallbone
4
F. Downes
7
J. Aribo
36
D. Brooks
9
A. Armstrong
10
C. Adams
25
E. Dennis
16
G. Chakvetadze
19
V. Bayo
18
Y. Asprilla
24
T. Dele-Bashiru
39
E. Kayembe
6
J. Lewis
5
R. Porteous
4
W. Hoedt
15
M. Pollock
1
D. Bachmann

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Watford

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

J. Larios

Watford
Watford

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
England A. Armstrong (24 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark M. Rajovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
England A. Armstrong (12 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia Y. Asprilla (5 Assists)

Southampton - Watford Key Points

  1. Southampton's form has been a little inconsistent of late, winning four, losing four and drawing two of their last ten games. Furthermore, they have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of each of their last five both at home and also on the road.
  2. Watford are unbeaten in their last five Championship games, but they have drawn four of those, winning just once (away to Birmingham).
  3. At home against teams ranked 11th in the table or lower, Southampton have played 12 games, won 10, drawn one and lost one.
  4. Watford have played away to five of the top six teams in the Championship, drawing two games and and losing three. They have scored 4 goals in those matches, conceding 11.
  5. The teams drew 1-1 when they met at Vicarage Road in the Championship in December. Che Adams (56) gave the Saints the lead but a very late Rhys Healey (90+6) equaliser levelled things for the Hornets.
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Our Southampton vs Watford Prediction

On gut instinct, the Southampton v Watford game at St Mary's feels like it should be a comfortable home win, but the recent data doesn't really support that. The Saints have been inconsistent both at home and away and while Watford are unbeaten in five, they have drawn the last four and the last two have been goalless draws. But a deeper delve into the data reveals that the Saints are very good at home against lower ranked Championship teams, while Watford have struggled against the top 6 on the road. Our Southampton v Watford prediction therefore is for a Southampton to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Southampton to win and Both Teams to Score - No

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Southampton vs Watford Prediction
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